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  • 研究论文
    WEI Zhongyin, TU Jianjun, XIAO Lin, SUN Wenjing
    地理学报(英文版). 2024, 34(10): 1925-1952. doi: 10.1007/s11442-024-2277-0

    Since China’s reform and opening-up in 1978, rapid urbanization has coincided with a surge in carbon emissions. Statistical, geospatial, and time-series analysis methods were utilized to examine the dynamic relationship between urbanization and carbon emissions over the past 43 years; elucidate the mechanisms through which dimensions of urbanization, such as population, land, economy, and green development, impact carbon emissions at various stages; and further explore the heterogeneity among cities of different scales. The analysis reveals that 2001 and 2011 represent significant turning points in China’s carbon emission growth “S” curve. The phase of rapid carbon emissions growth is associated with an increase in the urbanization rate from 40% to 50%, a shift in industrial structure from being dominated by secondary industry to tertiary industry, and a decrease in urban population density from 19,600 to 16,000 people per square kilometer of built-up area. Regions northeast of the “Bayannur-Ningde Line” have experienced rapid increases in carbon emissions, with large and medium-sized cities being the primary contributors nationwide. The TVP-VAR results indicate that higher urbanization rates have short-term carbon and mid- to long-term carbon-reducing effects. Population concentration in large cities facilitates short- to mid-term carbon reduction, whereas intensive urban development, industrial upgrading, and the promotion of clean energy use have sustained carbon-reducing effects. Carbon emissions exhibit path dependence. Increased urbanization rates in mega-cities and super-cities result in carbon-increasing effects, whereas the optimization of industrial structures exerts an inhibitory effect on carbon emissions in medium-sized and large cities. The changes in impulse response values of various variables are influenced by the developmental trajectory of Chinese cities from “small to large and then to agglomerations.” These recommendations indicate the necessity for differentiated emission reduction strategies contingent on the specific regions and types of cities in question.

  • 研究论文
    LUO Yuanbo, ZHOU Yuke, ZHOU Chenghu
    地理学报(英文版). 2024, 34(10): 1883-1903. doi: 10.1007/s11442-024-2275-2

    Changes in surface temperature extremes have become a global concern. Based on the daily lowest temperature (TN) and daily highest temperature (TX) data from 2138 weather stations in China from 1961 to 2020, we calculated 14 extreme temperature indices to analyze the characteristics of extreme temperature events. The widespread changes observed in all extreme temperature indices suggest that China experienced significant warming during this period. Specifically, the cold extreme indices, such as cold nights, cold days, frost days, icing days, and the cold spell duration index, decreased significantly by −6.64, −2.67, −2.96, −0.97, and −1.01 days/decade, respectively. In contrast, we observed significant increases in warm extreme indices. The number of warm nights, warm days, summer days, tropical nights, and warm spell duration index increased by 8.44, 5.18, 2.81, 2.50, and 1.66 d/decade, respectively. In addition, the lowest TN, highest TN, lowest TX, and highest TX over the entire period rose by 0.47, 0.22, 0.26, and 0.16°C/decade, respectively. Furthermore, using Pearson’s correlation and wavelet coherence analyses, this study identified a strong association between extreme temperature indices and atmospheric circulation factors, with varying correlation strengths and resonance periods across different time-frequency domains.

  • Mariusz PTAK, Teerachai AMNUAYLOJAROEN, Mariusz SOJKA
    地理学报(英文版). 2025, 35(1): 139-172. doi: 10.1007/s11442-025-2316-5

    Emphasis on future environmental changes grows due to climate change, with simulations predicting rising river temperatures globally. For Poland, which has a long history of thermal studies of rivers, such an approach has not been implemented to date. This study used 9 Global Climate Models and tested three machine-learning techniques to predict river temperature changes. Random Forest performed best, with R2=0.88 and lowest error (RMSE: 2.25, MAE:1.72). The range of future water temperature changes by the end of the 21st century was based on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway scenarios SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5. It was determined that by the end of the 21st century, the average temperature will increase by 2.1°C (SSP2-4.5) and 3.7°C (SSP5-8.5). A more detailed analysis, divided by two major basins Vistula and Odra, covered about 90% of Poland’s territory. The average temperature increase, according to scenarios SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 for the Odra basin rivers, is 1.6°C and 3.2°C and for the Vistula basin rivers 2.3°C and 3.8°C, respectively. The Vistula basin’s higher warming is due to less groundwater input and continental climate influence. These findings provide a crucial basis for water management to mitigate warming effects in Poland.

  • 研究论文
    HU Xiaosi, WU Li, ZHUANG Yijie, WANG Xinyuan, MA Chunmei, LI Linying, GUAN Houchun, LU Shuguang, LUO Wenjing, XU Ziyi
    地理学报(英文版). 2024, 34(10): 2053-2073. doi: 10.1007/s11442-024-2282-3

    Polder is a type of irrigation field unique to the lower Yangtze River of China. It is a product of long-term and ingenuous human modifications of wetland landscapes. In the pre-Qin Period, 3000 years ago, the poldered area of eastern Wuhu city was once a large lake called the ancient Danyang wetland. The introduction of agricultural civilization and polder technology to the area during the Wu and Yue Kingdoms period gradually transformed it into an agricultural area. With an accelerating rate of land reclamation under a changing late-Holocene regional climate, the ancient Danyang wetland became an aquatic system strongly influenced by intensifying anthropogenic activities. In this study, based on field survey data, historical documents, and remote-sensing and archaeological data, we reconstructed the spatial distribution of the polder landscape over the last 3000 years and identified their structural diversity. We found that polder landscapes began to emerge in the Spring and Autumn Period, land reclamation intensified in the Three Kingdoms and developed rapidly in the Song Dynasty before eventually reaching the peak from the Ming and Qing Dynasties. The relocation of historical sites to low-altitude areas also marked the expansion of poldered fields from the center of the wetland to the southeast and northwest. The development and evolution of the polder landscape are related to regional climate conditions, changing social and economic statuses, and the development of agricultural technology in the Song Dynasty and succeeding periods.

