Journal of Geographical Sciences >
Precipitation variability in Portugal from 1960 to 2011
Author: A. N. Nunes, E-mail:adelia.nunes@fl.uc.pt
Received date: 2014-06-13
Accepted date: 2014-11-30
Online published: 2015-06-24
Copyright
This study analyses spatial variability and trends in annual and monthly precipitation (amount and concentration) based on data from 42 stations in mainland Portugal during the period 1960-2011. Relationships between certain geographic variables (elevation, latitude and longitude) and precipitation variability were also determined in order to check for specific dependencies and spatial patterns in precipitation distribution, concentration and changing trends. Trends and relationships have been analysed using both parametric and non-parametric tests. The results showed that annual precipitation had decreased in all stations and that this trend is statistically significant for most of the time series (70% of the stations showed negative trends with at least a 0.1 significance level). The Annual Precipitation Concentration Index revealed an opposite behaviour pattern, suggesting that even though the annual trend for precipitation amount was negative overall, more than half of the udometric stations registered a more marked seasonality for precipitation during the period 1960-2011. However, only one station showed statistical significant time trend. Regarding the influence of geographical features, latitude is the most important variable, governing spatial distribution and variations in annual precipitation as well as its intra-annual changeability. These important changes in precipitation, involving both amount and concentration, may have severe consequences for ecosystems and societies.
A. N. NUNES , L. LOURENÇO . Precipitation variability in Portugal from 1960 to 2011[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2015 , 25(7) : 784 -800 . DOI: 10.1007/s11442-015-1202-y
Figure 1 Location of the gauging stations used in this study |
Table 1 Characteristics of gauging stations used in this study (Length of record =52 yr) |
Rain gauges* | Altitude (asl m) | Latitude North | Longitude W Greenwich | Mean rainfall (mm) | St. deviation (mm) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
(1) Portelinha | 1018 | 42º05' | 8º17' | 1975 | 525 |
(2) Deilão | 892 | 41º85' | 6º59' | 784 | 211 |
(3)Travancas | 884 | 41º83' | 7º31' | 941 | 263 |
(4) Ponte da Barca | 39 | 41º80' | 8º42' | 1599 | 406 |
(5) Ponte de Lima | 18 | 41º77' | 8º60' | 1566 | 403 |
(6) Argozelo | 685 | 41º64' | 6º60' | 756 | 197 |
(7) Rio Torto | 322 | 41º54' | 7º28' | 537 | 149 |
(8) Barcelos | 36 | 41º53' | 8º62' | 1511 | 390 |
(9) S.M.Montanha | 866 | 41º50' | 7º75' | 1709 | 448 |
