Research Articles

Global submarine cable network and digital divide

  • MA Xueguang ,
  • JIANG Ce , *
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  • Zhou Enlai School of Government, Nankai University, Tianjin 300350, China
* Jiang Ce (1997-), PhD Candidate, specialized in ocean security and global ocean governance. E-mail:

Ma Xueguang (1979-), PhD and Professor, specialized in ocean security and global ocean governance. E-mail:

Received date: 2025-01-24

  Accepted date: 2025-04-24

  Online published: 2025-08-28

Supported by

National Natural Science Foundation of China(42371175)

Abstract

As the most important large-scale communication infrastructure in the world today, submarine cable can profoundly reflect the global Internet communication pattern, and is of great significance for understanding the global digital divide. We used multi-scale and network analysis methods to depict the distribution pattern, network structure and spatio-temporal evolution of global submarine cables at the national and landing point scales, in order to analyze the current situation, challenges and main directions of global digital divide governance. Results show that: (1) spatial distribution of global submarine cables is unbalanced, the United States and Europe are the concentrated distribution areas of submarine cables and global information flow centers; (2) core connections of the global submarine cable network are only composed of a tiny minority of countries or regions or landing points, and have strong geographical proximity and clustered-type characteristic, noting that multitudinous landing points of developed countries are at the semi-periphery or even periphery of the network; (3) submarine cables can alleviate the global digital divide through the three paths of infrastructure universalization, digital ecosystem reconstruction and economic empowerment, and the global digital divide governance still faces the dilemma of the differences in digital strategy development and the lack of a governance system. However, due to the increasingly important position of cities in developing countries in the international communication pattern, the global digital divide problem is being alleviated.

Cite this article

MA Xueguang , JIANG Ce . Global submarine cable network and digital divide[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2025 , 35(6) : 1204 -1232 . DOI: 10.1007/s11442-025-2364-x

1 Introduction

Since the 1970s, the remarkable advancement of modern information technology and transportation infrastructure has substantially diminished the temporal cost and spatial distance for interactions among diverse entities (Harvey, 1990). This “compression of time and space” has spurred the transboundary flow of productive factors on a global scale, thereby accelerating the process of interdependence and regional integration across various domains. In this context, Castells (2010) proposed the concept of “space of flows”, which refers to a material space created and organized by constantly flowing abstract and physical elements over long distances such as capital, goods, labor and information, emphasizing the aggregation and sharing of elements within this organization no longer rely on geographical adjacency conditions. Owing to the dynamic nature of the “space of flows”, elements within geographical space can be more intricately connected and interact more intensively, prompting a paradigm shift in traditional geographical research from a central place model to a networked one, and further giving rise to a “mobility turn” (Hannam et al., 2006) in theoretical inquiry. Consequently, the “space of flows” network has increasingly emerged as a pivotal tool for studying spatial organization at various geographical scales, continuously reshaping the global political and economic pattern.
Among them, information flow is a key element driving the formation of “space of flows” network. In the new wave of globalization characterized by the extensive penetration of Internet technology, information flow has assumed a dominant role in shaping the dynamics of geographical spatial elements. It has transcended the constraints of temporal lag and distance-related costs that traditionally hampered geographical interactions, decoupling the attenuation of elements' functions and effects from spatial proximity. Especially in recent years, the booming of information and communication technology (ICT) industry, and the explosive growth of cloud computing, the Internet of Things, big data, artificial intelligence and other related businesses have significantly elevated the status of the digital economy in the economic and geographical activities of various countries. The Mobile Economy 2024 report (Joiner et al., 2024) shows that both the coverage gap and the usage gap of the global mobile Internet have apparently narrowed in the past eight years. The former has dropped from 18% in 2015 to 4% in 2023, and the latter has dropped from 47% in 2015 to 37% in 2023, but the gap is still large. There are 3 billion people living in areas covered by mobile broadband networks but do not use mobile internet, among which developing countries are particularly affected. The digital divide with information technology inequality as the core has become a critical factor in the imbalance of world development, exacerbating the global polarization between rich and poor, and bringing many governance problems. Faced with them, the international community in an anarchic state is unable to respond in a timely and effective manner, so it is necessary to solve them through global governance to bridge the digital divide, and uphold digital equity and justice.
In this context, research on communication infrastructure networks that carry information flows has become crucial. Submarine cable, as a pillar infrastructure for international information and technology circulation, has become a key target of international competition due to its outstanding strategic value in information transmission and military security. Since the completion of the world’s first transoceanic submarine cable TAT-8 in 1988, the construction and technological application of submarine cables have flourished, achieving outstanding progress in transmission distance, capacity and laying technology, thus making the global submarine cable network gradually formed and become increasingly complex. By the end of 2023, the total length of 574 submarine cables put into use worldwide had exceeded 1.4 million kilometers, carrying over 80% of global communication traffic, over 95% of intercontinental communication services, and over 99% of international information transmission (Ross, 2014; TeleGeography, 2023). It can be said that at present, apart from submarine cables, there is no other digital infrastructure that can meet the requirements of international communication for large capacity and reliability. With the unceasing advancement of global digital technology, the demand for interconnectivity within and between regions continues to increase, and countries are optimizing their policy environment to accelerate the construction of international communication facilities like submarine cables. For instance, developed countries or regions such as the United States (US), Japan and the European Union have introduced policies such as Partnership for Global Infrastructure and Investment (PGII), Asia-Africa Growth Corridor (AAGC) and Global Gateway Plan, to strengthen submarine cable connectivity with countries around the world, especially in Asia and Africa. Singapore has released the Digital Connect Blueprint to ensure that its digital infrastructure remains world-class and capable of embracing the future. China has proposed the Digital Silk Road Initiative, strengthened overseas digital infrastructure cooperation with countries along the Belt and Road, and jointly planned and constructed cross-border submarine cable projects. The emphasis on submarine cables by various countries has also brought about the progressively fierce competition in the geographic spatial layout of the global submarine cable network, and the differences in digital information development levels between countries or regions are deeply reflected in the layout of submarine cables. Therefore, analyzing the distribution pattern, organizational structure and spatio-temporal evolution of submarine cables can clarify the current situation and development trends of the global digital divide from a new vantage-point, which is of great significance for maintaining international communication security, and promoting global digital divide governance through submarine cable network construction.

2 Literature review

2.1 Network research from the transportation geography

American transportation geographer Rodrigue (2020) divided transportation modes into six categories, namely road transportation, rail transportation and pipelines, maritime transportation, air transportation, intermodal transportation and telecommunications, with submarine cables being the main carrier of telecommunications. Rodrigue regarded the submarine cable as a new type of transportation that emerged in the age of Post Fordism, while also criticizing the view that telecommunications did not have physical properties. He believed that submarine cables are material entities that carry communication transmission and should not be seen as a gray area of transportation. From this perspective, submarine cables, as major carriers and channels for information transmission between different regions, should belong to the category of transportation geography and are also a new field in transportation geography development.
Currently, academic research on various transportation networks has become relatively mature. As for research content, relevant studies mainly focus on three aspects: transportation network geography, passenger and freight flow geography, and theoretical transportation geography. Transportation network geography mainly follows with interest the characteristics, patterns and mechanisms of transportation network evolution and the spatial effects it leads to, especially the impact on urban development, industrial layout and land use. From the means of transportation, the studies typically focused on highways, railways, aviation, shipping and ports, and pipelines (Guan et al., 2022; Guo and Qin, 2022; Tagawa et al., 2022; Jiang et al., 2024; Wang et al., 2024b), paying attention to their network connections pattern, organization structure, evolution process, development mode, mechanism, external effects, and interaction relationships between different networks (Huang et al., 2020; Li and Rong, 2022). As for spatial scale, national and regional scale research still plays a major role, while transnational scale research generally regarded to shipping network and railway network. Especially in the context of the increasingly mature global economic and trade system and the deepening of European integration, the Belt and Road Initiative and other regional cooperation frameworks, the evolution and vulnerability of network structure, land and sea transport balance and benefits of developing countries’ transport network construction (Donaldson, 2018; Martín et al., 2021; Santos et al., 2022) have received more attention. Plus, the Arctic and Antarctic shipping routes have become research hotspots in recent years, which have a significant impact on the global shipping network even geopolitical pattern (Aksenov et al., 2017; Mishra et al., 2021). The passenger and freight flow geography mainly focuses on the occurrence and organization patterns and mechanisms of passenger and freight flows, and examines the evolutionary characteristics of spatial interaction networks (Klauenberg et al., 2020; Ma et al., 2024). Theoretical transportation geography mainly approaches from the relationship between transportation and regional development, laying emphasis on the recognition and evaluation of regional transportation advantages, transportation network configuration and transportation location measurement (Hu et al., 2015; Liu et al., 2018). Thus it can be seen that the submarine cable network has many analogous characteristics to the above-mentioned transportation system networks. For example, the laying path and landing method of the submarine cable network are similar to the maritime channels and ports of the shipping network, and the transportation method is similar to the oil and gas pipeline network. However, research on submarine cable network has been largely overlooked, so it is necessary to conduct horizontal expansion research on the transportation network.