  • JIN Wenwan, ZHU Shengjun, LIN Xiongbin
    地理学报(英文版). 2025, 35(2): 409-431. doi: 10.1007/s11442-025-2328-1

    Globalization has resulted in a notable rise in the flow of high-skilled talent from emerging countries to developed nations. Current research on transnational talent flow mainly focuses on the destination countries, with less attention given to the perspective of the sending countries, particularly lacking a dynamic discussion on its impact on technological evolution in the origin countries. Based on the OECD REGPAT database, this paper aims to explore how talent groups migrating to developed countries facilitate the return of knowledge and technology to emerging countries and achieve breakthroughs in their technological evolution paths, while further discussing the potential mechanisms involved. The findings of this paper are as follows: (1) The technological development of emerging countries is a path-dependent process, where countries often branch into new technologies related to their preexisting knowledge base. Consequently, knowledge feedback from high-skilled talents increases the likelihood of sending countries developing unrelated technologies. (2) The mobility of talents across borders fosters more international collaborations and citations for patents that are unrelated to the local knowledge base, thus enriching the technological paths of sending countries. (3) The mobility of high-skilled talents primarily affects complex technologies, which have significant economic effects that encourage imitation by other countries. However, the effect on novel technologies is less significant due to their strong geographical stickiness. In general, this paper addresses the gaps in existing research on talent outflow and the technological evolution of origin countries, providing empirical evidence for the positive role of transnational talent mobility in the technological catch-up of emerging nations. Besides, it offers recommendations for talent export, import, and innovation policy formulation in these countries.

  • HE Chenyang, WANG Yanjiao, YAN Feng, LU Qi
    地理学报(英文版). 2025, 35(1): 39-64. doi: 10.1007/s11442-025-2312-9

    Water use efficiency (WUE), as a pivotal indicator of the coupling degree within the carbon-water cycle of ecosystems, holds considerable importance in assessment of the carbon-water balance within terrestrial ecosystems. However, in the context of global warming, WUE evolution and its primary drivers on the Tibetan Plateau remain unclear. This study employed the ensemble empirical mode decomposition method and the random forest algorithm to decipher the nonlinear trends and drivers of WUE on the Tibetan Plateau in 2001- 2020. Results indicated an annual mean WUE of 0.8088 gC/mm∙m2 across the plateau, with a spatial gradient reflecting decrease from the southeast toward the northwest. Areas manifesting monotonous trends of increase or decrease in WUE accounted for 23.64% and 9.69% of the total, respectively. Remarkably, 66.67% of the region exhibited trend reversals, i.e., 39.94% of the area of the Tibetan Plateau showed transition from a trend of increase to a trend of decrease, and 26.73% of the area demonstrated a shift from a trend of decrease to a trend of increase. Environmental factors accounted for 70.79% of the variability in WUE. The leaf area index and temperature served as the major driving forces of WUE variation.

  • 研究论文
    WANG Sheng, WANG Jianwen, ZHU Meilin, YAO Tandong, PU Jianchen, WANG Jinfeng
    地理学报(英文版). 2024, 34(10): 1904-1924. doi: 10.1007/s11442-024-2276-1

    Glaciers are considered to be ‘climate-sensitive indicators’ and ‘solid reservoirs’, and their changes significantly impact regional water security. The mass balance (MB) from 2011 to 2020 of the Qiyi Glacier in the northeast Tibetan Plateau is presented based on field observations. The glacier showed a persistent negative balance over 9 years of in-situ observations, with a mean MB of −0.51 m w.e. yr−1. The distributed energy-mass balance model was used for glacier MB reconstruction from 1980 to 2020. The daily meteorological data used in the model were from HAR v2 reanalysis data, with automatic weather stations located in the middle and upper parts of the glacier used for deviation correction. The average MB over the past 40 years of the Qiyi Glacier was −0.36 m w.e. yr−1 with the mass losses since the beginning of the 21st century, being greater than those in the past. The glacier runoff shows a significant increasing trend, contributing ~81% of the downstream river runoff. The albedo disparity indicates that the net shortwave radiation is much higher in the ablation zone than in the accumulation zone, accelerating ablation-area expansion and glacier mass depletion. The MB of the Qiyi Glacier is more sensitive to temperature and incoming shortwave radiation variation than precipitation. The MB presented a non-linear reaction to the temperature and incoming shortwave radiation. Under future climate warming, the Qiyi Glacier will be increasingly likely to deviate from the equilibrium state, thereby exacerbating regional water balance risks. It is found that the mass losses of eastern glaciers are higher than those of western glaciers, indicating significant spatial heterogeneity that may be attributable to the lower altitude and smaller area distribution of the eastern glaciers.