(10) Folgares | 739 | 41º30' | 7º28' | 623 | 165 |
(11) Amarante | 146 | 41º26' | 8º07' | 1215 | 330 |
(12) Escalhão | 615 | 40º95' | 6º92' | 546 | 127 |
(13) Castro Daire | 697 | 40º92' | 7º94' | 1577 | 456 |
(14) B.Burgães | 306 | 40º85' | 8º38' | 1733 | 452 |
(15) Pinhel | 606 | 40º77' | 7º06' | 597 | 165 |
(16) Pega | 770 | 40º43' | 7º14' | 773 | 231 |
(17) Almaça | 116 | 40º34' | 8º23' | 1056 | 308 |
(18) Covilhã | 719 | 40º28' | 7º51' | 1615 | 506 |
(19) Soure | 18 | 40º05' | 8º63' | 851 | 238 |
(20) Ladoeiro | 215 | 39º83' | 7º27' | 577 | 168 |
(21) R. Murta | 241 | 39º77' | 8º36' | 987 | 297 |
(22) V.V.Ródão | 84 | 39º65' | 7º67' | 739 | 217 |
(23) Cela | 2 | 39º57' | 9º07' | 769 | 197 |
(24) Abrantes | 105 | 39º45' | 8º10' | 679 | 199 |
(25) Castelo Vide | 552 | 39º41' | 7º45' | 823 | 236 |
(26) Chouto | 126 | 39º27' | 8º35' | 725 | 210 |
(27) Pragança | 183 | 39º20' | 9º06' | 912 | 260 |
(28) B. Caia | 217 | 39º00' | 7º14' | 489 | 155 |
(29) B. Magos | 43 | 38º99' | 8º69' | 640 | 187 |
(30) Pavia | 189 | 38º90' | 8º01' | 590 | 170 |
(31) S.J. Tojal | 6 | 38º84' | 9º12' | 736 | 217 |
(32) Vila Viçosa | 417 | 38º78' | 7º42' | 709 | 212 |
(33) Moinhola | 41 | 38º58' | 8º62' | 681 | 175 |
(34) Reguengos | 218 | 38º42' | 7º53' | 527 | 165 |
(35) V. Alentejo | 314 | 38º33' | 8º01' | 676 | 187 |
(36) Grândola | 95 | 38º17' | 8º55' | 651 | 180 |
(37) Serpa | 209 | 37º94' | 7º60' | 509 | 174 |
(38) Relíquias | 232 | 37º70' | 8º48' | 640 | 207 |
(39) Castro Verde | 217 | 37º70' | 8º09' | 524 | 157 |
(40) Martim Longo | 294 | 37º44' | 7º77' | 515 | 190 |
(41) B. Bravura | 64 | 37º20' | 8º70' | 693 | 229 |
(42) S.B. Alportel | 334 | 37º16' | 7º90' | 865 | 291 |
Mean | 896 | 254 |
* Rain gauges stations are listed in accordance with their latitude, towards North to South. |
Figure 2 Spatial distribution of mean annual precipitation (a) and mean annual precipitation concentration index (PCI) (b), in mainland Portugal for the period 1960-2011 |
Figure 3 Trends on annual precipitation: Spearman coefficient (a); magnitude of change in mm per year (mm yr-1) (b) |
Table 2 Monthly precipitation trends (1960-2011) |
Rain gauges | Months | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J | F | M | A | M | J | J | A | S | O | N | D | |
(1) Portelinha | -0.284** | -0.314** | -0.255* | -0.052 | -0.089 | -0.116 | 0.134 | 0.079 | -0.190 | 0.110 | -0.105 | -0.061 |
(2) Deilão | -0.204 | -0.300** | -0.197 | -0.016 | -0.074 | -0.270* | -0.207 | 0.047 | -0.154 | -0.001 | -0.113 | 0.035 |
(3) Travancas | -0.302** | -0.305** | -0.211 | -0.089 | -0.153 | -0.240* | -0.113 | 0.010 | -0.246* | 0.050 | -0.180 | -0.018 |