2.2 Network research from the information and communication geography

Submarine cables are the backbone of global cyberspace physical infrastructure, as well as the crucial information infrastructure and medium in the information society. Information and communication geography research based on the external level of Internet is the basic way to systematically reveal the whole picture of its spatial impact theory. The research in this field mainly involves four aspects of the spatial distribution, influencing factors, organizational mechanism and spatial effect (Tranos and Gillespie, 2009; Muttitanon and Samanchuen, 2020; Li et al., 2023b; Wu et al., 2024) of Internet development and innovation elements flow (Ma et al., 2023), and reflects the accessibility and level of urban nodes and urban system through the communication infrastructure such as the Internet backbone network (Devriendt et al., 2010; Neal, 2011). Furthermore, measuring urban networks from the information flow has also become a popular field of information and communication geography. Research in this field is mainly based on mobile signaling, application check-in, Internet search, social media interaction and other multi-source big data (Iranmanesh and Atun, 2018; Fang et al., 2020; Li et al., 2022; Wang et al., 2024a) to analyze the spatial structure, evolution law, influencing factors and external effects of urban networks. Nevertheless, at present, most studies on information flow are specific to individual countries like US and China (Gorman and Malecki, 2000; Hu et al., 2020), or regions like Europe (Tranos and Gillespie, 2011), while the global scale studies (Candela et al., 2021) are few, and they generally value on solving the relationship between Internet spatial structure and urban system. Although related studies often highlight the important role of connectivity infrastructure including Internet in the external environment, rare studies are conducted from such infrastructure itself. Since submarine cables are the predominant carrier of information flow in the digital era, especially internationally, it is necessary for the information and communication geography study to return to the essence of physical infrastructure networks and explore the submarine cable network pattern.

2.3 Submarine cable and its network

Extensive research on submarine cables is mainly focused on the field of communication engineering, showing solicitude for the system structure, key technologies, material life, cost-effectiveness, safety monitoring, application scenarios and many other aspects of submarine cables (Audo, 2011; Bertheau and Cader, 2019; Bolshtyansky et al., 2020; Zhan et al., 2021; Wang et al., 2022; Cao et al., 2023; Li et al., 2023a). Through sorting, it can be seen that in terms of key technologies, space division multiplexing (SDM), underwater equipment, power feeding equipment (PFE) and Open Cable have become the core technologies for the construction and operation, driving the development of submarine cable system towards larger system capacity, longer transmission distance, lower cost per bit and more intelligent network architecture. In terms of operational modes, submarine cable investment and construction mainly adopt two modes: club and private submarine cable. Due to the numerous approval matters of the landing country, the huge construction and operation costs, and the high operational risks involved in the submarine cable project, the club mode of cost sharing and benefit sharing has become the main mode of construction and operation of submarine cables (especially traditional long-distance) at present. At the same time, with the rapid scale expansion of the Internet operators, the proportion of private submarine cable investment continues to increase. The large Internet enterprises such as Google, Meta, Microsoft and Amazon have become the main driving force for new submarine cables, and the advanced technologies like SDM and Open Cable also make the construction and operation more flexible.
We paid more attention to the system structure of submarine cables, which are complex and can be simply classified into four types: point-to-point, ring, branch, and multi-tiered (Ye et al., 2015). Based on the epistemology of submarine cable system structure, scholars have gradually applied theories such as graph theory and complex network to abstract submarine cable network into topological network, and further discuss its survivability, security or resilience, and deployment optimization (Cao et al., 2013; Qin, 2019; Zhao et al., 2023). However, as a new type of transportation category in the age of Post Fordism, submarine cable network is not just a topological network. Spatiality should be its first attribute, that is, it has a typical geographic spatial structure. But unlike traditional passenger and freight transportation networks including highways, railways, aviation and water carriage, submarine cable network is the transmission carrier of virtual information flows, integrating the contents of transportation geography, information and communication geography, so it has more complicated organization laws. Some scholars have gradually realized that submarine cables should belong to a large connected infrastructure network (Finn and Yang, 2009) and “cloudfrastructures” (Furlong, 2021), and the global submarine cable network has a non- equilibrium structure characteristic of semi-centralized or highly-centralized (Saunavaara and Salminen, 2023), which guards the information and communication security in the world. Notwithstanding, these studies mostly remain at the level of simple empirical judgments or descriptive analysis, and empirical analysis of submarine cable network structure is still in the exploratory stage. Moreover, studies have also explored the externalities and institutional regulation of submarine cables, particularly the economic and geopolitical effects they generate. The former indicates that the opening of submarine cables can promote regional economic development by alleviating information friction, among which it can significantly increase employment rates and credit supply in Africa, and reduce the digital divide between Africa and other regions (Steinwender, 2018; Hjort and Poulsen, 2019; D’Andrea and Limodio, 2024). The latter regards the massive data transmitted in submarine cables as important strategic resources, and believes that the submarine cable has multiple competitive dimensions such as development, safety, technology and space, and is a vital factor affecting the international relationship (Friedman, 2017; McGeachy, 2022).
In fact, research that truly delves into the submarine cable network structure from a geographical perspective is scarce. On the basis of referring to relevant research on the national Internet backbone network structure, Malecki and Wei (2009) initially depicted the global submarine cable network structure with key indicators including landing sites, cable lines, lit bandwidth and total bandwidth. Afterwards, Xie and Wang (2021; Wang et al., 2022) systematically characterized the spatial structure and formation mechanism of the submarine cable network in China, and on this foundation, explored the network vulnerability, but they paid insufficient attention to the dynamic changes and hierarchical characteristics of the network structure. In short, the submarine cable has long been overlooked as an invisible infrastructure, and study on examining the submarine cable network structure from a geographical perspective is still in its infancy. In the rapidly developing information economy and the turbulent world situation, it is necessary for submarine cable network to receive more attention from academia.