  • 研究论文
    LUO Xiuli, JIN Xiaobin, LIU Xiaojie, HONG Buting, ZHOU Yinkang
    地理学报(英文版). 2024, 34(9): 1739-1760. doi: 10.1007/s11442-024-2269-0

    Land consolidation (LC) stands as a globally recognized strategy for rural development. In China, it has evolved towards comprehensive land consolidation (CLC) to support the rural revitalization initiative. However, there are ongoing challenges in understanding CLC’s specific pathway and mechanism, particularly its role in stimulating rural endogenous development. This study aims to investigate the localization process of international experiences, examine the pathway of CLC, and scrutinize its mechanism in rural development from a novel perspective of neo-endogenous development. Field research and semi-structured interviews were conducted in Nanzhanglou village, renowned for its early adoption of CLC practices inspired by German experiences since 1988. Overall, key findings underscore the advantages of CLC in spatial restructuring, industrial development, and human capital enhancement in rural areas. Additionally, international experiences emerge as crucial exogenous forces, primarily by knowledge embedding, which catalyzes rural neo-endogenous development via the “resource-engagement-identity-endogenous” mechanism. Collectively, by introducing a neo-endogenous theoretical framework, this study offers valuable insights into the CLC implementation in China and beyond, and emphasizes the positive impact of knowledge embedding as an exogenous force in promoting rural neo-endogenous development to address existing research gaps. Recommendations for sustainable rural development involve enhancing rural planning practicality, governance capacity, and local leadership, while prioritizing agricultural modernization and increasing investments in education and vocational training to ensure that villagers benefit from industrial development.

  • 研究论文
    SHU Tianheng, YU Taofang, LIAO Xia, YANG Shuo
    地理学报(英文版). 2024, 34(10): 1953-1976. doi: 10.1007/s11442-024-2278-z

    Urban sprawl has been a prevailing phenomenon in developing countries like China, potentially resulting in significant carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from the transport sector. However, the impact of urban sprawl on transport CO2 emissions (TCEs) is still not fully understood and remains somewhat rudimentary. To systematically investigate how urban sprawl influences TCEs, we employ panel regression and panel threshold regression for 274 Chinese cities (2005-2020), and obtain some new findings. Our results affirm that the degree of urban sprawl is positively associated with TCEs, and this holds true in different groups of city size and geographical region, while significant heterogeneity is observed in terms of such impact. Interestingly, we find urban sprawl nonlinearly impacts TCEs—with an equal increase in urban sprawl degree, TCEs are even lower in cities with larger population size and better economic condition, particularly in East China. Furthermore, the low-carbon city pilot policy shows potential in mitigating sprawl’s impact on TCEs. Drawing on our findings, we argue that to achieve the target of TCEs reduction in China by curbing urban sprawl, more priority should be placed on relatively small, less developed, and geographically inferior cities for cost-efficiency reasons when formulating future urban development strategies.

  • LIU Yue, GUO Mengjing, LI Jing, LYU Na, ZHANG Junqi, ZHANG Bowen
    地理学报(英文版). 2025, 35(1): 3-16. doi: 10.1007/s11442-025-2311-x

    Reference crop evapotranspiration (ET0) is essential for determining crop water requirements and developing irrigation strategies. In this study, ET0 was calculated via the FAO-56 Penman‒Monteith model, and the spatiotemporal variations in ET0 over China from 1960 to 2019 were analyzed. We then quantified the contributions of five driving factors (air temperature, wind speed, relative humidity, sunshine hours, and CO2 concentration) to the ET0 trends via a detrending experiment. The results revealed that nationwide ET0 showed no significant (p>0.05) decreasing trend from 1960 to 2019, with a trend of -8.56×10-2 mm a-2. The average temperature and wind speed were identified as the dominant factors affecting ET0 trends at the national scale. The contributions of the driving factors to the ET0 trends were ranked in the following order: average temperature (21.3%) > wind speed (-15.63%) > sunshine hours (-11.99%) > CO2 concentration (6.36%) > relative humidity (3.58%). Spatially, the dominant factors influencing the ET0 trends varied widely. In the southeastern region, average temperature and sunshine hours dominated the trends of ET0, whereas wind speed and average temperature were the dominant factors in the northwestern region. The findings provide valuable insights into the dominant factors affecting ET0 trends in China and highlight the importance of considering different driving factors in calculating crop water requirements.

  • ZHU Wenbin, LU Yu
    地理学报(英文版). 2025, 35(1): 17-38. doi: 10.1007/s11442-024-2304-1

    The Qinba Mountains are climatically and ecologically recognized as the north- south transitional zone of China. Analysis of its phenology is critical for comprehending the response of vegetation to climatic change. We retrieved the start of spring phenology (SOS) of eight forest communities from the MODIS products and adopted it as an indicator for spring phenology. Trend analysis, partial correlation analysis, and GeoDetector were employed to reveal the spatio-temporal patterns and climatic drivers of SOS. The results indicated that the SOS presented an advance trend from 2001 to 2020, with a mean rate of -0.473 d yr-1. The SOS of most forests correlated negatively with air temperature (TEMP) and positively with precipitation (PRE), suggesting that rising TEMP and increasing PRE in spring would forward and delay SOS, respectively. The dominant factors influencing the sensitivity of SOS to climatic variables were altitude, forest type, and latitude, while the effects of slope and aspect were relatively minor. The response of SOS to climatic factors varied significantly in space and among forest communities, partly due to the influence of altitude, slope, and aspect.

