Research Articles

Distribution of topographical changes triggered by prolonged heavy rainfall in the Chinese Loess Plateau: A case study of the Gutun catchment in Yan'an

  • CAO Zhi , 1, 2, 3 ,
  • HAN Zhen 4 ,
  • LI Yurui 1, 2, 3 ,
  • WANG Jieyong 1, 2, 3
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  • 1. Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, China
  • 2. Key Laboratory of Regional Sustainable Development Modeling, CAS, Beijing 100101, China
  • 3. Key Laboratory of Degraded and Unused Land Consolidation Engineering, Ministry of Natural Resources of China, Beijing 100101, China
  • 4. Qingdao Marine Remote Sensing Information Technology Company, Ltd., Qingdao 266000, Shandong, China

Cao Zhi (1989‒), PhD and Associate Professor, specialized in rural geography and land science. E-mail:

Received date: 2022-10-17

  Accepted date: 2023-12-07

  Online published: 2024-04-24

Supported by

National Natural Science Foundation of China(42271279)

National Natural Science Foundation of China(41931293)

National Natural Science Foundation of China(41801175)

Taishan Industrial Experts Program

Abstract

As China's Loess Plateau has lately witnessed increasingly extreme precipitation events, it is important to analyze the impact of extreme precipitation and identify the conditions for the occurrence of geological disasters. Field surveys can provide detailed geological information in this regard but are time consuming and labor intensive. In this paper, we provide a case study on the Gutun catchment of Yan'an, which was affected by prolonged heavy rainfall in July 2013. We used Digital Elevation Model (DEM) data obtained by processing ZY-03 stereo-pair images before and after the rainy season, including the period of prolonged heavy rainfall mentioned above, to analyze the topographical changes triggered by the rainfall. The results showed the following: (1) The rainy season reduced the elevation of the catchment by about 1.7 cm. The major change in its elevation ranged from -0.5 to 0 m, accounting for 38.41% of the overall area of change and dominating above 70 m of slope height. (2) The rainy season increased the average inclination of the slopes in the area from 28.81° to 28.95°, while the range of their peak inclination was mainly distributed in the range of 24°-36°. (3) Sunny and half-sunny slopes exhibited a greater loss in elevation, while shady and half-shady slopes exhibited an increase in elevation. More drastic topographical changes were observed in the shady and half-shady slopes. (4) The morphology of the area that had undergone a reduction in elevation was characterized by concave slopes, while convex slopes abounded in the area with increased elevation. (5) The sunny or shady properties of the slope aspect constituted the key factor influencing the topographical changes, followed by the height, inclination, and shape of the slopes. The work here can provide guidance for measures related to disaster prevention and mitigation.

Cite this article

CAO Zhi , HAN Zhen , LI Yurui , WANG Jieyong . Distribution of topographical changes triggered by prolonged heavy rainfall in the Chinese Loess Plateau: A case study of the Gutun catchment in Yan'an[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2024 , 34(3) : 571 -590 . DOI: 10.1007/s11442-024-2218-y

