Cramer W, Bondeau A, Woodward F I et al., 2001. Global response of terrestrial ecosystem structure and function to CO2 and climate change: Results from six dynamic global vegetation models. Global Change Biology, 7: 357-373, doi: 10.1046/j.1365-2486.2001.00383.x.
Doherty R M, Sitch S, Smith B et al., 2010. Implication of future climate and atmospheric CO2 content for regional biogeochemistry, biogeography and ecosystem services across East Africa. Global Change Biology, 16: 617-640.
Fu B J, Niu D, Zhao S D, 2005. Study on global change and terrestrial ecosystem: History and prospect. Advance in Earth Sciences, 20(5): 556-560. (in Chinese)
Gao X J, Shi Y, Song R Y et al., 2008. Reduction of future monsoon precipitation over China: Comparison between a high resolution RCM simulation and the driving GCM. Meteorology Atmospheric Physics, 100: 73-86.
Gerten D, Schaphoff S, Haberlandt U et al., 2004. Terrestrial vegetation and water balance: Hydrological evaluation of a dynamic global vegetation model. Journal of Hydrology, 286: 249-270.
Hitz S, Smith J, 2004. Estimating global impacts from climate change. Global Environmental Change, 14: 201-218.
Institute of Soil Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences (ISSCAS), 1986. Atlas of China Soil. Beijing: SinoMaps Press.
IPCC, 2000. Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
IPCC, 2001. Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA: Cambridge University Press.
IPCC, 2007. Summary for policymakers. In: Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA: Cambridge University Press.
Ji J J, Huang M, Liu Q, 2005. Modeling studies of response mechanism of steppe productivity to climate change in middle latitude semiarid regions in China. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 63(3): 257-266. (in Chinese)
Ju W M, Chen J M, Harvey D et al., 2007. Future carbon balance of China's forests under climate change and increasing CO2. Journal of Environmental Management, 85: 538-562.
Koca D, Smith B, Sykes M T, 2006. Modeling regional climate change effects on potential natural ecosystems in Sweden. Climatic Change, 78: 381-401.
Li B, Zhou T J, 2010. Projected climate change over China under SRES A1B scenario: Multi-model ensemble and uncertainties. Advances in Climate Change Research, 6(4): 270-276. (in Chinese)
Li S C, Wu S H, Dai E F, 2005. Assessing the fragility of ecosystem using artificial neural network model. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 25(3): 621-326. (in Chinese)
Li Z et al., 1993. Physical Geography in Northeast China. Beijing: Higher Education Press.
Minnen J G, Onigkeit J, Alcamo J, 2002. Critical climate change as an approach to assess climate change impacts in Europe: Development and application. Environmental Science and Policy, 5: 335-347.
Morales P, Hick T, Rowell DP et al., 2007. Changes in European ecosystem productivity and carbon balance driven by regional climate model output. Global Change Biology, 13: 108-122.
National Assessment Report of Climate Change Editorial Committee (NARCCEC), 2011. Second National Assessment Report of Climate Change. Beijing: Science Press, 205-258. (in Chinese)
Peng S L, Zhao P, Ren H et al., 2002. The possible heat-driven pattern variation of zonal vegetation and agricultural ecosystems along the north-south transect of China under the global change. Earth Science Frontiers, 9(1): 217-226. (in Chinese)
Scholze M, Knorr W, Arnell N W et al., 2006. A climate change risk analysis for world ecosystems. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 103: 13116-13120, doi: 10.1073/pnas.0601816103.
Schröter D, Cramer W, Leemans R et al., 2005. Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe. Science, 310: 1333-1337, doi: 10.1126/science. 1115233.
Shi Y, Gao X J, Wu J et al., 2010. Simulating future climate changes over north China with a high resolution regional climate model. Journal of Applied Meteorological Science, 21(5): 580-589. (in Chinese)
Sitch S, Huntingford C, Gedney N et al., 2008. Evaluation of the terrestrial carbon cycle, future plant geography and climate-carbon cycle feedbacks using five dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs). Global Change Biology, 14: 2015-2039, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01626.x.
Sitch S, Smith B, Prentice I C et al., 2003. Evaluation of ecosystem dynamics, plant geography and terrestrial carbon cycling in the LPJ Dynamic Global Vegetation Model. Global Change Biology, 9: 161-185.
Wang G X, Hu H C, Wang Y B et al., 2007. Response of alpine cold ecosystem biomass to climate changes in permafrost regions of the Tibetan Plateau. Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology, 29(5): 671-679. (in Chinese)
Weng E S, Zhou G S, 2006. Modeling distribution changes of vegetation in China under climate change. Environmental Modeling and Assessment, 11(1): 45-58.
Wu J G, Lv J J, 2009. Potential effect of climate change on the distribution and range of arid regions. Research of Environmental Sciences, 22(2): 199-206. (in Chinese)
Wu S H, Dai E F, Huang M et al., 2007. Ecosystem vulnerability of China under B2 climate scenario in the 21st century. Chinese Sciences Bulletin, 52(7): 811-817.
Wu S H, Yin Y H, Zhao H X, 2005. Recognition of ecosystem response to climate change impact. Advances in Climate Change Research, 1(3): 115-118. (in Chinese)
Xu Y L, Jones R, 2004. Validating PRECIS with ECMWF reanalysis data over China. Agricultural Meteorology, 25(1): 5-9. (in Chinese)
Yin Y H, Wu S H, Zheng D et al., 2008. Radiation calibration of FAO56 Penman-Monteith model to estimate reference crop evapotranspiration in China. Agriculture Water Management, 95: 77-84.
Yu Li, Cao Mingkui, Tao Bo et al., 2008. Quantitative assessment of the vulnerability of terrestrial ecosystems of China to climate change based on potential vegetation. Journal of Plant Ecology, 32(3): 521-530. (in Chinese)
Zhao D S, Wu S H, Yin Y H, 2011a. Variation trends of natural vegetation net primary productivity in China under climate change scenario. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 22(4): 897-904. (in Chinese)
Zhao D S, Wu S H, Yin Y H et al., 2011b. Vegetation distribution on Tibetan Plateau under climate change scenario. Regional Environment Change, 11(4): 905-915.
Zhao J F, Yan X D Jia G S, 2009. Changes in carbon budget of Northeast China forest ecosystems under future climatic scenario. Chinese Journal of Ecology, 28(5): 781-787. (in Chinese)
Zhao M S, Neilson P R, Yan X D et al., 2002. Modelling the vegetation of China under changing climate. Acta Geographica Sinica, 57(1): 28-37. (in Chinese)
Zheng D, 2008. Chinese Ecogeographical Regionalization Research. Beijing: The Commercial Press. |