  • 研究论文
    LI Muchun, LI Boyan, FENG Qi, WANG Yunchen
    地理学报(英文版). 2024, 34(10): 2003-2027. doi: 10.1007/s11442-024-2280-5

    Land-use and land-cover change (LUCC) simulations are powerful tools for evaluating and predicting future landscape dynamics amid rapid human‒nature interactions to support decision-making. However, existing models often overlook spatial heterogeneity and temporal dependencies when modeling LUCC at both the macro and microscales. In this paper, we propose a new model, a self-calibrated convolutional neural network-based cellular automata (SC-CNN-CA) model, which integrates macro- and microspatial characteristics to simulate complex interactions among land-use types. The SC-CNN-CA model incorporates a self-calibration module using Gaussian functions to capture macrotrend such as urban sprawl while accounting for microlevel land-use interactions such as neighborhood effects. The results indicated that (1) the neighborhood effect between agricultural land and urban land tended to “increase followed by a decrease.” (2) Urban sprawl in Wuhan was highly compact, with a relatively high intensity of urban expansion at distances between 11.96 km and 24.44 km. (3) Compared with the other CA models tested, the SC-CNN-CA model demonstrated superior performance, achieving an overall accuracy of 84.12% and a figure of merit of 20.20%. This new model can enhance our understanding of historical LUCC trajectories and improve predictions of spatially explicit information for efficient land resource and urban management.

  • WANG Bin, NIU Zhongen, FENG Lili, ZENG Na, GE Rong, FAN Jiayi
    地理学报(英文版). 2025, 35(4): 699-715. doi: 10.1007/s11442-025-2342-3

    The transpiration-to-evapotranspiration ratio (T/ET) is a crucial indicator of the carbon-water cycle and energy balance. Despite the marked seasonality of warming and greening patterns, the differential responses of T/ET to environmental changes across the seasons remain unclear. To address this, we employed a model-data fusion method, integrating the Priestley-Taylor Jet Propulsion Lab model with observational datasets, to analyze the seasonal trends of T/ET in China’s terrestrial ecosystems from 1981 to 2021. The results showed that T/ET significantly increased in spring, summer, and autumn, with growth rates of 0.0018 a-1 (p<0.01), 0.0024 a-1 (p<0.01), and 0.0013 a-1 (p<0.01), respectively, whereas the winter trends remained statistically insignificant throughout the study period. Leaf area index dynamics were identified as the primary driver of the increase in T/ET during summer, accounting for 79% of the trend. By contrast, climate change was the main contributor to the rising T/ET trends in spring and autumn, accounting for 72% and 77% of the T/ET increase, respectively. Additionally, warming is pivotal for climate-driven changes in T/ET trends. This study elucidated seasonal variations in T/ET responses to environmental factors, offering critical insights for the sustainable management of ecosystems and accurate prediction of future environmental change impacts.

  • SONG Xin, WANG Baoyun
    地理学报(英文版). 2024, 34(12): 2534-2550. doi: 10.1007/s11442-024-2303-2

    In response to issues such as incomplete segmentation and the presence of breakpoints encountered in extracting debris-flow fans using semantic segmentation models, this paper proposes a local feature and spatial attention mechanism to achieve precise segmentation of debris-flow fans. Firstly, leveraging the spatial inhibition mechanism from neuroscience theory as a foundation, an energy function for the local feature and spatial attention mechanism is formulated. Subsequently, by employing optimization theory, a closed-form solution for the energy function is derived, which ensures the lightweight nature of the proposed attention mechanism algorithm. Finally, the performance of this algorithm is compared with other mainstream attention mechanism algorithms embedded in semantic segmentation models through comparative experiments. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms both the original models and mainstream attention mechanisms across various classic models, effectively enhancing the performance of network models in debris-flow fan segmentation tasks.

  • LI Nan, CUI Yaoping, LIU Xiaoyan, SHI Zhifang, LI Mengdi, Michael E MEADOWS
    地理学报(英文版). 2025, 35(2): 233-251. doi: 10.1007/s11442-025-2320-9

    China is the world’s largest carbon dioxide (CO2) emitter and a major trading country. Both anthropogenic and natural factors play a critical role in its carbon budget. However, previous studies mostly focus on evaluating anthropogenic emissions or the natural carbon cycle separately, and few included trade-related (import and export) CO2 emissions and its contribution on global warming. Using the CarbonTracker CT2019 assimilation dataset and China trade emissions from the Global Carbon Project, we found that the change trend of global CO2 flux had obvious spatial heterogeneity, which is mainly affected by anthropogenic CO2 flux. From 2000 to 2018, carbon emissions from fossil fuels in the world and in China all showed an obvious increasing trend, but the magnitude of the increase tended to slow down. In 2018, the radiative forcing (RF) caused by China’s import and export trade was ‒0.0038 W m‒2, and the RF caused by natural carbon budget was ‒0.0027 W m‒2, offsetting 1.54% and 1.13% of the RF caused by fossil fuels that year, respectively. From 2000 to 2018, the contribution of China’s carbon emission from fossil fuels to global RF was 11.32%. Considering China’s import and export trade, the contribution of anthropogenic CO2 emission to global RF decreased to 9.50%. Furthermore, taking into account the offset of carbon sink from China’s terrestrial ecosystems, the net contribution of China to global RF decreased to 7.63%. This study demonstrates that China’s terrestrial ecosystem and import and export trade are all mitigating China’s impact on global anthropogenic warming, and also confirms that during the research process on climate change, comprehensively considering the carbon budget from anthropogenic and natural carbon budgets is necessary to systematically understand the impacts of regional or national carbon budgets on global warming.