2.4 Digital divide

The concept of digital divide originated from the knowledge gap hypothesis and information gap theory in the 1970s. The initial focus of this concept was on the impact of ICT access on different social groups, namely the gap between information rich and information poor (Attewell, 2001), emphasizing the differences in informationize and the communication equipment ownership among different user groups, namely the digital access divide (also known as the first-level digital divide) (Kyriakidou et al., 2011). With the increasing improvement of information infrastructure, the deep integration of ICT in production, life and social governance has deepened the huge differences in its application among different user groups, resulting in the digital skill divide and the digital outcome divide (van Dijk and Hacker, 2003; Wei et al., 2011). The former, also known as the second-level digital divide, with a view to the differences in understanding, application and innovation capabilities of digital technology, and the latter, also known as the third-level digital divide, with a view to the differences in utilizing digital technology to achieve substantive effects. Thus, digital access, digital skill and digital outcome constitute the three fundamental levels of the digital divide. On this basis, scholars have conducted extensive research on the digital divide, mainly focusing on scale types, influencing factors, impact effects, measurement indicators, evaluation models and bridging measures. In terms of scale types, research on the digital divide typically falls into two categories: the digital divide between countries (i.e. the global digital divide) (Lutz, 2019) and the digital divide within countries (Jamil, 2021). In terms of influencing factors, it is generally believed that education, income, gender, age, infrastructure and geography are keys that contribute to the formation of the digital divide (Cruz-Jesus et al., 2018). In terms of impact effects, existing studies have discussed in detail the profound impact of the digital divide on social and economic development such as enterprise development, ecology and environment, education and health from micro, meso and macro levels (Luan et al., 2023; Sarwar et al., 2023; Han et al., 2024). In terms of measurement indicators and evaluation models, studies generally describe and explain the digital divide based on the measurement indicators issued by international organizations such as the ICT Development Index (IDI) from the International Telecommunication Union, the Network Readiness Index (NRI) from the World Economic Forum’s, and the Digital Economy and Society Index (DESI) from the European Union (Ayanso et al., 2014; Bruno et al., 2023), as well as multidimensional indicators such as Internet penetration, adoption of mobile devices, frequency of e-commerce use, the household and individual digital development index (HIDDI) (Gnangnon, 2019; Lucendo-Monedero et al., 2019), and further take advantage of various evaluation models like the unified theory of acceptance and use of technology (UTAUT) series models (Pick et al., 2021). In the light of empirical analysis, some scholars have proposed that ICTs connection, ICTs use and ICTs affordance are three paths to bridge the digital divide (Liao et al., 2022), while others have analyzed the regional and national determinants of the digital divide in the European Union and pointed out that measures including stimulating regional economic growth, improving higher education qualifications, increasing research and development expenditures, and preventing early dropout can successfully eliminate the digital divide (Szeles, 2018).
It can be seen that the digital divide is a relatively mature research field, which has formed a systematic theoretical system. Yet with the fast-growing information technology and the accelerated evolution of the global geopolitical pattern, the connotation and measurement of the digital divide need to be considered from a more diverse perspective, and digital divide governance, digital justice and digital inclusiveness have also become important issues for global sustainable development. As a consequence, our study sought to break away from traditional measurement indicators and evaluation models, and used submarine cable data to describe the current situation and evolution trend of the global digital divide, in order to explore the path of global digital divide governance.

3 Data and methods

3.1 Data source and preprocessing

The submarine cable data used in this study is sourced from TeleGeography (https://www.submarinecablemap.com/) and Infrapedia (https://www.infrapedia.com/). TeleGeography is a leading telecommunications market research and consulting company in the world that has been providing telecommunications industry data since 1989. Infrapedia is the world’s largest provider of infrastructure network maps and data information, supplying global submarine cable data since 1991. The submarine cable maps from these two companies have a long-time span, a large amount of data and are regularly updated, which are adopted by many world-famous Internet companies such as Microsoft, Amazon, Google and Meta, and are authoritative and reliable. We compared and analyzed the submarine cable information from these two companies and complemented each other, then captured key elements including name, status, length, ready for service (RFS), end of life (EOL), design capacity, fiber pairs, landing points, owners, suppliers, uniform resource locator (URL), etc., thus constructing a global submarine cable system database by the end of 2023. Due to the fact that we considered submarine cable as a communication infrastructure with transnational attribute, so based on this database, we only retained the submarine cable data that spanned two or more countries or regions (for the sake of simplicity, the term “country or region” is simplified as “country” in the following text, while ensuring the correctness of sovereignty). Meanwhile, we compared the data of two companies and removed decommissioned, partial out and small submarine cables with missing data. Moreover, owing to the strict regulation of the global telecommunications industry before 1995, the demand for international telecommunications services was limited, and the submarine cable industry was under the monopoly of basic telecommunications operators, with its quantity, length and number of landing points were all at a low level. As a result, we only preserved data on submarine cable laid after 1995, thereby ultimately selecting 264 global submarine cable systems from 1995 to 2023 as the research sample for our study.
Apropos network construction, we carried out the following processing: firstly, countries and landing points were respectively regarded as the main nodes (V={vi, i=1, 2, …, n}) in the network; secondly, due to the unique topology of submarine cable, there was a direct connection of information flow between every two nodes, so we considered all nodes on the same cable as direct connections, the interconnection between nodes is represented as edge (E={ei, i=1, 2, …, m}), the weight of the edge can be either the number or the connection capacity of submarine cable systems, and so far, a weighted undirected global submarine cable network G=(V, E) has been constructed; finally, we built the quantity connection matrix A=[Pij]n×n and capacity connection matrix B=[Qij]n×n between nodes, where Pij and Qij respectively represent the number and connection capacity of submarine cable systems between nodes i and j, and n represents the total number of nodes.

3.2 Methods

Complex network analysis (CNA) can effectively describe the internal structure and connection characteristics of the network, which is occupying a dominant position in network research. The complex and large-scale structure of the global submarine cable network provides opportunities for the application of complex network analysis methods. The structural parameters based on network analysis can quantitatively analyze the network, which is suitable for both internal network structure and different types of network analysis. As we mainly focus on the node status, indicators reflecting the overall condition of the network are excluded. Hence, we introduced the concepts of centrality and connectivity in CNA based on previous research to measure the topology structure of the global submarine cable network. The calculation method and meaning are shown in Table 1 (Ma et al., 2024).
Table 1 The definition of CNA indicators
Indicator Formula Specific meaning Representational meaning
Degree
centrality
$P_{r}=\frac{D_{r}}{N-1}$ (1) Dr is the number of nodes connected to node r, and N is the total number of all nodes (the same below). Representing the number of nodes directly related to a node, which can reflect the direct accessibility of nodes in the network.
Closeness
centrality
$C_{c}(i)=\frac{N-1}{\sum_{j \in V_{N}, j \neq i} \operatorname{Dist}(i, j)}$ (2) Dist(i,j) is the shortest path connecting nodes i and j, and VN is the point set in the network (the same below). Representing the average length of the shortest path from a node to all other nodes, which can reflect the relative accessibility of nodes in the network.
Betweenness centrality $C_{b}(i)=\frac{2 \sum_{j \neq k \neq i \in V_{N}} \frac{g_{j k}(i)}{g_{j k}}}{(N-1)(N-2)}$ (3) gjk(i) is the number of shortest paths between other nodes jk through node i, and gjk is the number of shortest paths between other nodes jk. Representing the probability that the shortest path between other nodes needs to pass through a certain node, which can reflect the transfer and cohesion functions of nodes in the network.
Eigenvector centrality $C_{E}(i)=\frac{1}{\lambda} \sum_{j} W_{i j} C_{E}(j)$ (4) Wij is the connection strength between nodes i and j, and λ is taken as the largest eigenvalue. Representing the position of the node through close connection with the hub node.
Connectivity NA NA Representing the degree of internal and external connection of nodes. Due to the complexity of submarine cable data processing, we define the connectivity of nodes as the direct arrival of the initial station to the destination.

4 Results

4.1 Spatio-temporal distribution of global submarine cables

4.1.1 Temporal evolution of global submarine cables

Figure 1 shows the changes in the number, length, landing points and landing countries of global submarine cables from 1995 to 2023. It can be seen that in the past 30 years, global submarine cables have experienced swift development. The number and total length of submarine cables with transnational attribute have increased from 27 and 20,000 km in 1995 to 264 and 117,900 km in 2023, respectively, the number of landing points and landing countries or regions has increased from 70 and 43 in 1995 to 1144 and 173 in 2023, respectively. According to its development history, the global submarine cable industry can be roughly divided into three stages. The first stage was from 1995 to 2002, which was the rapid growth period. Regulatory support, surging demand, technological advancements and substantial capital injections collectively fueled a boom in the industry. The entry of non-traditional telecommunications operators into submarine cable construction led to a significant increase in the number, length and landing points of submarine cables. The second stage was from 2003 to 2012, which was the reorganization and adjustment period. The over-construction in the previous stage, coupled with limited global market demand, resulted in a severe supply-demand imbalance. This imbalance intensified competition, caused a sharp decline in submarine cable prices, and left a large amount of redundant bandwidth in the digestion stage. Although the number of cables laid and landing points continued to rise, the slow growth in length indicated that newly constructed cables were predominantly small to medium-sized, signaling insufficient development momentum for the submarine cable network. The third stage is from 2013 to present, which is the recovery and expansion period. The acceleration of globalization, along with a new round of technological revolution and industrial transformation, has propelled information technology forward and significantly increased the demand for international Internet bandwidth. As a result, the global submarine cable network has entered a period of renewal, with investment and construction reaching a new peak. During this period, the quantity, length and number of landing points of submarine cables have all resumed rapid growth and gradually stabilized.
Figure 1 Changes in the number, length, landing countries or regions, and landing points of global submarine cables from 1995 to 2023