(4) P. Barca | -0.232* | -0.385*** | -0.236* | -0.026 | -0.085 | -0.100 | 0.184 | 0.112 | -0.241* | 0.042 | -0.049 | -0.031 |
(5) P.Lima | -0.258* | -0.357*** | -0.239* | -0.099 | -0.184 | -0.050 | 0.169 | 0.138 | -0.296** | -0.043 | -0.053 | -0.092 |
(6) Argozelo | -0.223 | -0.285* | -0.094 | 0.124 | -0.094 | -0.053 | 0.054 | 0.105 | -0.036 | 0.090 | -0.027 | 0.067 |
(7) Rio Torto | -0.136 | -0.378** | -0.191 | -0.096 | 0.097 | -0.240 | -0.122 | 0.204 | -0.116 | 0.088 | -0.155 | -0.021 |
(8) Barcelos | -0.259* | -0.341** | -0.230 | -0.043 | -0.140 | -0.120 | 0.309** | -0.025 | -0.303** | 0.126 | -0.054 | -0.132 |
(9) S.M.Montanha | -0.044 | -0.265* | -0.228 | 0.053 | -0.004 | -0.164 | 0.167 | 0.124 | -0.172 | 0.026 | -0.086 | 0.032 |
(10) Folgares | -0.187 | -0.310** | -0.228 | -0.067 | -0.107 | -0.311** | -0.054 | 0.217 | -0.134 | 0.138 | -0.115 | 0.069 |
(11) Amarante | -0.153 | -0.345** | -0.296** | -0.029 | -0.066 | -0.215 | -0.042 | 0.115 | -0.181 | -0.010 | -0.079 | 0.022 |
(12) Escalhão | -0.115 | -0.233* | -0.200 | 0.008 | -0.017 | -0.200 | -0.060 | 0.190 | -0.075 | 0.173 | -0.114 | 0.081 |
(13) Castro Daire | -0.245* | -0.343** | -0.300* | -0.040 | -0.186 | -0.308** | 0.130 | 0.170 | -0.132 | 0.138 | -0.120 | -0.006 |
(14) B.Burgães | -0.274* | -0.393*** | -0.326** | -0.107 | -0.189 | -0.145 | 0.266* | 0.134 | -0.220 | 0.056 | -0.008 | -0.023 |
(15) Pinhel | -0.177 | -0.257* | -0.293** | -0.028 | -0.007 | -0.262* | -0.020 | 0.158 | -0.110 | 0.099 | -0.183 | 0.012 |
(16) Pega | -0.169 | -0.275* | -0.197 | -0.197 | 0.010 | -0.286** | -0.054 | 0.231 | 0.006 | 0.128 | -0.202 | -0.030 |
(17) Almaça | -0.208 | -0.258* | -0.325** | -0.092 | -0.214 | -0.260* | 0.102 | 0.155 | -0.066 | 0.102 | -0.146 | -0.020 |
(18) Covilhã | -0.242* | -0.345** | -0.146 | 0.061 | -0.131 | -0.288** | -0.086 | 0.210 | -0.018 | 0.136 | -0.092 | 0.020 |
(19) Soure | -0.325** | -0.302** | -0.253* | -0.053 | -0.137 | -0.280** | 0.073 | 0.164 | -0.196 | 0.043 | -0.157 | -0.152 |
(20) Ladoeiro | -0.192 | -0.250* | -0.293** | -0.027 | -0.095 | -0.437*** | -0.027 | 0.037 | 0.008 | 0.177 | -0.081 | -0.033 |
(21) R. Murta | -0.321** | -0.343** | -0.355*** | -0.082 | -0.244 | -0.338** | 0.037 | 0.234* | -0.204 | 0.095 | -0.242* | -0.097 |
(22) V.V.Ródão | -0.100 | -0.211 | -0.189 | 0.161 | 0.070 | -0.345** | 0.097 | 0.293** | 0.019 | 0.203 | -0.067 | 0.016 |
(23) Cela | -0.322** | -0.262* | -0.271* | 0.026 | -0.133 | -0.248* | 0.280** | 0.230 | -0.096 | 0.050 | -0.177 | -0.110 |
(24) Abrantes | -0.268* | -0.252* | -0.306** | -0.035 | -0.103 | -0.314** | 0.231* | 0.166 | -0.126 | 0.099 | -0.160 | 0.030 |
(25) Castelo Vide | -0.129 | -0.216 | -0.248* | 0.025 | -0.085 | -0.349** | 0.066 | 0.197 | -0.184 | 0.191 | -0.113 | 0.038 |