1 Introduction

Global climate change is associated with natural events such as droughts, cyclones, floods, and heat waves that have specific and irreversible impacts on human settlements (Bandh et al., 2021). Arid and semi-arid regions face additional challenges owing to ongoing climate change, with increasingly extreme climate events threatening the sustainability of people's livelihoods and the economic development of such areas (D’Odorico and Bhattachan, 2012; Fu et al., 2021; Wen et al., 2023). China's Loess Plateau is typical of arid and semi-arid regions. Rainfall occurs on the plateau from June to September, accounting for 60%-70% of the annual rainfall, in the form of highly intense rainstorms (Cao et al., 2018; Wang et al., 2022). The highly concentrated rainfall, together with the thick and loose loess layer and unsustainable human activities in the area, have caused the plateau to become the most severely eroded region in China, and possibly even the world (Cao et al., 2019, 2022). Since 1949, the governments at all levels have implemented a series of projects and measures to control soil erosion in the plateau, including improvements to its slope, the joint governance of gullies and slopes, the comprehensive management of small watersheds, and the Grain for Green Program (Peng, 2013; Li et al., 2021). Measures of ecological restoration in the area have yielded remarkable results, but the environment of the plateau remains fragile (Bai et al., 2022; Yang et al., 2023). The frequency of extreme precipitation in the area continues to significantly increase due to climate change (Fischer and Knutti, 2016; Myhre et al., 2019), and poses a daunting challenge to sustainable development (Wang and Xu, 2023).
Extreme precipitation events in the Loess Plateau have led to incidents of severe collapses, landslides, subsidence as well as other geological hazards that have resulted in economic losses and human fatalities. From July 1 to 26, 2013, Yan'an city in Shaanxi province was hit by the most intense and prolonged rainfall, with the rainiest days and the shortest interval since meteorological records began being collected in 1945. It led to damage that was comparable to that caused by a magnitude 6 earthquake on the Richter scale (Yu et al., 2019a). The heavy rainfall triggered 8135 landslides, destroyed approximately 10,000 cave dwellings, killed 45 people, and incurred direct economic losses of 12 billion yuan (Wang et al., 2015). Yulin city of Shaanxi province suffered an extreme rainstorm from 4:00 pm on July 25 to 8:00 am on July 26, 2017 (Yang et al., 2019, 2020). The average intensity of the rainfall, its maximum one-hour intensity, and maximum six-hour intensity were the highest recorded in this area (Yu et al., 2019b). A total of 4.325 million people were affected by it, and it led to direct economic losses of 6.93 billion yuan (He et al., 2018).
Landslides and debris flow are the main manifestations of disasters caused by extreme precipitation in the Loess Plateau. Identifying the trends of geological disasters caused by extreme rainfall can provide a scientific basis for anticipating them and mitigating their impact. Prevalent research in the area has primarily used field surveys in combination with remote sensing data to obtain the relevant information and statistically analyze it. Such research can generally be classified into two categories: (1) Statistical analysis has been used for detailed investigations into geological disasters (e.g., landslides, collapses, and unstable slopes) based on remote sensing data and field investigations. For example, Zhu et al. (2017) explored the regularity of distribution and characteristics of development of landslides in 13 counties of Yan'an. Zhuang et al. (2018) analyzed the distribution and characteristics of landslides in the Loess Plateau based on a dataset formed by using field investigation and geohazard reports published by the local geological monitoring station in Shaanxi province. (2) Statistical analyses based on field investigations of geological disasters caused by heavy rainfall have also been conducted. For example, Wang et al. (2015) analyzed the characteristics of landslides caused by loess flow due to rainfall in Yan'an in July 2013 based on information acquired through field investigations conducted in the aftermath. Zhuang et al. (2017) studied the characteristics and distribution of shallow landslides by mapping them based on data from field investigations. While these methods can be used to obtain accurate data on landslides, they are time consuming and labor intensive, and can easily overlook certain areas of landslides such that this affects their effectiveness in terms of identifying the rules governing geological disasters.
Stereoscopic photogrammetry based on Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) and stereo-pair images provide the means to acquire information efficiently and accurately on topographical changes at a large scale. These technologies have been used to determine land deformation, soil erosion, landslides, and the heights of forests (Ren et al., 2014; Dong et al., 2018; Cabré et al., 2020). The authors of this study consider the Gutun catchment of Yan'an city in a case study. We compare Digital Elevation Model (DEM) data processed from ZY-03 stereo-pair images obtained in May and November 2013—before and after the rainy season and including the period of prolonged heavy rainfall in July 2013—to analyze the topographical changes in the area triggered by the rainfall. By summarizing the characteristics of the topographical changes, we seek to provide information that can help identify hidden dangers and inform strategies for land remediation to better deal with disasters caused by extreme rainfall.

2 Methodology

2.1 Research area

The Gutun catchment is located in Ganguyi Town, northeast of Yan'an city in Shaanxi province. It is a typical hilly and gully loess region spanning an area of 24.30 km2 and stretching for about 12 km from the northwest to the southeast. The main landforms are gully slopes, in addition to ridges and the beds of gullies, with an altitude of 900-1265 m. The area is characterized by a semi-arid continental monsoon climate, with an average precipitation of approximately 530.0 mm that is concentrated in the period from July to September of each year. According to data on daily meteorological observations recorded at the Yan'an station (a national primary standard weather station), and obtained from the China Meteorological Data Service Center (http://data.cma.cn/), the area received 568.0 mm of rainfall in July 2013, far exceeding those in the previous and subsequent years (114.1 mm each year on average in 1960-2012, and 141.0 mm on average in 2014-2022) (Figure 1). There were 20 rainy days in July 2013, including six days of torrential rain and two days of heavy rain.1(1 The China National Standard on the Grade of Precipitation (GB/T 28592-2012) has conditional standards of precipitation within 12 and 24 hours. In this study, we classified the grade of precipitation only according to the 24-hour standard based on the collected data on the daily precipitation.) In addition, the daily precipitation on 12 days in July 2013 exceeded the average daily precipitation values in July 1960-2012 and 2014-2022. Moreover, there were nine days in July 2013 when the volume of daily precipitation exceeded the average daily precipitation plus the standard deviation in July in 1960-2012 and 2014-2022. There were 31 days in 2013 on which the daily precipitation exceeded the monthly average daily precipitation on rainy days in 1960-2012 and 2014-2022, and 15 days when it exceeded the monthly average daily precipitation plus its standard deviation on rainy days in 1960-2012 and 2014-2022 (Table 1). Therefore, the prolonged heavy rainfall in Yan'an in July 2013 provides a valuable period in which to examine topographical changes triggered by the extreme precipitation event.
Figure 1 Location of the study area (Gutun catchment in Yan'an) and the precipitation in it

Note: The monthly and daily precipitation values in 2013, 1960-2012, and 2014-2022 are shown on the right. The red dots in (a), (b), and (c) refer to the monthly and daily precipitation values in 2013. The blue bars in (a) and (b), and the blue dots in (c) refer to the average monthly and daily precipitation values in 1960-2012. The green bars in (a) and (b), and the green dots in (c) refer to the average monthly and daily precipitation values in 2014-2022. Data on meteorological observations at the Yan'an station were obtained from the China Meteorological Data Service Center (CMDSC) (http://data.cma.cn/).

