Journal of Geographical Sciences >
Construction of an ecological resistance surface model and its application in urban expansion simulations
*Corresponding author: Zhang Hong-ou (1962-), Professor, specialized in sustainable regional development and urban planning. E-mail:hozhang@gdas.ac.cn
Author: Ye Yuyao (1980-), PhD and Associate Professor, specialized in sustainable regional development and urban planning. E-mail:yeyuyao@gdas.ac.cn
Received date: 2014-06-09
Accepted date: 2014-07-02
Online published: 2015-02-15
Supported by
National Natural Science Foundation of China, No.41001385
12th Five-year National Science Supported Planning Project, No.2012BAJ15B02
Copyright
Urban expansion models are useful tools to understand urbanization process and have been given much attention. However, urban expansion is a complicated socio-economic phenomenon that is affected by complex and volatile factors involving in great uncertainties. Therefore, the accurate simulation of the urban expansion process remains challenging. In this paper, we make an attempt to solve such uncertainty through a reversal process and view urban expansion as a process wherein the urban landscape overcomes resistance from other landscapes. We developed an innovative approach derived from the minimum cumulative resistance (MCR) model that involved the introduction of a relative resistance factor for different source levels and the consideration of rigid constraints on urban expansion caused by ecological barriers. Using this approach, the urban expansion ecological resistance (UEER) model was created to describe ecological resistance surfaces suitable for simulating urban expansion and used to simulate urban expansion in Guangzhou. The study results demonstrate that the ecological resistance surface generated by the UEER model comprehensively reflects ecological resistance to urban expansion and indicates the spatial trends in urban expansion. The simulation results from the UEER-based model were more realistic and more accurately reflected ecological protection requirements than the conventional MCR-based model. These findings can enhance urban expansion simulation methods.
Key words: urban expansion; simulation; ecological resistance surface; model
YE Yuyao , SU Yongxian , ZHANG Hong-ou , LIU Kai , WU Qitao . Construction of an ecological resistance surface model and its application in urban expansion simulations[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2015 , 25(2) : 211 -224 . DOI: 10.1007/s11442-015-1163-1
Figure 1 The study area: Guangzhou, China (2009) |
Table 1 The urban land source classification and its fundamental basis |
Source level | K | Districts | Locations | Development density (%) | Population density (people per km2) | GDP (hundred million) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Level 1 | 0.85 | Yuexiu, Liwan, Tianhe, Haizhu, Huangpu, Panyu | Central city regions | 51.40% | 4874 | 8567.1335 |
Level 2 | 0.90 | Luogang, Nansha | Scenic city in the east and coastal city in the south | 13.84% | 704 | 2182.3324 |
Level 3 | 0.95 | Huadu | The northern subcenter | 6.95% | 978 | 763.1871 |
Level 4 | 1.00 | Conghua, Zengcheng | Suburban counties | 6.76% | 456 | 910.786 |
Notes: Development intensity is defined as the proportion of the urban construction land in the total area of each district |
Figure 2 Map indicating the urban land source classifications in Guangzhou |
Figure 3 Distribution map of the ecological barriers in Guangzhou |
Figure 5 Results from a comprehensive evaluation of ecological resistance in the Guangzhou region |
Table 2 The ecological resistance indicator evaluation system of Guangzhou |
First-level factor | Second-level factor | Grade | Assigned value | Second-level weight | First-level weight |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Topographic slope | Relative elevation | <20 m | 1 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
20-40 m | 3 | ||||
40-60 m | 5 | ||||
60-80 m | 7 | ||||
>80 m | 9 | ||||
Gradient | <3 | 1 | 0.5 | ||
3-8 | 3 | ||||
8-15 | 5 | ||||
15-25 | 7 | ||||
>25 | 9 | ||||
Vegetation coverage | NDVI | <0.1 | 1 | - | 0.1 |
0.1-0.2 | 3 | ||||
0.2-0.3 | 5 | ||||
0.3-0.4 | 7 | ||||
>0.4 | 9 | ||||
Land cover | Land use type | Cities, designated towns, villages, barren ground | 1 | - | 0.1 |
Mining land and grassland | 3 | ||||
Garden, drylands, paddy fields, ditches, irrigated fields and other agriculture-supporting lands | 5 | ||||
Ponds, inland tidal flats, port terminals | 7 | ||||
Woodlands, rivers, reservoirs, transportation sites, attractions and unique lands | 9 | ||||
Ecological sensitivity | Sensitivity to soil erosion | Not sensitive | 1 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
Slightly sensitive | 3 | ||||
Moderately sensitive | 5 | ||||
Highly sensitive | 7 | ||||
Extremely sensitive | 9 | ||||
Sensitivity to geological disasters | Areas without significant risk | 1 | 0.3 | ||
Low-risk areas | 3 | ||||
Medium-risk areas | 7 | ||||
High-risk areas | 9 | ||||
Sensitivity to floods | Level 4 flood plain (one flood per 100 years) Level 4 flooded zone (once in 100 years) | 3 | 0.4 | ||
Level 3 flood plain (one flood per 50 years) with a low saltwater intrusion risk | 5 | ||||
Level 2 flood plain (one flood per 50 years) with a medium saltwater intrusion risk Level 2 flooded zone (once in 50 years) and area with medium risk of salty tide invasion | 7 | ||||
Level 1 flood plain (one flood per 50 years), with a high saltwater intrusion risk Level 1 flooded zone (once in 50 years) and area with high risk of salty tide invasion | 9 | ||||
Ecological importance | Importance for protecting drinking water sources | Prospective water source protection zone | 5 | The maximum value was used | 0.5 |
Level 2 water source protection zone | 7 | ||||
Level 1 water source protection zone | 9 | ||||
Importance for conserving soil and water resources | Groundwater conservation zone | 5 | |||
Surface water conservation zone | 7 | ||||
Importance for maintaining biodiversity | Nature reserves, forest parks and scenic locations | 9 |
Figure 4 Single-factor ecological resistance assessments of GuangzhouNote: (a) Relative elevation, (b) Gradient, (c)NDVI, (d) Land use type, (e) Sensitivity to soil erosion, (f) Sensitivity to geological disaster, (g) Sensitivity to floods, (h) Importance for protecting drinking, (i) Importance for conserving soil and water resources, and (j) Importance for maintaining biodiversity. |
Figure 6 The ecological resistance surfaces generated by sources at various levels and overlay analyses from these surfaces |
Figure 7 The ecological resistance surface for urban expansion in Guangzhou |
Figure 8 Simulated urban expansion in Guangzhou produced by the UEER-based model |
Figure 9 Comparison of urban expansion simulations in the Haizhu District (a) Results based on MCR model, and (b) Results based on UEER model |
Figure 10 Comparison of urban expansion simulations in Zengcheng based on MCR model (a) and UEER model (b) |
The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.
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