(26) Chouto | -0.311** | -0.324** | -0.227 | -0.084 | -0.060 | -0.326** | -0.078 | 0.021 | -0.068 | 0.043 | -0.141 | -0.159 |
(27) Pragança | -0.321** | -0.383*** | -0.259* | 0.041 | -0.064 | -0.123 | 0.384*** | 0.450*** | 0.113 | 0.127 | -0.070 | -0.075 |
(28) B. Caia | 0.022 | -0.158 | -0.100 | -0.235 | -0.263 | -0.225 | -0.118 | -0.048 | -0.411*** | 0.200 | 0.335** | -0.031 |
(29) B.Magos | -0.250* | -0.339** | -0.271* | 0.022 | -0.188 | -0.280** | 0.168 | 0.113 | 0.025 | 0.099 | -0.216 | -0.120 |
(30) Pavia | 0.133 | -0.146 | -0.063 | -0.172 | -0.325** | -0.336** | -0.078 | -0.155 | -0.456*** | -0.006 | 0.260* | -0.127 |
(31) S.J. Tojal | -0.090 | -0.194 | -0.203 | 0.051 | 0.022 | -0.050 | 0.335** | 0.194 | 0.141 | 0.186 | -0.081 | -0.005 |
(32) Vila Viçosa | -0.228 | -0.302** | -0.372** | 0.021 | 0.055 | -0.287** | 0.198 | 0.292** | 0.024 | 0.050 | -0.116 | -0.159 |
(33) Moinhola | -0.200 | -0.252* | -0.206 | -0.022 | 0.026 | -0.136 | 0.299** | 0.226 | 0.002 | 0.170 | -0.058 | -0.077 |
(34) Reguengos | -0.299** | -0.281** | -0.285** | 0.103 | -0.050 | -0.312** | 0.387*** | 0.299** | -0.046 | 0.056 | -0.214 | -0.085 |
(35) V. Alentejo | -0.129 | -0.175 | -0.171 | 0.146 | 0.094 | -0.203 | 0.228 | 0.188 | 0.014 | 0.164 | -0.105 | -0.083 |
(36) Grândola | -0.122 | -0.238* | -0.196 | 0.117 | 0.071 | -0.167 | 0.416*** | 0.236* | 0.292** | 0.137 | -0.098 | 0.063 |
(37) Serpa | -0.169 | -0.223 | -0.131 | 0.114 | 0.018 | -0.457*** | 0.287** | 0.238* | 0.208 | 0.135 | -0.075 | -0.008 |
(38) Relíquias | -0.299** | -0.281** | -0.285** | 0.103 | -0.050 | -0.312** | 0.387*** | 0.299** | 0.010 | -0.119 | -0.175 | -0.059 |
(39) Castro Verde | -0.192 | -0.258* | -0.228 | 0.063 | -0.066 | -0.524*** | 0.248* | 0.366*** | 0.168 | 0.084 | -0.062 | 0.040 |
(40) M. Longo | 0.205 | 0.047 | -0.479*** | 0.368** | 0.186 | 0.214 | 0.082 | -0.007 | 0.152 | -0.193 | -0.210 | -0.149 |
(41) B. Bravura | -0.239* | -0.195 | -0.223 | 0.084 | -0.056 | -0.040 | 0.539*** | 0.241* | 0.190 | 0.079 | 0.019 | 0.150 |
(42) S.B. Alportel | -0.281** | -0.331** | -0.232* | 0.053 | 0.032 | -0.305** | 0.428*** | 0.161 | 0.217 | 0.094 | -0.085 | 0.090 |
Table 3 Monthly and annual PCI trends (1960-2011) |
Rain gauges | Months | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J | F | M | A | M | J | J | A | S | O | N | D | Year | |
(1) Portelinha | -0.133 | -0.197 | -0.130 | 0.087 | 0.099 | 0.002 | 0.236* | 0.163 | -0.061 | 0.245* | 0.048 | 0.103 | -0.068 |
(2) Deilão | -0.068 | -0.195 | -0.083 | 0.108 | 0.057 | -0.173 | -0.044 | 0.097 | -0.103 | 0.128 | 0.014 | 0.188 | 0.142 |
(3) Travancas | -0.094 | -0.206 | -0.045 | 0.064 | -0.010 | -0.126 | -0.046 | 0.131 | -0.133 | 0.185 | -0.023 | 0.179 | 0.146 |