Table 1 Number of rainy days and the grades of precipitation in 2013
Month Rainy days Light rain days Moderate rain days Heavy rain days Torrential rain days Days > mean Days > mean+std
Jan 2 2
Feb 2 2 1
Mar 3 3 1 1
Apr 4 3 1 2 1
May 11 10 1 3 1
Jun 9 7 1 1 2 1
Jul 20 9 3 2 6 9 8
Aug 9 6 1 2 3 2
Sep 12 8 3 1 6 1
Oct 6 4 2 3
Nov 5 5 1
Dec 0

Note: China's National Standard on the Grade of Precipitation (GB/T 28592-2012) has conditional standards of precipitation within 12 and 24 hours. We classified the grade of precipitation only according to the 24-hour standard based on the data on daily precipitation. “Light rain” refers to 0.1-9.9 mm of rainfall over 24 hours, “moderate rain” refers to 10.0-24.9 mm of rainfall over 24 hours, “heavy rain” is 25.0-49.9 mm of rainfall over 24 hours, and “torrential rain” is 50.0-99.9 mm of rainfall over 24 hours. “Days > mean” refers to the days in 2013 on which the daily precipitation exceeded the monthly average daily precipitation on rainy days in 1960-2012 and 2014-2022. “Days > mean+std” refers to the days in 2013 on which the daily precipitation exceeded the monthly average daily precipitation plus its standard deviation on rainy days in 1960-2012 and 2014-2022.

2.2 Data and methods

With the development of high-resolution satellite remote sensing, stereoscopic photogrammetry based on the parallax analysis of stereo-pair images has emerged as an effective and efficient method for the generation of data for DEM (Li et al., 2018). Given the availability of data covering the entire catchment, we used DEM data on the Gutun catchment at a spatial resolution of 5 m that were processed from stereo-pair images, captured on May 29 and November 27, 2013, that were acquired from a three-line camera (TLC) sensor on the ZY-03 satellite platform. ZY-03 is China's first civilian high-resolution stereoscopic Earth-mapping satellite. Launched in January 2012, it has been widely used for surveying and mapping land resources, analyzing agricultural and forest irrigation and drainage, and for emergency mapping (Tang and Wang, 2016). Data on the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) were computed by using Landsat 7 imagery from June 2013, and were resampled to a spatial resolution of 5 m.
The relative elevation, reflecting the height of the slope with respect to the valley, is used to determine the gravitational potential energy that is relative to the stability of the slope and soil erosion. The Height Above the Nearest Drainage (HAND) index, which captures the vertical path of flow to the nearest drainage (Cao et al., 2019), was used to quantify the relative elevation. The position of the slope is the profile of the landscape on the slope and is related to its stability and soil erosion on it. The Relative Position Index (RPI) is an estimate of how far a given location is from a ridge or a valley. Its value is the ratio of the distance to the nearest ridge to the sum of the distances to the nearest streamline and ridge (Qin et al., 2009). The position of a given slope is classified as a valley, lower mid-slope, mid-slope, upper mid-slope, or ridge according to the value of the RPI (Skidmore, 1990). The HAND and RPI were extracted from the DEM data by using the AutoFuzSlpPos algorithm (https://github.com/lreis2415/AutoFuzSlpPos) (Qin et al., 2018; Zhu et al., 2018).
We used two classifications of the slope aspect: eight directions (i.e., north, northeast, east, southeast, south, southwest, west, and northwest), and four orientations (i.e., shady slope, half-shady slope, half-sunny slope, and sunny slope) (Pan et al., 2017). The shape of the slope was classified as convex if it had a positive curvature and concave if it had a negative curvature. The aspect, shape, and inclination of slopes in the Gutun catchment were calculated based on DEM data by using the Aspect, Curvature, and Slope tools in ArcGIS software. The slope length of the catchment was calculated from DEM data by using the Slope Length tool of SAGA software. The changes in the elevation, inclination, and aspect of slopes were calculated based on the corresponding raster data from two periods through the Raster Calculator tool of ArcGIS software. The elevation, relative elevation, RPI, length, inclination, aspect, and shape of slopes, and their changes in the subareas were calculated from the corresponding raster data by using MATLAB.
The correlation coefficients between the changes in elevation and topographical factors can help clarify the relative importance of the latter and reveal the mechanism of the topographical changes. They were calculated as the Pearson coefficient by using the corr(X, Y) function in MATLAB. To obtain the correlation coefficients, we quantified the categorical factors (i.e., slope shape and aspect, and gully land consolidation). The value of the curvature was used to represent the shape of the slope. The slope aspect along the eight directions was assigned values ranging from one to eight in order of the azimuth, while the slope aspect with respect to the four orientations was assigned values ranging from one to four based on the intensity of solar radiation. Gully Land Consolidation (GLC) was assigned the value one if it was within the areas of the land consolidation project and was otherwise set to zero.
To better highlight the relationship between the changes in elevation and factors of the terrain before the rainy season, we designed a Comparative Advantage Coefficient (CAC), which is the ratio of the percentage of the class of a given terrain-related factor (e.g., elevation or slope) in a given class of changes in elevation to the percentage of the class occupied by the given factor in the catchment. The CAC was calculated by using the following equation:
where CACi,j is the comparative advantage coefficient of class i of the terrain-related factor before the rainy season within class j of the changes in elevation, Aij is the area of class i of the terrain-related factor before the rainy season within class j of the changes in elevation, m is the number of the classes of terrain-related factors, and n is the number of the classes of changes in elevation. If the CAC was greater than one, this means that the particular class of changes in elevation was more concentrated in the particular class of terrain-related factors. The CAC was designed to answer the question of where the changes in elevation had mainly occurred.