  • YU Jingtong, LIU Lingcen, BAN Yifang, ZHANG Qian
    地理学报(英文版). 2024, 34(12): 2440-2456. doi: 10.1007/s11442-024-2299-7

    Balanced development and the reduction of inequality are central objectives of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). This study explores the use of Nighttime Light (NTL) brightness and the Nighttime Light Development Index (NLDI) as indicators of socioeconomic development in urban centers, focusing on six Indian cities. It examines the correlation between these indices and socioeconomic inequality across affluent neighborhoods, urban slums, downtown areas, and general urban areas in 2015, 2018, and 2021. The results reveal that lighting brightness in affluent areas can be lower than that in bustling downtowns, due to factors such as lower residential density. This challenges the conventional assumption that higher NTL necessarily indicates greater prosperity. This study further confirmed significant developmental disparities between well-lit downtowns and poorly illuminated peripheral slum areas, as reflected by lower NLDI scores. Notably, the results uncover a phenomenon termed “same value but different spectrum” based on a careful examination of NLDI values of urban centers and their corresponding curves. This suggests that NLDI alone may not fully capture the complexity of urban development, and that underlying development trajectories, along with on-the-ground realities, must be further examined. The findings emphasize the importance of applying NLDI for urban internal analyses. In addition, the study highlights the necessity for nuanced urban planning and targeted policy interventions specifically tailored to the unique conditions of different urban areas.

  • 研究论文
    LI Shicheng, LIU Yating, LI Jianrui, ZHANG Xuezhen
    地理学报(英文版). 2024, 34(10): 2074-2088. doi: 10.1007/s11442-024-2283-2

    It is essential to map the cropping patterns when investigating the mechanisms and impacts of climate change. However, the long-term evolution of cropping patterns remains poorly understood. This study collected hundreds of records of cropping intensity and crop combinations from local gazetteers and other relevant articles for the North China Plain (NCP) over the past 300 years. Then, we analyzed the evolutionary characteristics and drivers in terms of climate change and advances in agricultural technology. From the Qing Dynasty to the 1950s, one harvest per year (1H1Y) was the dominant pattern in the northern NCP, and three harvests in two years (3H2Y) was the dominant pattern in Henan and Shandong provinces. The 1H1Y crops were cereals and sorghum. The 3H2Y crop combinations were spring maize, winter wheat, and beans. In the 1960s and 1970s, the cropping intensity in much of the NCP was two harvests per year (2H1Y) or a mix of the 2H1Y and 3H2Y patterns. In the 1980s, the cropping intensity in the NCP was dominated by 2H1Y. Since the 1960s, the 2H1Y crop compositions have been winter wheat−summer maize in Shandong, Henan, and Hebei provinces, while winter wheat−rice dominated north of the Huaihe River. The 3H2Y summer crop changed from beans to maize/cereals over time. Climate warming was not the dominant factor driving the evolution of cropping intensity in the NCP. Advances in agricultural production conditions and reforms in production relations have promoted the rapid development of multiple cropping since the 1950s.

  • TU Xiaoqiang, JI Zhengxin, CHEN Hailian, LIU Yezhong, XU Xiaohua
    地理学报(英文版). 2025, 35(4): 846-866. doi: 10.1007/s11442-025-2349-9

    In recent years, the uncontrollable risks of urban production-living-ecological (PLE) space have increased sharply, making resilience enhancement essential for sustainable urban development. Based on the social-ecological system (SES) theory, this study constructs an assessment framework for urban PLE space resilience by analyzing its inherent characteristics. The central urban area of Ganzhou city is taken as a case study to evaluate urban PLE space resilience and diagnose its obstacles. The results are as follows: The PLE space resilience in the central urban area of Ganzhou exhibits gradations and substantial spatial differentiation. The ecological space resilience in the study area was the highest, followed by that of production space, while living space resilience was the lowest. The primary factors influencing PLE space resilience are concentrated in the dimensions of robustness and adaptability. In particular, the robustness of the PLE space is relatively low. Based on these results, targeted spatial resilience governance strategies for the PLE space have been proposed. These strategies serve as theoretical and technical references for the study area. By adopting the PLE space perspective, this paper enriches resilience research and provide theoretical support for sustainable urban development.

  • YAN Jinlong, LIU Yongqiang, LONG Hualou
    地理学报(英文版). 2025, 35(4): 716-744. doi: 10.1007/s11442-025-2343-2

    The application of ecosystem services (ES) theories in land consolidation is a confusing issue that has long plagued scholars and government officials. As the upgraded version of traditional land consolidation, comprehensive land consolidation (CLC) emphasizes ecological benefits, but it does not achieve the expected effect during the pilot phase. This study first proposed a theoretical analysis framework based on ES knowledge to answer the three key questions of why, where, and how to implement CLC better. Taking mountainous counties as the study area, we found that ES trade-offs/synergies, bundles, and drivers were significantly affected by scale effects. ES knowledge can play a crucial role in designing multi-scale CLC strategies regarding the objective, zoning, intensity, and mode. Specifically, mitigating the significant trade-offs between recreational opportunities, food production, and other ES is the top priority of CLC. Land consolidation zoning based on the ES bundles analysis is more rational and can provide the scientific premise for designing locally adapted CLC measures. Land consolidation can be classified into high-intensity direct intervention and low-intensity indirect intervention modes, based on the major drivers of ES. These findings help narrow the gap between ES and CLC practices.