4.1.2 Spatio-temporal distribution of global submarine cable lines and landing points

The flow of Internet information and the distribution of data centers dominate the layout of global submarine cables. To comprehensively analyze the evolution trend of submarine cables, Figure 2 depicts the spatio-temporal evolution patterns of lines and their density from 1995 to 2023. Evidently, the diversification of submarine cable lines has become more pronounced over time. In 1995, the laid submarine cables were predominantly concentrated across the Atlantic Ocean, connecting Europe and the Americas. Specifically, these cables traversed between Western and Northern Europe, the Mediterranean coast, the southern US, and the Caribbean coast, with numerous landing points in countries such as the United Kingdom (UK), Denmark, Sweden and Italy. This early concentration not only underscores the historical significance of Europe and the Americas as the cradles of submarine cable development but also anticipates the prominence of the transatlantic route in global submarine cable construction. Subsequently, the construction of submarine cables expanded rapidly from these regions to other parts of the world. The spatial imbalance of global submarine cable distribution can be clearly seen at the national scale. Except for the countries like Western Sahara, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Montenegro, Eritrea, and DPRK, most coastal countries have laid submarine cables, but only a select few possess a substantial number of cable landing points. Among them, US and UK have maintained a leading edge of the number of international submarine cables since 1995, reaching 56 and 49 respectively in 2023, far surpassing other countries and solidifying their status as major submarine cable powers. Denmark and Singapore are the leaders in the second tier, with over 30 submarine cables landing in 2023, and countries such as Italy, Sweden, France, Japan, and Malaysia also feature prominently in terms of the number of landing cables. Overall, the distribution of landing cables conforms to three main characteristics: more submarine cables are laid in coastal countries on the east, west and south sides of the Eurasian continent, countries guarding important sea lanes (such as Singapore and Egypt), and countries with long and winding coastlines (such as US and Indonesia). The landing points, which are accurate to the city or lower spatial scales like county scale, also exhibits the characteristics of unbalanced spatial distribution as described above, as shown in Figure 3. In 1995, the points were mainly clustered along the European and Caribbean coasts, gradually spreading to other continents and forming five major landing point agglomerations: the European West Coast and Mediterranean Coast, the American East Coast and Caribbean Coast, East Asia and Southeast Asia, the Persian Gulf and Red Sea Coast, and the African West Coast. US and UK remain at the forefront, with 65 and 52 landing points in 2023 respectively, functioning as global communication hubs. Additionally, Philippines, Indonesia, Japan, and Spain have over 20 landing points, while Sweden, the Bahamas, Denmark and Brazil also rank highly. On the contrary, vast areas of Eastern Europe, southern Africa, Oceania, Latin America, and high latitude regions such as Russia and Canada have relatively sparse submarine cables and fewer landing points, signifying that these regions are yet to develop mature international submarine cable networks.
Figure 2 Distribution pattern of global submarine cable lines and their density in 1995 (a), 2004 (b), 2013 (c) and 2023 (d)
Figure 3 The point density distribution of global submarine cable landing points in 1995 (a), 2004 (b), 2013 (c) and 2023 (d)

4.1.3 The capacity distribution of global submarine cables

The disparity in information transmission capabilities of submarine cables is predominantly manifested in their capacity. Consequently, we further explored the spatial distribution characteristics of submarine cable capacity, as shown in Figure 4. It is obvious that the distribution of landing cable capacity at the national level is extremely unbalanced, with a few countries or regions having large landing cable capacity, while most countries or regions have less. Among them, only 5 countries or regions have a landing cable capacity higher than 1000 Tbps, while there are as many as 77 countries or regions with a landing cable capacity less than 30 Tbps, accounting for about half of the total number of landing countries or regions, and the capacity of the remaining countries or regions is concentrated in the range of 30 to 1000 Tbps. In particular, US remains the largest communication flow center in the world with a total capacity of over 2800 Tbps, far exceeding other countries or regions. This is mainly because that Europe-US, Asia-US, and Latin-US are the three directions with the largest international submarine cable bandwidth, and the Middle East and Africa are also connected to US through Europe. However, with the growing diversification of international bandwidth directions across regions, the proportion of bandwidth connecting Asia, Oceania, and Latin America to US within their total international bandwidth has declined, thus weakening US’s core position. Europe represents the region with the highest international bandwidth utilization and serves as a crucial transit point for the Middle East and Africa’s connection to the global Internet. Wherein, UK is the only country apart from US with a total capacity of over 1500 Tbps for landing submarine cables, France has a total capacity of over 1000 Tbps, and countries such as Norway, Spain and Ireland also have a total capacity that ranks among the top in the world. Singapore, Hong Kong (China) and Japan are the largest international bandwidth hubs in Asia, while some Asian countries including Malaysia, Thailand, India and Indonesia are experiencing rapid bandwidth growth, emerging as potential new hubs. In contrast, Latin America, the Middle East, Africa and Oceania have relatively lower international bandwidth volumes, with data flows predominantly directed towards US and Europe. Nevertheless, in recent years, there has been a discernible increase in intra-regional international bandwidth, accompanied by the emergence of more diversified routing directions. Notably, South Africa, Brazil, and Egypt, with relatively high total landing submarine cable capacities, show significant potential for development into regional communication flow centers. It should be noted that since we can only obtain global submarine cable capacity data for the most recent year (i.e. 2023), considering the analysis consistency, the empirical analysis in the following text will rely on the number of submarine cables and their landing points.
Figure 4 Distribution of total submarine cable capacity in each country or region in 2023 (a); The capacity of submarine cable connections between landing points in 2023 (b)

4.2 Global submarine cable connection network and its organization structure

4.2.1 Global submarine cable connection network at national scale

Based on the network construction method mentioned above, we built a matrix of the number of submarine cables between countries or regions from 1995 to 2023, and drew a higher number of connections in country or region pairs, which we referred to as the core connections at the national scale, as shown in Figure 5. As a whole, the number of submarine cable connections between most countries or regions is relatively small, and the more connections there are, the fewer country or region pairs there are. In detail, in 1995, only two country pairs, Denmark-Sweden and Finland-Estonia, had two submarine cable connections between them, while the rest had a single connection. Afterwards, there was a discernible upward trend in the number of connections between country or region pairs. In 2004, 2013, and 2023, there were 906, 1370 and 1491 country or region pairs with submarine cable connections respectively, the proportions of country pairs with four or more connections were 1.55%, 3.80%, and 6.64% respectively, while those with two or fewer connections accounted for 94.48%, 90.51%, and 86.59% respectively, indicating increasingly closer submarine cable interconnections between countries. Among them, Denmark-Sweden led in the number of connections in 2004 and 2013, with 7 and 8 cables respectively, followed closely by Japan-South Korea, US-UK, and India-Saudi Arabia. In 2023, Singapore-Indonesia pair emerged as the leader with 13 cables, the only pair exceeding 10 connections. Egypt-Saudi Arabia, Japan-South Korea, and Saudi Arabia-United Arab Emirates also had significant connections, each with 9 cables. Spatial analysis reveals that these core connections predominantly involve geographically proximate countries or regions, underscoring the strong spatial proximity of submarine cable connections. In the pattern of core connections, it is mainly composed of a tiny minority of countries or regions such as Indonesia, Singapore, Japan, Egypt, Hong Kong (China), Malaysia and Saudi Arabia. Among them, Malaysia, US, Italy and Saudi Arabia frequently appear in these connections, engaging with 10 or more countries or regions. In contrast, countries with early-stage submarine cable development, such as UK, Denmark and Sweden, are less prominent in the core connection pattern. UK only has core connections with a few countries or regions, and Denmark and Sweden mainly connect with each other. This pattern indirectly reflects that some European countries, particularly those in the Nordic region, have not extensively developed submarine cable connections with specific countries or regions.
Figure 5 The core connection pattern of number of submarine cable connections between countries or regions in 1995 (a), 2004 (b), 2013 (c) and 2023 (d). Except for 1995, only country or region pairs with 4 or more connections are shown for the remaining three years.