3 Results

3.1 Changes in elevation

3.1.1 Characteristics of elevation before and after the rainy season

The rainy season lowered the elevation of the Gutun catchment. Its average elevations before and after the rainy season were 1071.574 m and 1071.557 m, respectively. The elevation of the catchment mainly exhibited a normal distribution, centered in the range from 1040 m to 1060 m. After the rainy season, the area of the region with elevations in the range of 980-1140 m increased (except in the range of 1020-1040 m) while the areas of regions with other ranges of elevations decreased. Of regions with different ranges of elevation, the region that underwent the largest increase in area had elevations in the range from 1020 m to 1040 m, while those that underwent the greatest reduction in area had elevations in the ranges of 1040-1060 m and 1100-1120 m (Figure 2).
Figure 2 Histogram of elevations of the Gutun catchment before and after the rainy season

3.1.2 Distribution of changes in elevation before and after the rainy season

The rainy season reduced the elevation of the Gutun catchment mainly in the range below 0.5 m (−0.5 to 0 m in Figure 3), and its area was up to 932.95 ha, accounting for 38.41% of the total area that had undergone a change in elevation. The area of the region that underwent an increase in elevation in the range of 0-0.5 m (0-0.5 m in Figure 3) was 680.94 ha (28.04% of the total area of change), while the area of the region that underwent a reduction in elevation in the range of 0.5-1.0 m (−1.0 to −0.5 m in Figure 3) was 365.54 ha (15.05% of the total area of change).
Figure 3 Patterns of changes in elevation of the Gutun catchment before and after the rainy season

Note: The histograms represent the areas of changes in the elevation and slope under different statistical intervals.

3.1.3 Coupling analysis of changes in elevation and the elevation before the rainy season

The areas in different classes of changes in elevation exhibited an approximately normal distribution before the rainy season. Moreover, the larger were the changes in elevation after the rainy season, the higher were the elevations of the relevant areas before it. The areas with a decrease in elevation of more than 0.5 m (the ranges of < −1.0 m and −1.0 to −0.5 m in Figure 4) peaked between 1120 m and 1140 m, while those with a decrease of less than 0.5 m (the ranges of −0.5 to 0 m) peaked between 1040 m and 1060 m. The areas that increased by less than 1.5 m (the ranges of 0-0.5 m, 0.5−1.0 m, and 1.0−1.5 m) peaked between 1040 m and 1060 m, and those with an increase of more than 1.5 m (the range of ≥ 1.5 m) peaked between 1100 m and 1120 m. The values of the CAC show that reductions in elevation greater than 0.5 m (the ranges of < −1.0 m and −1.0 to −0.5 m) occurred mainly in areas higher than 1080 m before the rainy season, and those of less than 0.5 m (the range of −0.5 to 0 m) occurred in areas lower than 1080 m before the rainy season. The range of elevations of areas with values of the CAC greater than one increased from 920−1060 m before the rainy season to 1060−1160 m after it.
Figure 4 Coupling between the changes in elevation and the elevation before the rainy season