  • ZHANG Ze, JIANG Weiguo, LING Ziyan, PENG Kaifeng, WU Zhifeng, LI Zhuo
    地理学报(英文版). 2025, 35(4): 745-762. doi: 10.1007/s11442-025-2344-1

    Ecosystem services in urban agglomerations are the environmental conditions under which human survival and development are sustained. Quantitative assessment of ecosystem services and complex interactions can contribute positively to the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) for urban agglomerations. However, studies on the future contribution of multi-scenario ecosystem services to the SDGS are lacking. We propose novel integrated modeling framework that integrates the CLUES, InVEST, SOM, and GWR approaches to address the complex relationship between ecosystem services over a long “past-present-future” time series. We construct a novel ecosystem service bundle-based approach for measuring urban agglomerations progress towards achieving ecologically relevant sustainable development goals at multiple scales. In the future scenario, the water yield (WY), habitat quality (HQ), and soil conservation (SC) show similar spatial patterns, with comparable spatial grids, while carbon stock (CS) remains predominantly unchanged and the ecological protection scenario (EPS) improves more significantly. The high-synergy regions are mainly distributed in bundle 4, and most of the trade-off regions appear in bundles 1 and 2. Over the last 30 years, all but the water-related SDGs are declining in bundle 1 of the two urban agglomerations, which are 15% higher in the Guangxi Beibu Gulf (GBG) than in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area (GBA). From 2020 to 2035, the three scenarios demonstrate that the optimization of the SDGs progresses most effectively under the future ecological protection scenario (EPS). In particular, bundles 3 and 4 are significantly improved. This critical new knowledge can be used in sustainable ecosystem management and decision-making in urban agglomerations.

  • WU Kang, ZHANG Jing, LI Dong
    地理学报(英文版). 2025, 35(4): 821-845. doi: 10.1007/s11442-025-2348-x

    Research on urban health constitutes an important issue in the field of health geography and also a strong propeller of the Healthy China Initiative. As the main form that realizes new-type urbanization, urban agglomerations should become the primal sites for the construction of a “Healthy China”. The evaluation of healthy cities’ development in urban agglomerations has both theoretical and practical values. Based on the concept of urban health and its evaluation models, this paper developed an evaluation framework for healthy cities that involved multiple data sources. With 19 urban agglomerations in China as the research subjects, we used CRITIC weighting and geographical detectors to examine the geographies of healthy cities and their influencing factors in 2010 and 2020. The results were fourfold. Firstly, the urban health level of China significantly increased from 2010 to 2020, and the comprehensive health index developed towards a positive skewed distribution, along with a shift from “low in the hinterland - high in the coastal areas” to a “multipolar” pattern led by the coastal and southwest urban agglomerations. Secondly, among various dimensions of urban health, the healthy environment index became improved with narrowed regional differences; while the health services index was still polarized; health collaboration was upgraded with a strengthened intercity health network; the healthy population index slightly declined and converged to the middle. Thirdly, urban health in China has initially demonstrated the characteristics of a H-H pattern in the Yangtze River Delta and Chengdu- Chongqing regions, as well as L-L clusters in the northern urban agglomerations, the narrowed regional differences, and increasing coordination within each urban agglomeration. Fourthly, the geographical detector found that economy, urbanization and the human capital were significant external factors that affected urban health development. The explanatory power of technological innovation and opening to the outside world were also increasing. The development of healthy cities is yet to be transformed into regional health integration.

  • XIANG Bowen, WEI Wei, GUO Fang, HONG Mengyao
    地理学报(英文版). 2025, 35(4): 867-885. doi: 10.1007/s11442-025-2350-3

    The uneven distribution of medical resources has led to increasingly frequent patient mobility; however, the interaction between this phenomenon and the healthcare supply-demand relationship remains underexplored. The present study constructed the 2023 Cross-City Patient Mobility Network in China using one million patient mobility data records obtained from online healthcare platforms. We applied urban network analysis to uncover mobility patterns and used the coupling coordination degree model to assess healthcare supply-demand relationships before and after patient mobility. Explainable machine learning further revealed the impact of supply-demand coupling on patient mobility. The results indicated the following: Patient mobility followed administrative boundaries, although megacities serve areas beyond provincial borders; The scale of healthcare supply and demand displayed a multi-centric spatial pattern with a general decline from east to west, and these characteristics of demand distribution were further solidified by patient mobility; Cities with low supply-demand coupling and undersupply experienced patient outflows, while cities with high coupling and oversupply attracted them. In turn, patient mobility helped balance healthcare supply and demand, optimising the coupling relationship across cities. Thus, this research not only provides a methodological reference for understanding the interaction between patient mobility and healthcare systems but also offers empirical insights for public health policy.

  • GARZO Pedro Andrés, DADON José Roberto, ISLA Federico Ignacio
    地理学报(英文版). 2025, 35(1): 206-230. doi: 10.1007/s11442-025-2319-2

    Dune barrier systems represent highly sought-after coastal landscapes for tourism and urban development around the world. However, a century ago, they were considered hazardous environments due to their great dynamic nature. As a result, stabilization practices were considered necessary. The systematic introduction of fast-growing exotic trees helped stabilize the sand, making it easier for tourism urbanization to take place, but also leading to erosion processes. This paper aims to assess long-term changes in vegetation cover over a large temperate barrier in Argentina. This complex region includes urban resorts, afforestation zones, and protected areas. A GIS-based geospatial analysis was conducted using a large satellite database (> 350 images), and the future evolution of the vegetation was modeled. The results revealed two primary spatiotemporal patterns associated with a gradual expansion of vegetation cover, accompanied by a concurrent reduction in sandy areas. In 1986, the dune area comprised 75% more surface than vegetation, whereas in 2021, it represented 60% less than vegetation. Furthermore, the 2050 scenario suggests a potential 40% reduction of dunes in certain areas. It is necessary to enhance management actions aimed at maintaining dune mobility and ensuring local and regional sediment balance. Long-term management strategies must focus on restoring native plant communities and controlling invasive species, and avoiding new dune fixation initiatives based on the introduction of exotic species.