(4) P. Barca | -0.044 | -0.339** | -0.080 | 0.112 | 0.044 | 0.025 | 0.258* | 0.195 | -0.193 | 0.129 | 0.072 | 0.131 | 0.056 |
(5) P.Lima | -0.028 | -0.256* | -0.092 | 0.075 | -0.072 | 0.099 | 0.279** | 0.216 | -0.150 | 0.072 | 0.091 | 0.137 | -0.049 |
(6) Argozelo | -0.175 | -0.246* | -0.043 | 0.173 | 0.001 | -0.006 | 0.089 | 0.119 | 0.011 | 0.161 | 0.076 | 0.151 | -0.130 |
(7) Rio Torto | 0.002 | -0.310** | -0.075 | 0.028 | 0.199 | -0.115 | -0.040 | 0.302** | -0.010 | 0.248* | -0.036 | 0.123 | -0.065 |
(8) Barcelos | -0.001 | -0.238* | -0.057 | 0.133 | -0.002 | 0.012 | 0.351** | 0.054 | -0.219 | 0.192 | 0.080 | 0.065 | 0.095 |
(9)S.M.Montanha | 0.054 | -0.209 | -0.106 | 0.157 | 0.103 | -0.085 | 0.197 | 0.172 | -0.131 | 0.030 | 0.001 | 0.141 | -0.023 |
(10) Folgares | -0.046 | -0.273* | -0.151 | 0.041 | 0.029 | -0.222 | 0.050 | 0.264* | -0.047 | 0.236* | -0.017 | 0.169 | 0.074 |
(11) Amarante | -0.046 | -0.310** | -0.195 | 0.142 | 0.089 | -0.093 | 0.021 | 0.241* | -0.107 | 0.098 | 0.038 | 0.192 | 0.069 |
(12) Escalhão | -0.040 | -0.203 | -0.077 | 0.038 | 0.053 | -0.170 | -0.030 | 0.221 | -0.028 | 0.252* | -0.022 | 0.137 | 0.096 |
(13) Castro Daire | -0.048 | -0.258* | -0.209 | 0.069 | -0.039 | -0.177 | 0.186 | 0.273** | -0.013 | 0.248* | 0.024 | 0.189 | -0.025 |
(14) B.Burgães | -0.163 | -0.317** | -0.202 | 0.079 | -0.037 | -0.047 | 0.348** | 0.229 | -0.068 | 0.212 | 0.142 | 0.195 | -0.116 |
(15) Pinhel | -0.023 | -0.186 | -0.190 | 0.087 | 0.166 | -0.151 | 0.040 | 0.183 | -0.019 | 0.207 | -0.129 | 0.127 | 0.105 |
(16) Pega | -0.072 | -0.192 | -0.065 | -0.020 | 0.091 | -0.160 | -0.005 | 0.267** | 0.154 | 0.313** | -0.122 | 0.089 | -0.056 |
(17) Almaça | -0.129 | -0.175 | -0.171 | 0.146 | 0.094 | -0.203 | 0.228 | 0.219 | 0.042 | 0.248* | 0.011 | 0.060 | 0.010 |
(18) Covilhã | -0.215 | -0.307** | -0.031 | 0.211 | -0.021 | -0.275** | -0.059 | 0.242* | 0.082 | 0.231* | -0.030 | 0.147 | -0.008 |
(19) Soure | -0.129 | -0.177 | -0.152 | 0.111 | 0.048 | -0.216 | 0.139 | 0.222 | -0.028 | 0.207 | 0.003 | 0.015 | 0.022 |
(20) Ladoeiro | -0.131 | -0.114 | -0.211 | 0.067 | -0.029 | -0.397*** | -0.020 | 0.077 | 0.125 | 0.281** | 0.028 | 0.072 | 0.249* |
(21) R. Murta | -0.154 | -0.186 | -0.207 | 0.134 | -0.089 | -0.231* | 0.103 | 0.308** | -0.016 | 0.258* | -0.051 | 0.203 | 0.140 |
(22) V.V.Ródão | -0.100 | -0.211 | -0.189 | 0.161 | 0.070 | -0.345** | 0.097 | 0.293** | 0.019 | 0.273* | 0.015 | 0.088 | 0.105 |
(23) Cela | -0.210 | -0.131 | -0.183 | 0.186 | -0.048 | -0.168 | 0.321** | 0.288** | 0.010 | 0.175 | 0.021 | 0.013 | -0.044 |
(24) Abrantes | -0.147 | -0.095 | -0.221 | 0.083 | 0.058 | -0.226 | 0.238* | 0.210 | -0.025 | 0.188 | -0.016 | 0.191 | -0.065 |
