Journal of Geographical Sciences >
Drought characteristics of Henan province in 1961-2013 based on Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index
Received date: 2016-03-10
Accepted date: 2016-05-21
Online published: 2017-03-30
Supported by
National Natural Science Foundation of China, No.41140019
No.41501263
The Key Program of Higher Education of Henan Province of China, No.15A180054
Copyright
Drought is one of the most complex natural hazards affecting agriculture, water resources, natural ecosystems, and society. The negative societal consequences of drought include severe economic losses, famine, epidemics, and land degradation. However, few studies have analyzed the complexity of drought characteristics, both at multiple time scales and with variations in evapotranspiration. In this study, drought occurrences were quantified using a new drought index, the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), based on observed data of monthly mean temperature and precipitation from 1961 to 2013 in Henan province, central China. Based on the SPEI values of each weather station in the study, the frequency and severity of meteorological droughts were computed, and the monthly, seasonal, and annual drought frequency and intensity over a 53-year period were analyzed. The spatial and temporal evolution, intensity, and the primary causes of drought occurrence in Henan were revealed. The results showed that the SPEI values effectively reflected the spatial and temporal pattern of drought occurrence. As the time scale decreased, the amplitude of the SPEI increased and droughts became more frequent. Since 1961, drought has occurred at the annual, seasonal, and monthly scales, and the occurrence of drought has increased. However, regional distribution has been uneven. The highest drought frequency, 35%, was observed in the Zhoukou region, while the lowest value, ~26%, was measured in central and western Henan. The most severe droughts occurred in the spring and summer, followed by autumn. Annually, wide-ranging droughts occurred in 1966-1968, 1998-2000, and 2011-2013. The drought intensity showed higher values in north and west Henan, and lower values in its east and south. The maximum drought intensity value was recorded in Anyang, and the minimum occurred in Zhumadian, at 22.18% and 16.60%, respectively. The factors with the greatest influence on drought occurrence are increasing temperatures, the Eurasian atmospheric circulation patterns, and the El Niño effect.
SHI Benlin , *ZHU Xinyu , HU Yunchuan , YANG Yanyan . Drought characteristics of Henan province in 1961-2013 based on Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2017 , 27(3) : 311 -325 . DOI: 10.1007/s11442-017-1378-4
Figure.1 Distribution of meteorological stations in Henan province |
Table 1 SPEI drought gradation hierarchies and corresponding cumulative probability |
Extreme drought | Severe drought | Moderate drought | Slight drought | Normal years | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
SPEI value | ≤-2.0 | ≤-1.5 | ≤-1.0 | ≤-0.5 | -0.5 to 0.5 |
Cumulative probability (%) | 2.28 | 4.40 | 15.87 | 30.85 | 50.00 |
Figure.2 SPEI values at different time scales in Henan from 1961 to 2013 |
Figure.3 The annual SPEI values at different time scales in Henan from 1961 to 2013 |
Figure.4 Mann-Kendall test for annual SPEI-12 series in Henan from 1961 to 2013 |
Figure.5 Drought frequency distribution at different scales in Henan |
Figure.6 Spatial distribution characteristics of drought intensity in Henan |
Figure.7 Moderate or above drought frequency distribution at different scales in Henan |
The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.
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