3.1.4 Coupling analysis of changes in elevation and the relative elevation before the rainy season

The main ranges of relative elevation in areas with reduced elevation were higher than those in areas with increased elevation. The areas with a decrease in elevation of more than 1.0 m were mainly in the ranges of 50-60 m and 80-90 m of relative elevation, while those with an increase of more than 1.5 m were mainly in the ranges of 20-30 m and 30-40 m. Areas with values of the CAC greater than one and an increase in elevation had relative elevations below 70 m, while areas with a decrease in elevation had a relative elevation above 70 m (Figure 5).
Figure 5 Coupling between the changes in elevation and the relative elevation before the rainy season

3.1.5 Coupling analysis of changes in elevation and the length of the slope before the rainy season

The main ranges of topographical changes decreased when the length of the slope increased. The ratio of areas with decreased elevation was greater than that of areas with increased elevation in the range of slopes shorter than 10 m, while almost the opposite trend was observed in the range of slopes longer than 10 m. It is clear from values of the CAC that a slope length of 10 m was an important point of inflection in this regard (Figure 6).
Figure 6 Coupling between the changes in elevation and the slope length before the rainy season

3.1.6 Coupling analysis of changes in elevation and the RPI before the rainy season

The RPI indirectly reflects the position of the slope. The areas of the changes in elevation increased as the value of the RPI increased. Furthermore, erosion mainly occurred in ridges (where the RPI value was greater than 0.8, as shown in Figure 7), whereas deposition primarily occurred in the mid-slopes (RPI value in the range of 0.4-0.6) and lower mid-slopes (RPI values in the range of 0.1-0.4). The valleys (RPI values below 0.1) and upper mid-slopes (RPI values in the range of 0.6-0.8) featured both erosion and deposition. The values of the CAC show that areas with a decrease in elevation of more than 0.5 m mainly had values of the RPI above 0.6, while areas with an increase had RPI values below 0.8.
Figure 7 Coupling between the changes in elevation and the RPI before the rainy season

3.2 Changes in slope inclination

3.2.1 Characteristics of slope inclination before and after the rainy season

The rainy season caused the slopes of the Gutun catchment to become steeper. The average inclination of the slope increased from 28.81° before the rainy season to 28.95° after it. The peak of inclinations of the slope of the catchment ranged from 28° to 30°. After the rainy season, the slope showed variable increases in the ranges of 4°−18° and > 44°, and a reduction in the ranges of <4° and 18°-44°. This means that the rainstorm had washed out flatter ground and sharpened steep slopes (Figure 8).
Figure 8 Histogram of slope inclinations of the Gutun catchment before and after the rainy season

3.2.2 Changes in slope inclination before and after the rainy season

The area with the inclination of increase after rainfall accounted for 59.39% of the total area with a change in slope inclination. The changes in slope inclination exhibited a normal distribution that was centered in the range of 0°-0.5°, occupying an area of 377.64 ha that accounted for 15.55% of the area with changes in the slope (Figure 3).

3.2.3 Coupling analysis of changes in slope inclination and the slope inclination before the rainy season

The area that underwent a reduction in the inclination of the slope peaked mainly in the range of 24°-28°, while the range of peak slope inclination increased with the magnitude of changes in it. The ranges of areas with the peak slope inclination were 4°-8° and 24°-28° when the increase in the slope inclination was less than 1.0°, and it increased to 28°-32° and 32°-36° when the increase in the slope inclination was in the ranges of 1.0°-2.0° and ≥2.0°, respectively. The curve of the statistical distribution of the CAC was different, depending on whether the change in slope inclination was above or below zero, indicating that steeper slopes had become even steeper and the gentler slopes had become even gentler (Figure 9).
Figure 9 Coupling between the changes in slope inclination and the slope inclination before the rainy season

3.2.4 Coupling analysis of changes in elevation and the slope inclination before the rainy season

The range of the peak slope inclination increased with the degree of changes in elevation (regardless of whether it had increased or decreased). The range of the peak slope inclination increased from 24°-28° to 32°-36° when the elevation decreased from −0.5 to 0 m before the rain to <−1.0 m after it. Similarly, the peak of the range of slope inclination increased from 28°-32° to 44°-48° when the elevation increased from 0-0.5 m before the rain to ≥1.5 m after it. Values of the CAC show that areas with a higher inclination of the slope were prone to a greater degree of erosion or deposition, while areas with a lower inclination of the slope were prone to a smaller degree of erosion or deposition. In areas where the elevation had changed by more than 0.5 m, the inclination of the slope with the CAC greater than one was higher than 32°, while that in areas with a change in elevation less than 0.5 m was less than 32°. The CAC of areas with an inclination of the slope greater than 40° and increased elevation was larger than that of areas that had seen a reduction in elevation (Figure 10).
Figure 10 Coupling between the changes in elevation and the slope inclination before the rainy season