(25) Castelo Vide | -0.014 | -0.137 | -0.176 | 0.091 | -0.019 | -0.325** | 0.091 | 0.244* | -0.137 | 0.245* | -0.002 | 0.155 | 0.110 |
(26) Chouto | -0.155 | -0.134 | -0.074 | 0.078 | 0.106 | -0.220 | -0.026 | 0.109 | 0.077 | 0.185 | 0.008 | -0.040 | 0.110 |
(27) Pragança | -0.278** | -0.293** | -0.152 | 0.158 | 0.035 | -0.084 | 0.410*** | 0.475*** | 0.220 | 0.220 | 0.039 | 0.081 | -0.174 |
(28) B. Caia | 0.199 | -0.001 | 0.030 | -0.048 | -0.142 | -0.098 | 0.041 | 0.061 | -0.329** | 0.232* | 0.360*** | 0.044 | 0.048 |
(29) B.Magos | -0.159 | -0.180 | -0.110 | 0.209 | -0.082 | -0.224 | 0.204 | 0.179 | 0.151 | 0.249* | -0.104 | 0.024 | 0.099 |
(30) Pavia | 0.256* | 0.029 | 0.065 | 0.021 | -0.167 | -0.201 | 0.047 | -0.068 | -0.372*** | 0.013 | 0.307** | -0.004 | 0.216 |
(31) S.J. Tojal | -0.130 | -0.148 | -0.128 | 0.168 | 0.057 | -0.427*** | 0.291** | 0.237** | 0.251* | 0.194 | -0.060 | 0.032 | -0.021 |
(32) Vila Viçosa | -0.131 | -0.201 | -0.243* | 0.180 | 0.125 | -0.233* | 0.216 | 0.324** | 0.120 | 0.185 | -0.016 | -0.043 | 0.083 |
(33) Moinhola | -0.126 | -0.124 | -0.123 | 0.041 | 0.095 | -0.109 | 0.310* | 0.256* | 0.075 | 0.228 | -0.011 | -0.005 | -0.059 |
(34) Reguengos | -0.065 | -0.171 | -0.242* | 0.226 | 0.184 | -0.277** | 0.053 | 0.162 | 0.036 | 0.150 | -0.102 | 0.065 | 0.107 |
(35) V. Alentejo | -0.129 | -0.175 | -0.171 | 0.146 | 0.094 | -0.203 | 0.228 | 0.219 | 0.042 | 0.248* | 0.011 | 0.060 | 0.010 |
(36) Grândola | -0.096 | -0.187 | -0.181 | 0.167 | 0.110 | -0.170 | 0.427** | 0.255* | 0.296* | 0.180 | -0.081 | 0.110 | -0.154 |
(37) Serpa | -0.100 | -0.162 | -0.161 | 0.108 | 0.071 | -0.035 | 0.333* | 0.203 | 0.168 | 0.259* | -0.071 | 0.067 | -0.183 |
(38) Relíquias | -0.161 | -0.179 | -0.129 | 0.254* | 0.097 | -0.268* | 0.419** | 0.337** | 0.106 | 0.009 | -0.049 | 0.093 | 0.020 |
(39) Castro Verde | -0.164 | -0.184 | -0.177 | 0.127 | 0.014 | -0.518*** | 0.251 | 0.377*** | 0.195 | 0.134 | -0.002 | 0.151 | -0.018 |
(40) M. Longo | 0.200 | 0.069 | -0.508*** | 0.352** | 0.182 | 0.188 | 0.117 | -0.025 | 0.158 | -0.230 | -0.283** | -0.148 | -0.034 |
(41) B. Bravura | -0.248* | -0.209 | -0.158 | 0.083 | 0.010 | -0.003 | 0.555*** | 0.249* | 0.216 | 0.097 | 0.054 | 0.207 | -0.159 |
(42) S.B. Alportel | -0.263* | -0.233* | -0.148 | 0.101 | 0.103 | -0.288** | 0.452*** | 0.180 | 0.258* | 0.158 | -0.019 | 0.151 | -0.135 |
Table 4 Synthesis of monthly precipitation and PCI trends (%) |
Precipitation (1960-2011) | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Negative trend | Positive trend | ||||||||
ns | 0.1 | 0.05 | 0.01 | ns | 0. 1 | 0.05 | 0.01 | ||
J | 47.6 | 21.4 | 23.8 | 7.2 | |||||
F | 19.0 | 28.6 | 40.5 | 9.5 | 2.4 | ||||
