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The cooperative and conflictual interactions between the United States, Russia, and China: A quantitative analysis of event data
YUAN Lihua, SONG Changqing, CHENG Changxiu, SHEN Shi, CHEN Xiaoqiang, WANG Yuanhui
地理学报(英文版), 2020, 30(10): 1702-1720.   DOI: 10.1007/s11442-020-1808-6

Independent
variables
1992.01-2001.09 period 2001.10-2016.12 period
Dependent variable Dependent variable
UCp CUp UCf CUf UCp CUp UCf CUf
UCp(-1) - 0.038*** 0.091** 0.159* - 0.767 0.681 0.615
CUp(-1) 0.649 - 0.090** 0.389 0.572 - 0.306 0.234
URp(-1) 0.296 0.460 0.161* 0.543 0.052** 0.033*** 0.054** 0.571
RUp(-1) 0.264 0.383 0.208 0.849 0.156* 0.146* 0.224 0.633
RCp(-1) 0.007*** 0.019*** 0.328 0.024*** 0.444 0.342 0.503 0.619
CRp(-1) 0.007*** 0.018*** 0.382 0.018*** 0.432 0.331 0.319 0.646
UCf(-1) 0.866 0.754 - 0.149* 0.027*** 0.031* - 0.010***
CUf(-1) 0.295 0.537 0.042*** - 0.760 0.698 0.269 -
URf(-1) 0.143* 0.210 0.146* 0.012*** 0.833 0.836 0.083** 0.078**
RUf(-1) 0.872 0.873 0.933 0.867 0.856 0.979 0.101* 0.550
RCf(-1) 0.223 0.485 0.357 0.880 0.127* 0.055** 0.283 0.671
CRf(-1) 0.473 0.561 0.496 0.669 0.557 0.253 0.829 0.731
R2 0.726 0.713 0.558 0.570 0.892 0.897 0.912 0.914
Adjusted R2 0.694 0.680 0.506 0.519 0.884 0.890 0.905 0.908
F-statistic 22.741 21.320 10.826 11.356 115.926 122.708 145.113 149.057
Table 2 The significance level of the Granger/Wald test of the USA-China dyad in both periods
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