4.2.2 Global submarine cable connection network at landing point scale

The country is the service unit of the submarine cable network, while the landing point is the gateway. Further, we considered landing points as the micro scale research object that progresses from the macro scale (country or region). Therefore, we built a matrix of submarine cable connections between each landing point from 1995 to 2023 and drew the distribution pattern of connections, as shown in Figure 6. Overall, the number of connections between landing points has demonstrated a clear upward trajectory. In 1995, 2004, 2013 and 2023, there were 129, 1873, 2997 and 3769 landing point pairs connected by submarine cables respectively. Notably, the connection numbers were relatively low in 1995 and 2004, and it was not until 2013 that landing points with more than five connections began to emerge, which indicates that the vast majority of landing points rely on individual submarine cable systems for information connectivity, with only a select few establishing extensive interconnections. Specifically, numerous multi-connected landing point pairs are concentrated along the southern coast of the Eurasian continent, and there are also many connections between the east and west coasts of US, East Asia and Western Europe. These strongly connected landing point pairs are predominantly distributed between 0° and 55°N, forming a circumferential network encircling the Earth along the latitude line. Key landing points within this network include the west coast of UK, the Mediterranean coast, the Caribbean coast, Fujairah, Zafarana, Mumbai and Singapore. Additionally, several closely connected landing point pairs are found along the east and west coasts of the African continent, forming two meridian-oriented connection clusters. Among the landing point pairs with a high number of submarine cable connections, Jeddah-Mumbai led in 2013 and 2023, with 7 and 8 connections respectively. Other pairs such as Fujairah-Mumbai, Hong Kong-Singapore, Accra-Lagos, Fujairah-Jeddah, Suez-Jeddah, Suez-Mumbai, and Fortaleza-Rio de Janeiro had more than 5 connections. In 2023, there were three landing point pairs with over five connections, namely Fujairah-Karachi, Jeddah-Mumbai, and Shanghai-Hong Kong, expanding the core scope of submarine cable connections. Among them, Fujairah, Mumbai and Jeddah frequently appeared in these connections, each participating in three pairs. Spatial analysis reveals that these landing points are geographically proximate, showing that landing point pairs with extensive submarine cable connections, similar to country or region pairs, exhibit strong geographical proximity. It is important to note that during the network analysis, although each landing point was initially considered separately, due to the large number of closely-located landing points under the jurisdiction of Changi, Hong Kong and Shanghai at the highest connection level, representing these landing points separately would weaken their actual position in the information network and make the regional network more chaotic. Hence, in order to ensure consistency in the scale of the first level landing points and simplify spatial analysis, all landing points under the jurisdiction of Changi, Hong Kong and Shanghai were uniformly named after their respective cities, a convention followed in subsequent figures and tables.
Figure 6 The distribution pattern of submarine cable connections between landing points in 1995 (a), 2004 (b), 2013 (c) and 2023 (d). The landing points at the highest connection level are marked in red.

4.2.3 Global submarine cable connection network organization structure

Still further, we used CNA method to calculate the degree centrality, closeness centrality, betweenness centrality and eigenvector centrality of global submarine cable network nodes to inquire into the role of important landing points in the network from 1995 to 2023, as shown in Table 2. On the whole, the centrality of the global submarine cable network exhibits significant spatio-temporal variation characteristic, and the variation of each centrality is different. For instance, it can be seen that landing points with high degree centrality are few and scattered, while those with low centrality are numerous and common. High level landing points remain largely unchanged during the research period, such as Mumbai, Fujairah, Jeddah, Hong Kong and so on, which have high direct accessibility and are connected to plenty of other landing points in the network, while there are 159 landing points with a degree centrality below 1, meaning that their direct accessibility is relatively small in the network, and they can only form direct connections with the handful landing points. As for closeness centrality, its variation characteristics are completely different from the degree centrality, with generally high value and uniform distribution worldwide. We used Jenks Natural Breaks method to divided closeness centrality values into five levels and found that the highest and second level landing points accounted for over 60% of all landing points in 2004, 2013 and 2023 respectively, while the number of lower-level landing points was relatively small and concentrated in Europe, especially in Eastern and Northern Europe, indicating that most landing points have relatively small differences in relative accessibility and have open location advantage in the network, while some landing points in Europe do not have this advantage but rely heavily on other landing points in the process of network connection. The distribution characteristics of betweenness centrality and eigenvector centrality values are similar to degree centrality and closeness centrality, respectively.
Table 2 The centrality of the submarine cable network nodes
S/N Year Node Degree centrality Node Closeness centrality Node Betweenness centrality Node Eigenvector centrality
1 2004 Hong Kong 8.785 Lowestoft 2.000 Hollywood 18.270 Hong Kong 1.000
2 2004 Shanghai 8.311 Doha 1.998 Mazara del Vallo 13.649 Shanghai 0.998
3 2004 Bantangas 7.015 Alsgarde 1.995 Cancún 11.870 Penang 0.948
4 2004 Penang 6.714 Kristinelund 1.993 Palermo 10.708 Alexandria 0.941
5 2004 Sesimbra 6.693 Island Park 1.993 Fortaleza 10.506 Jeddah 0.941
6 2004 Fangshan 6.571 Plerin 1.992 Shima 8.938 Fujairah 0.941
7 2004 Alexandria 6.222 Aldeburgh 1.990 Le Lamentin 6.000 Suez 0.940
8 2004 Fujairah 5.865 Domburg 1.988 Chania 5.476 Geoje 0.940
9 2004 Jeddah 5.588 Otranto 1.987 Brookhaven 4.000 Mumbai 0.940
10 2004 Geoje 5.001 Aetos 1.987 Sesimbra 3.157 Satun 0.940
1 2013 Mumbai 11.112 Lowestoft 2.446 Hollywood 22.102 Mumbai 1.000
2 2013 Jeddah 10.934 Alsgarde 2.443 Mazara del Vallo 17.087 Jeddah 0.990
3 2013 Fujairah 9.750 Kristinelund 2.442 Palermo 15.737 Suez 0.950
4 2013 Hong Kong 9.200 Island Park 2.437 Cancún 13.164 Fujairah 0.943
5 2013 Suez 8.919 Plerin 2.437 Hong Kong 12.024 Hong Kong 0.903
6 2013 Shanghai 7.332 Aldeburgh 2.435 Le Lamentin 10.552 Shanghai 0.879
7 2013 Sesimbra 7.052 Domburg 2.434 Mumbai 8.442 Alexandria 0.879
8 2013 Alexandria 6.011 Otranto 2.432 Fujairah 7.806 Satun 0.866
9 2013 Penmarch 5.681 Aetos 2.432 Fortaleza 7.262 Sesimbra 0.835
10 2013 Satun 5.354 Poti 2.432 Chania 5.598 Geoje 0.834
1 2023 Mumbai 13.186 Lowestoft 2.719 Morro Bay 34.464 Mumbai 1.000
2 2023 Fujairah 12.212 Alsgarde 2.717 Hollywood 32.010 Jeddah 0.989
3 2023 Jeddah 12.207 Kristinelund 2.716 Mazara del Vallo 28.100 Fujairah 0.985
4 2023 Hong Kong 11.993 Island Park 2.716 Palermo 24.387 Hong Kong 0.908
5 2023 Tuas 10.159 Plerin 2.715 Cancún 22.071 Karachi 0.901
6 2023 Suez 9.788 Aldeburgh 2.713 Hong Kong 17.846 Suez 0.882
7 2023 Karachi 7.756 Domburg 2.713 Hillsboro 16.000 Satun 0.871
8 2023 Penang 6.755 Otranto 2.713 Sydney 15.500 Tuas 0.857
9 2023 Shanghai 6.613 Aetos 2.712 San Juan 11.019 Penang 0.853
10 2023 Satun 6.398 Poti 2.711 Mersing 9.707 Alexandria 0.806

Note: Only the top 10 nodes in every year are listed, taking three decimal places. Due to the limited number of landing points and the absence of a complex network in 1995, this table does not report centrality indicators for 1995.