3.3 Changes in slope aspect and shape

3.3.1 Characteristics of slope aspect before and after the rainy season

The flow direction of the main channel in the Gutun catchment changed from north-south to east-west (Figure 3). The areas of different slope aspects were mainly related to this direction and showed two peaks in the east and west. Their areas increased by the most along the west and south, and decreased by the most along the northwest (Figure 11).
Figure 11 Histogram of the slope aspect of the Gutun catchment before and after the rainy season

3.3.2 Coupling analysis of changes in elevation and slope aspect before the rainy season

The spatial patterns of changes in elevation showed that the areas with decreased elevation were widely distributed while those with increased elevation were mainly concentrated on the lower shady slope (Figure 3). A reduction in elevation of more than 0.5 m (the ranges of <−1.0 m and −1.0 to −0.5 m in Figure 12) mainly occurred on the southward, southwestward, and westward slopes, while an increase in elevation of more than 0.5 m (the ranges of 0.5− 1.0 m, 1.0−1.5 m, and ≥ 1.5 m) mainly occurred on the northward, northwestward, and northeastward slopes. The ratios of slopes facing south and southwest with reductions in elevation of more than 1.0 m were 23.25% and 26.91%, respectively. The ratios of slopes facing north, northwest, and northeast, the elevation of which increased by more than 1.5 m, were 38.12%, 27.35%, and 20.78%, respectively, while those of slopes with an increase in elevation in the range of 1.0−1.5 m were 29.70%, 30.81%, and 19.08%, respectively. The slope aspect based on solar radiation (Pan et al., 2017) showed that areas with increasing elevation were mainly constituted by shady slopes and half-shady slopes, while areas with decreasing elevation mainly consisted of sunny slopes and half-sunny slopes (Figure 12).
Figure 12 Coupling between the changes in elevation and the slope aspect before the rainy season

3.3.3 Coupling analysis of changes in elevation and slope shape before the rainy season

The elevation of concave slopes primarily decreased by more than 0.5 m while that of convex slopes largely increased. As the range of the changes in elevation increased, the ratio of concave slopes gradually decreased from 64.96% to 33.87% of all slopes while that of convex slopes exhibited the opposite trend (Figure 13).
Figure 13 Ratios of convex and concave slopes in the Gutun catchment before and after the rainy season

3.4 Correlation between changes in elevation and topographical factors

The sunny or shady properties of the slope aspect represented the key factor influencing topographical changes, followed by the height (i.e., elevation and relative elevation), inclination, and shape of the slope. The slope length, RPI, NDVI, and GLC played minor roles in topographical changes. A strong correlation (r = 0.75, p < 0.01) was observed between the elevation and the relative elevation owing to the small drop in elevation in valleys over a small spatial scale. The relative elevation was more strongly correlated with the other parameters (except for slope inclination) than the elevation, especially with the RPI, NDVI, and GLC. The length, shape, and aspect along eight directions of the slope had weaker correlation with one another than with the other parameters, except for the correlation between slope length and shape (r = −0.19, p < 0.01) as well as the correlation between the two classifications of the slope aspect (r = 0.20, p < 0.01). The RPI and slope inclination were moderately correlated with the NDVI and GLC (r was in the range of ±0.22-0.28, p < 0.01), while the NDVI was strongly correlated with the GLC (r = −0.54, p < 0.01) (Table 2).
Table 2 Correlation between the changes in elevation and topographical factors
EC E RE SL RPI SI SS SA8 SA4 NDVI GLC
EC *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
E −0.16 *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
RE −0.16 0.75 *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
SL −0.05 −0.03 −0.06 *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
RPI −0.05 0.34 0.55 −0.17 *** *** ** *** *** ***
SI 0.11 0.16 0.07 0.12 −0.06 *** *** *** ***
SS 0.11 0.11 0.16 −0.19 0.17 0.02 *** ***
SA8 −0.16 0.00 0.04 0.04 0.00 0.03 0.00 *** *** ***
SA4 −0.39 0.03 0.04 −0.02 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.20 *** ***
NDVI 0.02 0.41 0.52 0.08 0.22 0.23 0.07 0.02 −0.12 ***
GLC 0.02 −0.33 −0.47 −0.06 −0.28 −0.23 −0.10 −0.03 0.01 −0.54

Note: “EC” refers to changes in elevation, “E” refers to the elevation, “RE” refers to the relative elevation, “SL” refers to the slope length, “RPI” refers to relative position index, “SI” refers to the slope inclination, “SS” refers to slope shape, “SA8” refers to the slope aspect along eight directions, “SA4” refers to the slope aspect with four orientations, “NDVI” refers to the normalized difference vegetation index, and “GLC” refers to gully land consolidation. “**” refers to statistical significance at the 0.05 level while “***” refers to statistical significance at the 0.01 level.