M | 50.0 | 23.8 | 21.4 | 4.8 | |||||
A | 52.4 | 45.2 | 2.4 | ||||||
M | 71.4 | 2.4 | 26.2 | ||||||
J | 40.5 | 11.9 | 38.1 | 7.1 | 2.4 | ||||
J | 31.0 | 35.7 | 7.0 | 11.9 | 14.4 | ||||
A | 9.5 | 66.7 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 4.8 | ||||
S | 47.6 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 35.7 | 2.4 | |||
O | 14.3 | 85.7 | |||||||
N | 90.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 4.8 | |||||
D | 64.3 | 35.7 | |||||||
Precipitation (1960-2011) | |||||||||
Negative trend | Positive trend | ||||||||
ns | 0.1 | 0.05 | 0.01 | ns | 0. 1 | 0.05 | 0.01 | ||
J | 81.0 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 9.4 | 2.4 | ||||
F | 66.6 | 14.2 | 14.4 | 4.8 | |||||
M | 88.0 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 4.8 | |||||
A | 4.8 | 90.5 | 2.4 | 2.4 | |||||
M | 31.0 | 69.0 | |||||||
J | 62.0 | 7.1 | 11.9 | 7.1 | 11.9 | ||||
J | 19.0 | 45.2 | 11.9 | 16.7 | 7.1 | ||||
A | 4.8 | 52.4 | 16.7 | 21.4 | 4.8 | ||||
S | 42.9 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 45.2 | 7.1 | ||||
O | 2.4 | 59.5 | 33.3 | 4.8 | |||||
N | 47.6 | 2.4 | 45.2 | 2.4 | 2.4 | ||||
D | 11.9 | 88.1 |
ns: Without statistical significance; Significant at 0.1, 0.05 and 0.01 level. |
Figure 4 Correlations between altitude, latitude and longitude and mean annual precipitation and concentration (PCI). |
Figure 5 Spearman correlation (Rs) between trends in annual precipitation and latitude (a) and PCI trends and longitude (b) |
Table 5 Correlation between precipitation trends (PT) and PCI trends and the geographical features |
PT | J | F | M | A | M | J | J | A | S | O | N | D | Year |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Altitude | 0.144 | -0.078 | 0.087 | -0.049 | 0.089 | -0.149 | -0.478* | -0.09 | -0.091 | 0.042 | -0.240 | 0.347* | -0.054 |
Latitude | -0.128 | -0.490 | 0.079 | -0.512** | -0.405** | 0.276* | -0.492** | -0.405** | -0.696** | -0.100 | 0.009 | 0.090 | -0.422** |
Longitude | -0.457** | -0.153 | -0.263 | 0.067 | -0.154 | 0.300 | 0.696** | 0.191 | 0.099 | -0.170 | 0.118 | -0.356* | -0.049 |
PCI | J | F | M | A | M | J | J | A | S | O | N | D | Year |
Altitude | 0.130 | -0.249 | 0.105 | -0.189 | 0.172 | -0.020 | -0.501** | -0.072 | -0.138 | 0.135 | -0.202 | 0.397** | 0.097 |
Latitude | 0.315* | -0.534** | 0.342* | -0.305* | -0.191 | 0.376* | -0.441** | -0.187 | -0.678* | 0.123* | 0.330* | 0.367* | 0.194 |
Longitude | -0.379* | 0.048 | -0.112 | 0.301 | -0.157 | 0.099 | 0.727** | 0.247 | 0.203 | -0.221 | 0.171 | -0.204 | -0.305** |
** Significant at 0.01 level; * Significant at 0.05 level |
The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.
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