Furthermore, the global submarine cable network exhibits distinct clustering characteristics, a phenomenon that becomes more pronounced over time, as shown in Figure 7. Leveraging the community detection theory within the framework of CNA, despite the relatively fewer and less intricate nodes in the global submarine cable network in 1995, five communities had already formed. With the exception of the community encompassing landing points along the Caribbean coast, such as Basseterre, Bridgetown, and Castries, which featured more complex interconnections, the node centrality within the other communities remained low, and connections were predominantly simple. Subsequently, as the submarine cable industry experienced rapid growth, the number of landing points increased significantly, and connections became more intricate and diverse, leading to a more complex network structure. In 2004, 2013 and 2023, the number of network communities all exceeded 50, with 5, 8, and 6 communities having nodes that accounted for more than 5% of the total number of nodes in that year respectively. Affected by geographical proximity, a notable “hugging together for warmth” phenomenon emerged among nodes within each community. For example, it has formed the “Asian community” led by many high centrality landing points such as Mumbai, Jeddah, Fujairah and Hong Kong (in 2023, it split into the “Persian Gulf-Red Sea Coast community” led by Mumbai, Jeddah and Fujairah, and the “East Asia-Southeast Asia community” led by Hong Kong, Shanghai and Batangas), the “Latin America community” (or the “Caribbean Coastal community”) led by Puerto Barrios, Fortaleza and Nassau, and the “Southern African community” led by Accra, Abidjan and Lagos, and these communities have multitudinous nodes and several leaders with higher level. In contrast, landing points in Europe and US have yet to form distinct and independent communities. Instead, they are predominantly integrated into the aforementioned communities, and their status within these communities remains relatively modest. Although they possess numerous landing points and extensive connections, these landing points are positioned at the semi-periphery or even the periphery of the global submarine cable node network. This is primarily due to the large number of landing points in these regions, which disperses the focus of external connectivity, offering multiple options and alternatives, thereby resulting in generally low node centrality. Moreover, the majority of European countries lack an edge in territorial area and coastline length. With the exception of UK, Western and Northern European countries face a complex marine landscape environment, leading to shorter submarine cables, limited international connections, and a preponderance of internal European linkages, relegating Europe to the margins of the global submarine cable network at the landing point scale. These observations underscore the indispensable role of developing countries and their landing points in the global communication landscape, providing novel insights for analyzing the global digital divide.
Figure 7 Spatial structure of submarine cable connection network between landing points in 1995 (a), 2004 (b), 2013 (c) and 2023 (d). Different node sizes represent different centrality, and different colors represent different communities.

4.3 The digital divide from submarine cable network

4.3.1 The mechanism of submarine cable network on the digital divide

The submarine cable network mainly affects the global digital divide through the following three paths:
(1) Infrastructure universalization. From the perspective of coverage expansion, the continuous laying of submarine cables continues to extend the reach of digital networks, enabling more remote areas to access high-speed Internet. Taking Cambodia as an example, in the past, due to weak digital infrastructure, the network coverage in rural areas was extremely low, and a large number of residents were unable to enjoy the convenience brought by digital technology. With the advancement of submarine cable projects and the construction of related supporting facilities, Cambodia is committed to improving the coverage of digital platforms. According to the government’s plan, Cambodia will achieve the goal of 100% high-speed Internet coverage in urban areas and 70% coverage in rural areas in 2025 (Government of Cambodia, 2021). The realization of this goal will enable more rural residents to access the Internet, participate in the digital economy and social activities, provide them with access to educational resources, medical information and employment opportunities, break the digital isolation caused by geographical restrictions, and promote the balanced distribution of digital resources between urban and rural areas. In terms of cost-effectiveness, submarine cables have significant advantages. Despite the huge initial investment, complex technology and high equipment costs involved in the laying of submarine cables, their unit data transmission costs are relatively low in the long run and scale effects. This means that with the expansion of submarine cable networks, not only can the cost of digital services be reduced, but it can also promote the development of digital economy in connected regions. In African coastal countries, with the access of submarine cables, Internet service providers can provide network services at a lower cost, making more residents can afford to access the Internet, thus improving the Internet penetration rate. At the same time, the growth of the digital economy has attracted more investment, further promoting the improvement and development of local digital infrastructure, forming a virtuous cycle, effectively promoting the popularization of digital infrastructure in a wider range of regions, and narrowing the gap in digital access between different regions.
(2) Digital ecosystem reconstruction. The development of submarine cable network has profoundly changed the global digital ecosystem, resulting in reconstruction effects in key areas such as education and healthcare, providing new opportunities to alleviate the many problems caused by the digital divide. In the field of education, the BELLA submarine cable project, a collaboration between the European Union and Latin America, has increased the research network bandwidth of Brazil and Portugal to 100 Gbps, making it easier for researchers in Latin America to access the Large Hadron Collider in Geneva (European Commission, 2015). The project also supports the Latin America-Europe Joint Online Laboratory, which enables the synchronous transmission of observation data from the Astronomical and Cosmic Ray Observatories in the Atacama Desert in Chile to European research institutions. This project narrows the gap in educational resources between developed and developing countries, providing students and researchers in developing countries with the opportunity to access globally leading research resources and quality education. The medical field also benefits from the digital ecosystem reconstruction brought by submarine cables. The remote medical system utilizes submarine cables for high-speed data transmission, enabling experts to remotely diagnose and consult patients in remote areas. In Southeast Asian island countries, the application of remote medical systems has reduced the response time for expert consultations from days or even longer in the past to several hours. Halodoc, a remote medical platform in Indonesia, has over 20 million active users. Through this platform, patients can have real-time video or text consultations with doctors, easily obtain professional medical advice, and medicines can be delivered to their homes. It provides home delivery services in 400 cities and claims that people in 120 cities can receive deliveries within 15 minutes after an order is placed (Shibata and Damayanti, 2023). This greatly improves the uneven distribution of medical resources, allowing patients in remote areas to access expert level medical services in a timely manner, improving the accessibility and fairness of medical services, and reducing health disparities caused by geographical distance and differences in medical resources.
(3) Economic empowerment. As a critical infrastructure for the digital economy, the submarine cable network unlocks multifaceted economic empowerment pathways for countries and regions along its routes. It significantly influences digital trade and employment transformation, thereby facilitating the adjustment of the global economic landscape and alleviating the digital divide. In the realm of digital trade, submarine cables’ high-speed and stable connectivity propels the growth of digital trade modalities, exemplified by China-ASEAN cross-border e-commerce. These cables’ efficient data transmission enables businesses to streamline order processing, engage with global customers, and empowers consumers to access international markets. Chinese e-commerce platforms leverage submarine cables to establish robust digital trade links with ASEAN nations, facilitating the reciprocal flow of goods. This digital trade dynamism stimulates economic growth, fosters opportunities for small and medium-sized enterprises, elevates developing countries’ standing in the global digital economy, and narrows trade-related digital disparities with developed counterparts. Regarding employment transformation, the digital economy bolstered by submarine cables generates novel job opportunities, catalyzing labor migration from traditional to digital sectors. As submarine cable networks expand and digital infrastructure advances, enterprises undergo digital transformation, driving up demand for digital technology talent. In emerging economies like India, the proliferation of submarine cable access has spurred young workers’ transition from agriculture and manufacturing to software development, digital marketing, and e-commerce. These digital occupations not only offer higher remuneration and career prospects but also enhance workers’ digital literacy, promoting economic equity and mitigating digital divide-induced social and economic disparities.