4 Discussion

4.1 Research validation and comparative analysis

We statistically analyzed the characteristics of topographical changes in the Gutun catchment before and after the rainy season in terms of the elevation, slope shape, and slope inclination. The main height, inclination, and morphology of the slope at points where the elevation changed were roughly consistent with the results of statistical analyses based on field surveys (Zhang et al., 2007; Wang et al., 2015; Zhu et al., 2017; Zhuang et al., 2018).
First, we used the relative elevation to approximately reflect the height of the slope. Our results showed that the rainy season reduced the elevation of the catchment above a relative elevation of 70 m. Zhang et al. (2007) used remote sensing data and a field survey to determine that landslides mainly occurred in the range of relative elevation of 50 m and 120 m in Baota in Yan'an.
Second, we found that the peak slope inclination was mainly distributed in the range of 24°-36° when the elevation decreased over different ranges. Wang et al. (2015) conducted a field investigation in Yan'an in July 2013, and found that most loess landslides occurred on slopes with angles in the range of 35°-50°. Zhuang et al. (2017) also analyzed the characteristics of loess landslides through a field investigation in Baota after a rainstorm and found that the highest density of landslides occurred over a range of slope angles of 25°-45°.
Third, we found that concave slopes dominated the morphology of areas with decreased elevation after rainfall while convex slopes occurred in areas with increased elevation. Different views have been proposed regarding the relationship between the slope shape and topographical stability. Wang et al. (2015) investigated geological disasters after the July 2013 rainfall event in Yanchuan county of Yan'an and found that linear and convex slopes (about 81% of the investigated loess slopes) were more prone to loess landslides than bench-shaped and concave slopes. Zhuang et al. (2018) found that concave slopes were prone to collapse and filling because their surfaces had steep upper-slopes with a higher potential energy. Our statistical analysis showed that the collapse of concave slopes reduced elevation while deposition at the bottom of convex slopes increased it in the Gutun catchment.

4.2 The need for indicators of slope position

We used four elevation-related factors (i.e., elevation, relative elevation, slope length, and RPI) to represent slopes. The elevation is the height above sea level, the relative elevation is the height above the nearest drainage, the slope length is the distance to the ridge, and the RPI is the position between the nearest ridge and drainage. The elevation is an absolute indicator, while the relative elevation, slope length, and RPI are relative indicators of the slope.
The elevation can vaguely reflect the position of a given location on the slope and in the catchment. The relative elevation represents the height of a location on the slope but not in the catchment and is related to the gravitational potential energy that determines the stability of the slope. The relative elevation is more suitable than the elevation for analyzing topographical changes in the slope. The values of the correlation coefficient showed that the relative elevation was more strongly correlated with the other parameters considered here than the elevation except for the inclination of the slope (Table 2). This is possibly because slopes in the upper catchment were steeper than those in the lower catchment.
The RPI represents the position of a given location on the entire profile of the slope and is related to the positions of the slope (e.g., ridge, shoulder slope, backslope, foot slope, and valley). This indicator can be used to quantify the position of the slope while ignoring the impact of its height. The RPI did not exhibit a strong correlation with topographical changes but was suitable for analyzing the NDVI and GLC (Table 2). The slope length is among the main and most variable components of empirical models of soil erosion (Liu et al., 2000). It exhibited a weak correlation with topographical changes (Table 2), probably due to deposition on the foot slope.

4.3 Mechanism of topographical changes

The soil on shady slopes on China's Loess Plateau is moister than that on sunny slopes due to the effects of solar radiation and evaporation, because of which the vegetation on shady slopes is denser (Yang et al., 2012). Shady and half-shady slopes are thus more likely to be the habitat for arbor vegetation (Singh, 2018). The areas occupied by shady and half-shady slopes with values of the NDVI above 0.7 were larger than those occupied by sunny and half-sunny slopes (Figure 14). The correlation between the NDVI and the slope aspect along four orientations was −0.12 (p < 0.01), thus confirming that vegetation on sunny slopes was sparser than that on shady slopes (Table 2).
Figure 14 Coupling between the NDVI and the shape of the slopes before the rainy season
The vegetation root, which creates preferential paths of flow, plays a leading role in erosion that leads to landslides, and determines its depth and intensity (Guo et al., 2020; Zhuang et al., 2022). The depth of infiltration of moisture in the soil is positively correlated with the depth of roots (He et al., 2020). The topsoil of shady and half-shady slopes, with denser vegetation and moister content, in the rainy season in the study area in 2013 was more easily saturated such that it slid, and this led to landslide mass being deposited at the bottom of the slopes. The areas of increased elevation were located in the south, near the valley lines (Figure 3), forming the changed slope profile with the decreased elevation of ridges/upper mid-slopes and the increased elevation of mid-slopes/lower mid-slopes (Figure 7). There are two possible reasons for the smaller deposition on sunny and half-sunny slopes: (1) Such slopes might have undergone surface erosion owing to their relatively sparse vegetation and dryer soil. (2) Sunny and half-sunny slopes might have been subjected to shallower landslides owing to the shallow-rooted vegetation on them, such as herbs and shrubs.

