Journal of Geographical Sciences >
Dynamic evolution trend of comprehensive transportation green efficiency in China: From a spatio-temporal interaction perspective
Ma Qifei (1992-), PhD Candidate, specialized in transportation planning and management research. E-mail: maqifei@163.com |
Received date: 2021-09-29
Accepted date: 2021-11-18
Online published: 2022-05-25
Supported by
National Key Research and Development Program of China(2019YFB1600400)
National Natural Science Foundation of China(72174035)
National Natural Science Foundation of China(71774018)
Liaoning Revitalization Talents Program(XLYC2008030)
Liaoning Provincial Natural Science Foundation Shipping Joint Foundation Program(2020-HYLH-20)
It is urgent and important to explore the dynamic evolution in comprehensive transportation green efficiency (CTGE) in the context of green development. We constructed a social development index that reflects the social benefits of transportation services, and incorporated it into the comprehensive transportation efficiency evaluation framework as an expected output. Based on the panel data of 30 regions in China from 2003-2018, the CTGE in China was measured using the slacks-based measure-data envelopment analysis (SBM-DEA) model. Further, the dynamic evolution trends of CTGE were determined using the spatial Markov model and exploratory spatio-temporal data analysis (ESTDA) technique from a spatio-temporal perspective. The results showed that the CTGE shows a U-shaped change trend but with an overall low level and significant regional differences. The state transition of CTGE has a strong spatial dependence, and there exists the phenomenon of “club convergence”. Neighbourhood background has a significant impact on the CTGE transition types, and the spatial spillover effect is pronounced. The CTGE has an obvious positive correlation and spatial agglomeration characteristics. The geometric characteristics of the LISA time path show that the evolution process of local spatial structure and local spatial dependence of China’s CTGE is stable, but the integration of spatial evolution is weak. The spatio-temporal transition results of LISA indicate that the CTGE has obvious transfer inertness and has certain path-dependence and spatial locking characteristics, which will become the major difficulty in improving the CTGE.
MA Qifei , JIA Peng , SUN Caizhi , KUANG Haibo . Dynamic evolution trend of comprehensive transportation green efficiency in China: From a spatio-temporal interaction perspective[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2022 , 32(3) : 477 -498 . DOI: 10.1007/s11442-022-1957-x
Table 1 Basic types of spatio-temporal transition |
Type | Spatio-temporal transition form | Symbol |
---|---|---|
Type 0 | Local and neighbouring CTGE as stable. | HHt→HHt+1, LLt→LLt+1, HLt→HLt+1, LHt→LHt+1 |
Type 1 | Only local CTGE in transition | HHt→LHt+1, LHt→HHt+1, HLt→LLt+1, LLt→HLt+1 |
Type 2 | Only neighbouring CTGE in transition | HHt→HLt+1, LHt→LLt+1, HLt→HHt+1, LLt→LHt+1 |
Type 3 | Both local and neighbouring CTGE in transition | HHt→LLt+1, LHt→HLt+1, HLt→LHt+1, LLt→HHt+1 |
Table 2 Index system of comprehensive transportation green efficiency |
Indicators | First-level indicators | Second-level indicators | Unit |
---|---|---|---|
Inputs | Infrastructure | Total mileage of road, railway, waterway, and pipeline transportation network | 10,000 kilometers |
Capital stock | Capital stock in transportation | 100 million yuan | |
Labor force | Individuals employed in the transportation industry | Individuals | |
Energy consumption | Energy consumption in transportation | 10,000 tons of standard coal | |
Outputs | Expected outputs | Traffic added value | 100 million yuan |
Social development index (SDI) | - | ||
Unexpected output | CO2 emissions from transportation sector | 10,000 tons |
Figure 1 China’s comprehensive transportation green efficiency from 2003 to 2018 |
Figure 2 Comprehensive transportation green efficiency in 30 provincial-level regions of China |
Table 3 Markov transfer matrix for comprehensive transportation green efficiency in China from 2003 to 2018 |
t/(t+1) | n | I | II | III | IV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
I | 28 | 0.893 | 0.107 | 0 | 0 |
II | 257 | 0.016 | 0.922 | 0.062 | 0 |
III | 72 | 0 | 0.236 | 0.639 | 0.125 |
IV | 123 | 0 | 0.008 | 0.065 | 0.927 |
Figure 3 Spatial distribution pattern of comprehensive transportation green efficiency state transition in China |
Table 4 Spatial Markov transition matrix of comprehensive transportation green efficiency in China from 2003 to 2018 |
Spatial lag | t | n | t+1 | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
I | II | III | IV | |||
I | I | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
III | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
IV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
II | I | 28 | 0.893 | 0.107 | 0 | 0 |
II | 130 | 0.031 | 0.915 | 0.084 | 0 | |
III | 35 | 0 | 0.228 | 0.686 | 0.086 | |
IV | 47 | 0 | 0 | 0.106 | 0.894 | |
III | I | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
II | 125 | 0 | 0.936 | 0.064 | 0 | |
III | 31 | 0 | 0.258 | 0.581 | 0.161 | |
IV | 52 | 0 | 0.019 | 0.038 | 0.943 | |
IV | I | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
II | 2 | 0 | 0.500 | 0.500 | 0 | |
III | 6 | 0 | 0.167 | 0.666 | 0.167 | |
IV | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0.042 | 0.958 |
Figure 4 Spatial distribution model of state transition and neighborhood transition of comprehensive transportation green efficiency in China |
Table 5 Global Moran’s I of comprehensive transportation green efficiency in China |
Year | Moran’s I | z | p | Year | Moran’s I | z | p |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2003 | 0.2335 | 2.3390 | 0.008 | 2011 | 0.1703 | 2.3493 | 0.040 |
2004 | 0.2187 | 2.1630 | 0.017 | 2012 | 0.1804 | 1.9644 | 0.028 |
2005 | 0.2120 | 2.1120 | 0.015 | 2013 | 0.1317 | 1.5070 | 0.074 |
2006 | 0.1258 | 1.3507 | 0.088 | 2014 | 0.1547 | 1.6905 | 0.049 |
2007 | 0.1227 | 1.3727 | 0.083 | 2015 | 0.1311 | 1.4382 | 0.073 |
2008 | 0.1123 | 1.2777 | 0.097 | 2016 | 0.1458 | 1.5770 | 0.054 |
2009 | 0.0974 | 1.1687 | 0.111 | 2017 | 0.2403 | 2.3170 | 0.013 |
2010 | 0.1527 | 1.6420 | 0.062 | 2018 | 0.2456 | 2.4775 | 0.007 |
Figure 5 The LISA aggregation map of comprehensive transportation green efficiency in China |
Figure 6 Spatial distribution of geometry features of LISA time path in China |
Figure 7 Spatial distribution of LISA time path moving direction in China |
Table 6 Spatio-temporal transition matrices of local Moran’s I |
t/t+1 | H-H | L-H | L-L | H-L | Type | n | Proportion | SF | SC |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
H-H | 0.857 | 0.101 | 0 | 0.042 | Type0 | 387 | 0.860 | 0.136 | 0.864 |
L-H | 0.095 | 0.827 | 0.069 | 0.009 | Type1 | 34 | 0.076 | - | - |
L-L | 0 | 0.060 | 0.907 | 0.033 | Type2 | 27 | 0.060 | - | - |
H-L | 0.053 | 0.011 | 0.064 | 0.872 | Type3 | 2 | 0.004 | - | - |
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