4.3.2 The current status of global digital divide

The distribution and spatial variation characteristics of submarine cables can to some extent reflect the spatial imbalance of global digital infrastructure layout. Different from the common socio-economic statistical indicators such as Internet or telephone penetration rate and indexes issued by organizations or institutions, we took advantage of submarine cable data to more objectively describe the current situation, evolution and future trend of the global digital divide from different scales. Firstly, we calculated the average of the four types of centrality in the global submarine cable network for each landing country or region or landing point during the study period. Secondly, we calculated the average of the annual values and integrate them into a score for each country or region and landing point. Then, we used JNB method to sort them, thus selecting the top 30 and bottom 30 landing countries or regions and landing points, as shown in Figure 8. It is not difficult to observe that the hierarchical structure of landing countries or regions and landing points follows a typical pyramid type, namely the more important the country or region or landing point, the fewer there are. At the national level, US ranks at the top of the pyramid running rings round other countries or regions and is a veritable submarine cable power with absolute voice, UK, Singapore, Japan, Malaysia and Indonesia are located in the second tier, all of which are typical island countries with long coastlines and prominent strategic positions in the regional and even global geopolitical pattern, making them natural locations for submarine cable layouts, and the other countries or regions located at the upper part of the pyramid are mostly in Europe, the Middle East and Southeast Asia, with developed and developing countries or regions almost evenly divided. Nevertheless, at the bottom of the pyramid, there are massive developing countries, generally located in Africa, Latin America and Oceania. These countries are often on the edge of the competitive landscape between nations, or can be referred to as “invisible countries” by reason of their small land areas, weak comprehensive national strength or low openness to the outside world, making them difficult to undertake global communication transmission tasks. At the landing point scale, Mumbai and Fujairah have the most prominent centrality, and are the two landing points with the strongest direct accessibility, relative accessibility, and transfer and cohesion functions in the global submarine cable network, which is consistent with the description of distribution pattern and network structure in the previous text, fully demonstrating that they are strategic pivots in the global submarine cable network. The second level landing points are Jeddah, Hong Kong and Singapore (including Tuas and Changi), which also have extremely important strategic positions in the global submarine cable network. There are a large number of third and fourth level landing points with wide coverage, which have important strategic significance for regional submarine cable network security although they have a slightly lower global impact on the network than first and second level. For example, Suez, Zafarana and Alexandria are key nodes connecting Asia and Europe, especially the Red Sea and Mediterranean, with important transfer and cohesion functions; Shanghai, California and Fortaleza are vital gateways to China, US and Brazil respectively, with relatively open geographical advantages. The first four levels of landing points constitute the core acupoints of the global submarine cable network, which means that once they lose efficacy or are constrained, the global submarine cable network will be hit globally or regionally. By contrast, at the bottom of the pyramid are hundreds of landing points, concentrated in Africa, Latin America and Europe. According to the previous analysis, the submarine cable system in Europe is complicated, with all coastal countries having submarine cables and most countries having multiple routes, bringing numerous and scattered landing points, thereby dispersing the network centrality of landing points in Europe. As a result, small landing points in Europe that receive fewer submarine cables are located at the bottom of the pyramid. The difference is that the solid majority of developing countries are at a disadvantage in the global Internet pattern dominated by developed countries due to their weak economic foundation, imperfect information infrastructure and unfavorable geopolitical factors. Therefore, they have a small number of submarine cables and landing points, and their submarine cable network is regional, which has not really formed the global network connected to most countries in the world, especially developed countries, eventuating their landing points being at the bottom of the pyramid.
Figure 8 Global submarine cable landing countries or regions (a); landing points level structure (b)
Hence one can see that both at the national and landing point scales, there is currently a significant “poverty gap” in the world from the perspective of submarine cables, which also reveals that the global digital divide is still significant. Although the submarine cable mainly involves the difference in the possession of communication infrastructure by users in different countries, namely the digital access divide, the upgrading of its key technologies and operation modes, the improvement of the quality of information acquisition by the public, and the expansion of social and economic benefits have become the direction of global communication network optimization and Internet competition at present and in the future, which can profoundly reflect the digital skill divide and the digital outcome divide. However, it is worth noting that in the pyramid structure of landing points, landing points in developing countries such as Mumbai, Fujairah, Jeddah and Hong Kong are located at the top of the pyramid, and during the research period, the number of submarine cables undertaken by these landing points and the number of connected countries have generally increased, indicating that their status in the global submarine cable network continues to heighten. Although this can show the dilemma of developing countries being limited by economic strength and geopolitical competition and only able to build a few landing points, it still fully reflects the durative promotion of digital infrastructure construction and development of the digital economy by developing countries, and the global digital divide phenomenon is being alleviated.

4.3.3 The dilemma of global digital divide governance

Despite the potential of submarine cables to mitigate the global digital divide, the intricate nature of this issue presents formidable challenges to global governance efforts. One of the primary obstacles stems from the divergence in digital development strategies among nations, which has fueled international competition and confrontation. Constrained by limited national capabilities, developing countries often experience sluggish progress in implementing digital development strategies, exacerbating the existing gap with developed counterparts. Moreover, digital hegemonic powers impede global digital divide governance by erecting digital barriers, thereby intensifying international tensions. Firstly, the high threshold of digital development constitutes a significant hurdle. Digital transformation necessitates a comprehensive array of development elements, including infrastructure construction, digital technology, financial resources, innovative concepts, talent cultivation, digital enterprises, and a conducive digital environment. Developing countries’ lag in digital development and entrapment in the global digital divide can be attributed to the severe deficiency of these essential components. Take submarine cables as an example: the industry’s value chain encompasses engineering-procurement-construction (EPC) activities, as well as the manufacturing, surveying, construction, and maintenance of cables. The high technical requirements and construction complexities inherent in these processes have concentrated each segment predominantly in a select group of developed nations. Currently, only US, France, Japan, and China possess a complete industrial chain. In contrast, most developing countries face constraints in technology, funding and human resources, rendering them unable to independently produce and operate submarine cables. Issues such as aging equipment, limited communication range and speed further contribute to the high concentration of the global submarine cable industry, thereby creating a “submarine cable divide”.
Digital hegemony further exacerbates international competition and confrontation. The emergence and evolution of the global digital divide have given rise to digital hegemonic practices, which in turn perpetuate the divide and obstruct governance efforts. Submarine cables have long been a strategic focus for major powers, shaping the course of modern geopolitical rivalries and influencing international relations. From US cutting off submarine cables connecting Spain to the Philippines, Cuba and Puerto Rico during the Spanish-American War, to UK cutting off five transatlantic submarine cables from Germany during World War I and Japanese cables connecting Saigon, Singapore and Hong Kong during World War II, to submarine cables became a prominent part of the US and Soviet vied for hegemony during the Cold War, and to the PRISM of US in this century, submarine cables gradually expanded the dimension of international infrastructure competition, forming four major competitive fields: security (serving national strategy and diplomacy, including intelligence transmission, military communication, etc.), development (helping to promote economic and trade cooperation between countries, including financial transactions, digital economy, etc.), technology and space. In recent years, major powers’ comprehensive suppression of other countries, particularly developing nations, across these domains has become a defining characteristic of digital competition. By monopolizing and blocking digital technologies, digital hegemonic powers seek to maintain their dominance, intensifying international digital rivalries and impeding global digital divide governance. Nevertheless, developing countries have persisted in pursuing digital development strategies despite these challenges. Emerging economies such as China, India, Brazil and South Korea have achieved notable progress in digital development, gradually emerging as pivotal nodes within the global submarine cable network.
On the other hand, the global digital divide governance system remains conspicuously underdeveloped. Presently, the global digital divide is characterized by a chaotic and disorganized state, marked by a dearth of cohesive governance entities and fragmented governance authority. This fragmentation impedes the integration of existing international resources for effective digital divide governance. Simultaneously, the absence of comprehensive governance rules, disparities in regulatory standards within the digital governance domain, and cutthroat competition among stakeholders have further exacerbated this disorder. Firstly, the governance landscape is characterized by a dispersed array of actors, with a conspicuous absence of a central governing entity. Governance power is fragmented across various international actors. Traditionally, sovereign states have been the primary subjects of global governance. However, with the advancement of globalization and the intensification of international cooperation, non-state actors have increasingly participated in global governance, assuming more substantial responsibilities. In the digital era, alongside sovereign states and international organizations, Internet giants, products of digital technological advancements, have emerged as significant players in governance, leading to a multi-stakeholder governance paradigm. The realm of submarine cables exemplifies this trend. A significant number of submarine cables are constructed by private institutions, with deep-sea key pipeline and line construction funding predominantly driven by major Internet enterprises. Over the past three decades, approximately 90% of submarine cable construction funding, amounting to around 43 billion dollars, has originated from consortia, indicating that ownership and maintenance of these cables lie primarily with global business groups (Bueger and Liebetrau, 2021). The planning, production, operation, and maintenance of submarine cables are predominantly in the hands of the private sector, with leading suppliers including SubCom (US), Alcatel Submarine Networks (ASN) and Nexans (France), NEC Corporation (NEC) (Japan), HMN Technologies (HMN) (China), Prysmian (Italy), and Luster (Denmark). Among them, SubCom, ASN, NEC and HMN are the world’s only four submarine cable integrators with cross-continental delivery capabilities, dominating the global market. In addition to private enterprises, international organizations also play pivotal roles. The European Union, World Bank, Asian Development Bank, and European Investment Bank actively enhance cross-border submarine cable network connectivity through investment and aid initiatives. International non-governmental cooperation organizations are also actively involved; for instance, the Atlantic Cable Maintenance Agreement (ACMA), a non-profit submarine cable maintenance cooperative, currently comprises around 70 cable company members. Nevertheless, the multi-stakeholder governance model lacks a central coordinating entity to unify efforts, allocate resources, and drive effective governance. While the diversification of governance actors can mobilize global resources for digital divide governance, disparities in governance philosophies, objectives, and interests among actors often lead to governance deadlocks.
Furthermore, governance rules and standards serve as the bedrock of global digital divide governance and are essential for constructing an effective global governance framework. Although the Convention for the Protection of Submarine Telegraph Cables in 1884 and the Geneva Convention on the High Seas in 1958 are established international treaties related to submarine cables, their regulatory scope is limited, primarily covering cable laying and repair in international waters, excluding exclusive economic zones and continental shelves. These treaties have also proven ineffective in deterring predatory practices by business entities. For example, in 2023, US House of Representatives subcommittee passed the Submarine Cable Control Act, aiming to restrict foreign competitors in the domestic submarine cable industry to safeguard national interests. This case underscores the weak willingness of some sovereign states to engage in autonomous governance. Instead, they prioritize national interests over international law, undermining the efficacy of international legal mechanisms and diminishing their regulatory capacity.