4.4 Impact of gully land consolidation

Gully land consolidation can reduce the risk of landslides. The Gully Land Consolidation Project was initiated in some counties of Yan'an city in 2010 (Liu et al., 2015). Land consolidation was implemented in the main gully of the Gutun catchment to increase the area of arable land, and to balance economic development with eco-environmental protection by cutting off hilltops and filling gullies in 2011 and 2012 (Cao et al., 2023). The project included three types of areas: the main gully-filling area, the lateral gully-filling area, and the area of vegetation restoration (Figure 15). The main gully was wider and more important than the lateral gully, and this area was thus equipped with wider channels for flood drainage, and complete cutting-slope protection engineering was applied to it. The area, and its ratio of levels of changes in elevation showed that the area percentage of the main gully-filling area was the smallest, while the area percentage outside the project area was the largest in terms of a reduction in elevation greater than 0.5 m. The area percentage of decreasing elevation below 0.5 m in the main/lateral gully-filling area was larger than the area outside. This might have been related to the excavation of unstable slopes and the filling of gullies in the project. The area of vegetation restoration had a greater ratio of sedimentation than the area outside, where this might have been related to the downslope segment in which the area was located. Values of the correlation coefficient showed that the project had little effect on topographical changes in the region (r = 0.02, p < 0.01) (Table 2). Notably, the vegetation was negatively influenced by the project (r = −0.54, p < 0.01), probably because it was designed to consolidate the valleys and barren land.
Figure 15 Comparison of changes in elevation between the Gutun catchment and the area under the Gully Land Consolidation Project

Note: The histograms reflect the areas undergoing different levels of changes in elevation between the Gutun catchment and the parts of its area designated under the Gully Land Consolidation Project. The percentage labels in the histograms reflect the area ratios of different levels of changes in elevation to the corresponding area.

4.5 Directions for future research

We have explored the characteristics of topographical changes based on DEM data from two periods, before and after the rainy season in the Loess Plateau. We plan to improve our method and model in a number of ways in our future research.
We plan to use a greater volume of relevant data in future work. We focused here on the topographical changes triggered by heavy rainfall in July 2013, and thus the DEM data should have been considered from the periods before and after rainfall. However, we used DEM data processed from stereo-pair images obtained on May 29 and November 27, 2013 as this was the closest available dataset before and after the rainy season. In addition, owing to the lack of fine-grained data on rainfall, we were able to classify the grade of precipitation only according to the 24-hour standard. We can obtain more accurate results in future research by using more fine-grained datasets.
We also need to provide a more sophisticated analysis. The vegetation cover is an important factor influencing the occurrence and movement of rain-triggered landslides (Glade, 2003). We conducted only a coupling analysis of the NDVI and the shape of the slope based on a remote sensing dataset. On the one hand, more datasets can be coupled with topographical changes, including land cover/land use data and data from field surveys. On the other hand, a more detailed examination than that based on a two-factor coupled analysis could be carried out in future work to obtain more accurate and useful findings. Furthermore, we need to better distinguish between the (interactive) contributions of different drivers and factors on topographical changes.

5 Conclusions

Global climate change has specific and irreversible impacts on humans, where this holds in particular for extreme climate events in arid and semi-arid regions. By considering the Gutun catchment of Yan'an city in the Loess Plateau in a case study, we compared DEM data from the area that were processed from ZY-03 stereo-pair images at a spatial resolution of 5 m from May and November in 2013. This included the rainy season in July 2013 that featured prolonged and heavy rainfall. We analyzed topographical changes in the area and the factors influencing them. The main findings are as follows: (1) The rainy season significantly lowered the elevation of the Gutun catchment by about 1.7 cm. The main range of the change in elevation was a decrease of 0-0.5 m, accounting for 38.41% of the area that had undergone changes, and its effect was dominant on slopes at heights above 70 m. (2) The rainy season steepened the slopes of the catchment from 28.81° to 28.95° in terms of average inclination. The range of peak slope inclination was mainly distributed in the range of 24°-36° when the elevation decreased over different ranges. (3) Decreased elevation was mainly observed on the southward, southwestward, and westward slopes, or on sunny and half-sunny slopes. Increased elevation was mainly observed on the northward, northwestward, and northeastward slopes, or on shady and half-shady slopes. Topographical changes were more drastic on shady and half-shady slopes. (4) Concave slopes constituted the main morphology of areas with decreased elevation while convex slopes were more common in areas with increased elevation after rainfall. (5) The sunny or shady properties of the slope aspect constituted the key factor influencing topographical changes, followed by the height (i.e., elevation and relative elevation), inclination, and shape of the slope. Our work here can inform subsequent research on the rules of occurrence of geological disasters as well as measures for disaster prevention and mitigation.
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