  • ZHEN Baiqin, DANG Guofeng, ZHU Li
    地理学报(英文版). 2025, 35(4): 763-782. doi: 10.1007/s11442-025-2345-0

    Regular quantitative assessments of regional ecological environment quality (EEQ) and driving force analyses are highly important for environmental protection and sustainable development. Northern China is a typical climate-sensitive and ecologically vulnerable area, however, the changes in EEQ in this region and their underlying causes remain unclear. Traditional evaluations of EEQ rely primarily on the remote sensing ecological index (RSEI), which lacks assessments of indicators such as greenness (NDVI), humidity (WET), heat (LST), and dryness (NDBSI). To address these issues, this study employs the principal component analysis method and the Google Earth Engine to construct an RSEI suitable for long-term and large-scale applications and analyzes the spatio-temporal variations in the RSEI, NDVI, WET, NDBSI, and LST. Additionally, geographical detectors are utilized to analyze the driving factors affecting EEQ. The results indicate the following. (1) The RSEI shows a fluctuating upward trend, with an average value of 0.4566, indicating a gradual improvement in EEQ. The EEQ exhibited significant spatial heterogeneity, with a pattern of lower values in the west and higher values in the east. (2) The NDVI and WET exhibit fluctuating increasing trends, indicating improvements in both indices. The NDBSI shows a fluctuating decreasing trend, whereas the LST presents a fluctuating increasing trend, suggesting an improvement in the NDBSI and a slight deterioration in the LST. NDVI and WET demonstrate a spatial pattern characterized by low values in the west and high values in the east. NDBSI and LST demonstrate a spatial pattern characterized by low values in the east and high values in the west. (3) Land use types and precipitation are the primary driving factors influencing the spatial differentiation of the EEQ. The explanatory power of these driving factors significantly increases under their interactions, particularly the interaction between land use types and other driving factors. This study fills the gap in existing EEQ evaluations that analyze only the RSEI without considering the NDVI, WET, NDBSI, and LST. The findings provide new insights for EEQ assessments and serve as a scientific reference for environmental protection and sustainable development.

  • JIN Hanyu, CHENG Qingping
    地理学报(英文版). 2025, 35(4): 886-920. doi: 10.1007/s11442-025-2351-2

    Understanding the evolutionary trends and driving factors behind extreme hourly precipitation (EHP) in typical urban agglomerations is crucial for predicting and preventing rapid floods. We collected hourly precipitation datasets from 31 observation stations in the Central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration (CYA) spanning from 2004 to 2020. Urban and rural observations were dynamically classified based on impervious surface fraction. Linear (Granger) and nonlinear causal methods(convergent cross-mapping and Liang-Kleeman information flow) were used to identify the causal impact mechanisms of large-scale circulation, environment and urbanization on EHP. Moreover, geo-detector further reveals the spatial influence of these factors and their interactions on EHP. Our findings revealed that EHP mainly occurred in the afternoon and at midnight. Also, the frequency and intensity of EHP in the CYA significantly (p≤0.05) increased from 2004 to 2020, especially in urban areas. The increasing rate in urban areas was higher than that in rural areas. However, the duration of EHP/hourly total precipitation exhibited a significant/nonsignificant decreasing trend with no significant difference between urban and rural areas. Causality tests and geo-detector indicated that EHP was impacted by natural variability and urbanization. Large-scale circulation indices such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, El Niño-Southern Oscillation, and Indian Ocean Dipole nonlinearly influenced EHP. Additionally, urban landscape layout, vegetation, and population variation may strengthen EHP by changing environmental factors such as temperature and relative humidity. Interactions exist between these factors and influence EHP, although large-scale circulation remains the dominant influence. With global climate warming and rapid urbanization in the CYA, the frequency and intensity of EHP may further amplify in the future.

  • GUI Baoling, Anshuman BHARDWAJ, Lydia SAM
    地理学报(英文版). 2025, 35(3): 664-696. doi: 10.1007/s11442-025-2339-y

    While algorithms have been created for land usage in urban settings, there have been few investigations into the extraction of urban footprint (UF). To address this research gap, the study employs several widely used image classification method classified into three categories to evaluate their segmentation capabilities for extracting UF across eight cities. The results indicate that pixel-based methods only excel in clear urban environments, and their overall accuracy is not consistently high. RF and SVM perform well but lack stability in object-based UF extraction, influenced by feature selection and classifier performance. Deep learning enhances feature extraction but requires powerful computing and faces challenges with complex urban layouts. SAM excels in medium-sized urban areas but falters in intricate layouts. Integrating traditional and deep learning methods optimizes UF extraction, balancing accuracy and processing efficiency. Future research should focus on adapting algorithms for diverse urban landscapes to enhance UF extraction accuracy and applicability.