5 Conclusions and discussion

This study systematically depicted the distribution pattern, network structure and spatio-temporal evolution of global submarine cables from 1995 to 2023, and based on this, revealed the current status of the global digital divide and explained the dilemma of digital divide governance. We contribute several major findings to the theoretical and policy aspects of global submarine cable development and digital divide governance. Firstly, the quantity and capacity distribution of global submarine cables have shown obvious spatial imbalances, that is, US and Europe are the concentrated distribution areas, as well as the European West Coast and Mediterranean Coast, the American East Coast and Caribbean Coast, East Asia and Southeast Asia, the Persian Gulf and Red Sea Coast, and the African West Coast are the gathering areas of landing points. Secondly, the global submarine cable network is becoming increasingly complex and diverse, but the core connections are only composed of a tiny minority of countries such as US, Indonesia, Singapore and Japan. There are plenty of landing point pairs with multiple connections gathered along the southern coast of the Eurasian continent, and there are also many connections between the east and west coasts of US and East Asia and Western Europe, with strong geographical proximity. Thirdly, the global submarine cable network has a clear cluster-style characteristic, but larger communities are mainly distributed in areas where developing countries are concentrated such as Asia, Africa and Latin America. Although developed countries in Europe and US have lots of landing points and close connections, their landing points are at the semi-periphery or even periphery of the global submarine cable node network. Finally, submarine cables can alleviate the global digital divide through the three paths of infrastructure universalization, digital ecosystem reconstruction and economic empowerment. From the perspective of submarine cables, it can be seen that the global digital divide is still obvious. Developed countries such as US and UK occupy the upper end of the submarine cable pyramid structure, while massive countries in Asia, Africa and Latin America are at the bottom of the pyramid. Nevertheless, due to the increasingly important position of landing points in developing countries or regions such as Mumbai, Fujairah, Jeddah and Hong Kong in the international communication pattern, the global digital divide problem is being alleviated. Due to the differences in digital strategy development and the lack of a global digital divide governance system, the global digital divide governance is a long and arduous task.
The above shows that our research has innovative aspects. This is a beneficial attempt to use a geographical perspective to study submarine cable network, which to some extent breaks down the disciplinary barriers of submarine cable research, enriches the macro understanding of submarine cable distribution by the general public, and helps governments of various countries to scientifically plan and layout future submarine cable network. More meaningfully, we use submarine cables, the most important international information infrastructure, as point of penetration to reveal the current status of the global digital divide and analyze the main dilemma of digital divide governance. This novel perspective makes digital divide research more objective and realistic, providing decision-making references for relevant countries, especially the Global South, to formulate digital development strategies.
The submarine cable network is the “central nervous system” of the ocean, and is vital for national defense, telecommunications, energy and socio-economic development. In the face of the current global distribution of submarine cables, countries should work with international organizations and Internet enterprises to speed up their own submarine cable construction, optimize the global or regional submarine optical cable network. Although not all countries or cities have the conditions to lay submarine cables, the submarine cable network have shaped world-class backbone direct connection nodes and cross regional information flow networks in the process of globalization. As a geopolitical radiation zone, it has an important impact on global security governance and economic and social development, and are a new important issue in geography. The geographical research on future submarine cable network can concentrate more on global interconnectivity geographic research, spatio-temporal interaction mechanisms of regional development, new narrative content of geopolitical games, as well as combine submarine cables and other information infrastructure to characterize the digital divide and seek viable paths for global digital divide governance and digital justice.
The digital divide represents a complex and multifaceted governance challenge in the digital era. Its far-reaching implications permeate various aspects of international relations and human society, rendering governance efforts arduous and slow to yield results. To effectively address this issue, a holistic approach to digital governance is imperative, integrating digital divide governance into the broader framework of global digital governance. This can be achieved through three key initiatives: top-level design, standard reconstruction, and infrastructure construction. In terms of top-level design, accelerating the reform of global digital governance institutions is paramount. Building upon the existing global governance architecture, with the United Nations as the cornerstone and international organizations as its mainstay, specialized global digital governance bodies should be established to tackle a wide range of digital governance issues. This would enable the integration of critical concerns such as cross-border data flow, localized data management, and national digital security into the global governance agenda. Additionally, adopting a collaborative governance model that upholds network sovereignty and emphasizes equal participation and consultation among governments, enterprises, international organizations, technology communities, and internet users is essential for formulating international rules for digital divide governance. For standard reconstruction, a rule-based approach and respect for the rule of law should be upheld. Sovereign states, while pursuing independent exploration in digital governance and data security, should actively promote the establishment of unified international digital governance rules. This involves shaping a global governance rule system for the digital divide and gradually developing digital legal norms that accommodate the diversity of national contexts and the uniqueness of each country’s circumstances. Regarding infrastructure construction, strengthening digital infrastructure in areas such as 5G, the Internet of Things, data centers, and blockchain is crucial. Establishing a tripartite linkage model involving sovereign states, transnational corporations, and non-profit community organizations can effectively leverage the roles of multiple stakeholders. Moreover, cultivating high-level digital technology talent is essential. Countries should invest in modern digital talent education systems, fostering talent through diversified and multi-level approaches. Developing countries, in particular, should provide policy support for talent cultivation, learn from the experiences of developed nations, and encourage independent innovation and self-development among talent.
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