Journal of Geographical Sciences >
The relationships between land use change and demographic dynamics in western Jilin province
*Corresponding author: Zhang Shuwen, specialized in land system science. E-mail:zhangshuwen@neigae.ac.cn
Author: Li Fei (1989-), PhD, specialized in land resource management. E-mail:tianchiwaren@sina.com
Received date: 2014-10-18
Accepted date: 2015-01-05
Online published: 2015-05-15
Supported by
Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, No.XDA05090310
Development Program of Science and Technology Department of Jilin Province, No.2014020327NY
National Natural Science Foundation of China, No.41401660, No.41271416
Copyright
Demographic change was thought to be the most major driver of land use change although there were several interacting factors involved, especially in the developing countries. In this paper, we selected western Jilin province in China as the study area to provide a case study for understanding the relationship between spatial-temporal pattern of the land use change and population dynamics from 1975 to 2010. The results showed that the change of farmland area percentage could be modeled well by using a quadratic function, the least area percentage of farmland was 15.4% in areas where the population density was 0 people/km2, and farmland area percentage had a greatest value of 94.8% when population density was 199.25 people/km2. The area percentage of grassland, water body and wetland decreased exponentially with population density increased. The relationship between land use degree and population density could be modeled well by using a logistic regression models. Due to economic growth and technological progress and the existence of Hollow Village phenomenon, land use degree still increased in areas where population density was negative growth. In addition, land use dynamics increased exponentially with population density change. Land use relative change of woodland, grassland, built-up land and wetland were proportional to population density change. According to the simulation results of the land use structure and land use degree, Da’an and Zhenlai had the greatest possibility to be further reclaimed. As sensitive and fragile areas, it was of significance to study environmental protection and ecologic construction on Tongyu and Qian’an.
Key words: land use change; population density change; western Jilin
LI Fei , ZHANG Shuwen , BU Kun , YANG Jiuchun , WANG Qing , CHANG Liping . The relationships between land use change and demographic dynamics in western Jilin province[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2015 , 25(5) : 617 -636 . DOI: 10.1007/s11442-015-1191-x
Figure 1 Location of western Jilin province, China |
Figure 2 Land use of western Jilin in 1975 and 2010 |
Table 1 Land resources use types and grades |
Land use type | Unused land, wetland, alkali-land | Woodland, grassland, water body | Farmland | Built-up land |
---|---|---|---|---|
Grade | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Figure 3 Population density of western Jilin in 1975 (a) and 2010 (b) |
Figure 4 Land use change in western Jilin between 1975 and 2010 |
Figure 5 The relationship between area percentage and population density in western Jilin in 2010 |
Figure 6 Regression model of each type of land use in western Jilin in 2010(a. farmland; b. woodland; c. grassland; d. water body; e. built-up land; f. alkali-land; g. wetland; h. unused land) |
Figure 7 The possibility of land would be further reclaimed in western Jilin |
Figure 8 LUDCI of different regions in western Jilin in 2010 |
Figure 9 The possibility of increase in land use degree in western Jilin |
Figure 10 Land use degree change in western Jilin between 1975 and 2010 |
Figure 11 Land use dynamics in western Jilin between 1975 and 2010 |
Figure 12 Land use relative change in western Jilin between 1975 and 2010 |
The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.
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