  • LIU Meiying, MIN Leilei, WU Lin, ZHANG Yucui, QI Yongqing, WANG Shiqin, LIU Binbin, GENG Di, SHEN Yanjun
    地理学报(英文版). 2025, 35(1): 189-205. doi: 10.1007/s11442-025-2318-3

    Nitrate (NO3) accumulation and transport processes in the thick vadose zone affect the evolution of the groundwater NO3 content in intensive agricultural regions. Agricultural land-use change (ALUC), typically accompanied by substantial alterations in nitrogen fertilizer application and irrigation practices, is an important influencing factor. This study evaluated the changes in NO3 accumulation and transport in the deep vadose zone (DVZ, below the root zone), and the groundwater NO3 content associated with ALUC from grain to vegetable fields in the North China Plain (NCP). The ALUC from grain to vegetable resulted in nitrate- nitrogen (NO3-N) accumulation in DVZ increased by 235.5 kg ha−1 m−1 (163.2%) in the piedmont plain and 224.9 kg ha−1 m−1 (102.7%) in the central plain, respectively. This change accelerated downward transport velocity in the DVZ (from 0.81±0.47 to 0.89±0.55 m yr−1 in the piedmont plain, and from 0.24±0.12 to 0.92±0.12 m yr−1 in the central plain) and increased NO3 leaching fluxes. High transport velocity and leaching fluxes resulted in chemical N-fertilizer entering the aquifer in several areas in the piedmont plain. The impact of the agricultural activity intensity changes, accompanied by the ALUC, on groundwater quantity and quality should be considered in similar regions.

  • BAI Yu, LIU Yansui, YUAN Xuefeng
    地理学报(英文版). 2025, 35(4): 783-799. doi: 10.1007/s11442-025-2346-z

    The agro-pastoral ecotone in northern China (APENC) is an ecologically fragile region with a variable climate and unbalanced socioeconomic development. Identifying the spatial range and transitional dynamics of the APENC is crucial for understanding the delicate balance between regional ecology, the economy, and society. The human-Earth system provides a comprehensive research framework in which human activities and the natural environment are viewed as interdependent and dynamically interactive. Guided by the principles of human-Earth system science, in this study, the boundaries of the APENC are identified by integrating core parameters, including water, land, climate, ecology, and human factors. Raster-based spatial data analysis is employed to examine the spatial and temporal evolution of the APENC from 1990 to 2020. The APENC extends from northeast to southwest along the central axis of northern China, displaying trends of contraction and fragmentation over time, with its centre of gravity shifting closer to the Hu Huanyong Line. The peripheral areas exhibit heightened sensitivity to environmental and ecological changes, highlighting the region’s vulnerability to external pressures. In this study, management strategies grounded in sustainable development principles are proposed, a framework for integrating ecological changes with socioeconomic strategies is established, and actionable guidance for policy- makers to promote sustainable development in this fragile and dynamic region is provided.

  • YANG Hua, XU Yong, LI Jiuyi, ZHOU Kan
    地理学报(英文版). 2025, 35(4): 800-820. doi: 10.1007/s11442-025-2347-y

    Cropland suitability analysis is a vital tool for ensuring food security and sustainable agriculture, coordinating ecological space with human activity space on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP). However, there are few studies on complete and accurate cropland suitability assessments on the QTP, let alone on identifying key potential areas for cropland development. We used a novel assessment model to generate a 30-m cropland suitability map for the QTP. The identification of areas with cropland development potential and the evaluation of potentially available cropland were further integrated into a unified analytical framework. We found that only 10.18% of the study area is suitable for large-scale and permanent cropland. Moreover, approximately 72.75% of the existing cropland was found to be distributed in suitable or marginally suitable areas. Considering the trade-offs related to irrigation water supply convenience, approximately 1.07% of the study area was identified as having high potential for cropland development. Four key potential areas were further identified: the Shannan Valley, the Nyingchi Valley, the Zanda Valley, and the Gonghe Basin. These areas boast abundant potentially available cropland resources and ecological resettlement capacities, which leads us to recommend strategic priorities for comprehensive land consolidation and water development. This study has practical significance for optimizing land resource allocation and guiding decision-making related to ecological migration on the QTP.

  • CHAPAGAIN Prem Sagar, BANSKOTA Tibendra Raj, SHRESTHA Shobha, ZHANG Yili, YAN Jianzhong, RAI Suresh Chand, ISLAM Md Nurul, LIU Linshan, MANDAL Umesh Kumar, PAUDEL Basanta, KHANAL Narendra Raj, THASINEKU Om Chandra
    地理学报(英文版). 2025, 35(2): 359-381. doi: 10.1007/s11442-025-2326-3

    Agriculture, significantly impacted by climate change and climate variability, serves as the primary livelihood for smallholder farmers in South Asia. This study aims to examine and evaluate the factors influencing smallholder farmers’ adaptive capacity (AC) in addressing these risks through surveys from 633 households across Nepal, India, and Bangladesh. The findings reveal that AC is influenced by various indicators categorized under eight principal factors. The first three factors, which explain about one-third of the variance in each country, include distinct significant indicators for each nation: in Nepal, these indicators are landholding size, skill-development training, knowledge of improved seed varieties, number of income sources, access to markets, and access to financial institutions; in India, they encompass access to agricultural-input information, knowledge of seed varieties, access to markets, access to crop insurance, changing the sowing/harvesting times of crops, and access to financial services; in Bangladesh, the key factors are access to financial institutions, community cooperation, changing the sowing/harvesting times of crops, knowledge of improved seed varieties, and access to agricultural-input information. Notably, indicators such as trust in weather information, changing sowing/harvesting times of crops, and crop insurance were identified as important determinants of AC, which have been overlooked in previous studies.