LI Lin, SHEN Hongyan, DAI Sheng, LI Hongmei, XIAO Jianshe . Response of water resources to climate change and its future trend in the source region of the Yangtze River[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2013 , 23(2) : 208 -218 . DOI: 10.1007/s11442-013-1004-z

[1] Cao Jianting,Qin Dahe,Luo Y et al.,2007.Discharge changes of the Yangtze River in source area during 1956–2000.Advances in Water Science,18(1):29–33.(in Chinese)

[2] Editorial Committee of the Eco-environment of Nature Reserves in the Three Rivers Source Region,2002.The Eco-environment of Nature Reserves in the Three Rivers Source Region.Xining:Qinghai People's Press, 75–91.(in Chinese)

[3] Filippo G,Lin D,Mearns O et al.,2002.Calculation of average,uncertainty range and reliability of regional climate changes from AOGCM simulations via the‘Reliability Ensemble Averaging(REA)' method.Journal of Climate,15(10):1141–1158.

[4] Giorgi F,Mearns L O,2003.Probability of regional climate change based on the reliability ensemble averaging (REA)method.Geophysical Research Letters,30(12):1629,doi:10.1029/2003GL017130.

[5] Kang Shichang,Zhang Yongjun,Qin Dahe et al.,2007.Recent temperature increase recorded in an ice core in the source region of Yangtze River.Chinese Science Bulletin,52(4):457–462.(in Chinese)

[6] Liang C,Hou Xiaobo,Pan N et al.,2011.Spatial and temporal variations of precipitation and runoff in the source region of the Yangtze River.South-to-North Water Diversion and water Science&Technology,9(1):53–59. (in Chinese)

[7] Li Chunhui,Zheng Xiaokang,Yang Zhifeng et al.,2009.Trends of annual natural runoff in the Yellow River Basin.Journal of Beijing Normal University(Natural Science),45(1):80–85.(in Chinese)

[8] Li Dongliang,He Jinhai,Tang X et al.,2007.The relationship between the intensity of surface heating fields over the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau and ENSO cycle.Plateau Meteorology,26(1):39–46.(in Chinese)

[9] Li Lin,Li Fengxia,Guo Anhong et al.,2004.Study on the climate change trend and its catastrophe over "Sanjiangyuan" region in recent 43 years.Journal of Natural Resources,21(1):79–85.(in Chinese)

[10] Pei Buxiang,1989.Calculation and Measurement of Evaporation and Evapotranspiration.Beijing:China Meteorological Press,87–91.(in Chinese)

[11] Qian Kaizhu,Wan Li,Wang Xusheng et al.,2012.Periodical characteristics of baseflow in the source region of the Yangtze River.Journal of Arid Land,4(2):113?122.

[12] Shi Yafeng,1995.The Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources in Northwest China.Jinan:Shandong Scientific Press,127–141.(in Chinese)

[13] Tang Maocang,Cheng Guodong,Lin Zhenyao,1998.Contemporary Climatic Variations over Qinghai-Xizang Plateau and Their Influences on Environments.Guangzhou:Science and Technology Press,132–135.(in Chinese)

[14] Tang Qicheng,Qu Lingguang,1992.The Utilization of Water Resources in Arid Areas of China.Beijing:Science Press,44–80.(in Chinese)

[15] Wang Genxu,Li Yuanshou,Wang Yibo et al.,2003.Impacts of alpine ecosystem and climate changes on surface runoff in the headwaters of the Yangtze River.Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology,29(4):161–168.(in Chinese)

[16] Wang Genxu,Li Yuanshou,Wang Yibo et al.,2007.Typical alpine wetland system changes on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau in recent 40 years.Acta Geographica Sinica,62(5):481–491.(in Chinese)

[17] Wang Keli,Cheng Guodong,Ding Yongjian et al.,2006.Characteristics of water vapor transport and atmospheric circulation for precipitation over the source regions of the Yellow and Yangtze rivers.Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology,28(2):8–14.(in Chinese)

[18] Xie Changwei,Ding Yongjian.Liu Shiyin et al.,2003.Comparison analysis of runoff change in the source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow rivers.Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology,25(4):414–422.(in Chinese)

[19] Xie Changwei,Ding Yongjian.Liu Shiyin,2004.Changes of weather and hydrological environment for the last 50 years in the source regions of Yangtze and Yellow rivers.Ecology and Environment,13(4):520–523.(in Chinese)

[20] Yang Jianping,Ding Yongjian,Liu Shiyin et al.,2003.Glacier change and its effect on surface runoff in the source regions of the Yangtze and Yellow rivers.Journal of Natural Resources,18(5):595–603.(in Chinese)

[21] Ying Xu,Xue Jiegao,Giorgi F,2010.Upgrades to the REA method for producing probabilistic climate change projections.Climate Research,41:61–81.

[22] Yu Xuan,Shen Suhui,Yang Shuyuan et al.,2008.Characteristic and forecast of runoff change in source region of Yangtze River.Water Resources and Power,26(6):14–16.(in Chinese)

[23] Zhang Shifeng,Hua D,Meng Xiujing et al.,2011.Climate change and its driving effect on the runoff in the "Three-River Headwaters" region.Acta Geographica Sinica,66(1):13–24.(in Chinese)

[24] Zhu Yanlong,Chen Jin,Chen Guangcai,2011.Runoff variation and its impacting factors in the headwaters of the Yangtze River in recent 32 years.Journal of Yangtze River Scientific Research Institute,28(6):1–4.(in Chinese)