Journal of Geographical Sciences ›› 2015, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (7): 836-850.doi: 10.1007/s11442-015-1205-8
• Orginal Article • Previous Articles Next Articles
Weiguo JIANG1,2(), Zheng CHEN1,2, Xuan LEI3,*(
), Kai JIA1,2, Yongfeng WU4
Received:
2014-12-17
Accepted:
2015-02-12
Online:
2015-07-15
Published:
2015-06-24
Contact:
Xuan LEI
E-mail:jiangweiguo@bnu.edu.cn;lx_aatu@yeah.com
About author:
Author: Jiang Weiguo (1976-), Associate Professor, specialized in ecological remote sensing and natural hazard and risk analysis. E-mail:
Supported by:
Weiguo JIANG, Zheng CHEN, Xuan LEI, Kai JIA, Yongfeng WU. Simulating urban land use change by incorporating an autologistic regression model into a CLUE-S model[J].Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2015, 25(7): 836-850.
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Table 1
Logistic regression results"
Variables | Built-up area | Bare land | Green land | Wetland | Cultivated land | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
B | S.E. | B | S.E. | B | S.E. | B | S.E. | B | S.E. | |
DS (km) | 0.086 | 0.021 | 0.04 | 0.01 | -0.013 | 0.005 | 0.057 | 0.011 | - | - |
DC (km) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.011 | 0.004 |
DU (km) | -0.039 | 0.011 | - | - | - | - | 0.087 | 0.017 | - | - |
DCS (km) | 0.537 | 0.046 | - | - | -0.184 | 0.049 | - | - | -0.298 | 0.046 |
Elevation (m) | -0.446 | 0.041 | -0.062 | 0.029 | 1.303 | 0.042 | -0.466 | 0.077 | -1.075 | 0.042 |
DEW (km) | -0.114 | 0.007 | 0.053 | 0.005 | 0.018 | 0.005 | - | - | - | - |
Slope | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Aspect | - | - | 0.117 | 0.029 | -0.134 | 0.039 | - | - | - | - |
DRW (km) | 0.058 | 0.013 | - | - | 0.04 | 0.017 | 0.079 | 0.021 | - | - |
DCT (km) | -0.097 | 0.02 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
DCR (km) | 0.087 | 0.005 | -0.01 | 0.004 | - | - | 0.041 | 0.009 | -0.042 | 0.005 |
DX (km) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.122 | 0.035 | - | - |
DBX (km) | -0.127 | 0.011 | - | - | - | - | -0.102 | 0.016 | 0.082 | 0.008 |
DVR (km) | 0.117 | 0.034 | -0.127 | 0.039 | -0.079 | 0.036 | 0.107 | 0.055 | - | - |
Soil type | 0.212 | 0.057 | - | - | -0.189 | 0.073 | 0.4 | 0.092 | -0.255 | 0.066 |
Constant | -0.108 | 0.02 | - | - | - | - | - | - | -0.143 | 0.018 |
Table 2
Autologistic regression results"
Variables | Built-up area | Bare land | Green land | Wetland | Cultivated land | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
B | S.E. | B | S.E. | B | S.E. | B | S.E. | B | S.E. | |
DS (km) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
DC (km) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
DU (km) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.07 | 0.018 | - | - |
DCS (km) | - | - | - | - | -0.167 | 0.054 | - | - | -0.214 | 0.049 |
Elevation (m) | -0.357 | 0.05 | -0.062 | 0.053 | 0.702 | 0.047 | -0.218 | 0.071 | -0.715 | 0.044 |
DEW (km) | -0.038 | 0.007 | 0.053 | 0.008 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Slope | 0.111 | 0.038 | 0.133 | 0.043 | -0.077 | 0.03 | - | - | 0.13 | 0.036 |
Aspect | 0.072 | 0.021 | - | - | - | - | 0.109 | 0.023 | -0.052 | 0.017 |
DRW (km) | - | - | -0.054 | 0.012 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
DCT (km) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -0.032 | 0.005 |
DCR (km) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0.123 | 0.035 | - | - |
DX(km) | - | - | 0.052 | 0.013 | - | - | - | - | 0.066 | 0.008 |
DBX(km) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
DVR (km) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -0.17 | 0.074 |
Soil type | -0.082 | 0.024 | - | - | - | - | -0.156 | 0.04 | -0.066 | 0.019 |
Autocovariate | 8.819 | 0.285 | 18.94 | 0.706 | 3.993 | 0.164 | 8.133 | 0.581 | 3.16 | 0.16 |
Constant | 0.399 | 0.489 | -1.995 | 0.182 | -3.088 | 0.147 | 1.067 | 0.79 | 1.995 | 0.459 |
Table 3
The ROC and pseudo R2 of the logistic regression and autologistic regression results"
Models | Built-up area | Bare land | Green land | Wetland | Cultivated land | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ROC | R2 | ROC | R2 | ROC | R2 | ROC | R2 | ROC | R2 | |
Logistic | 0.847 | 0.455 | 0.628 | 0.264 | 0.823 | 0.385 | 0.770 | 0.269 | 0.769 | 0.395 |
Autologistic | 0.941 | 0.701 | 0.833 | 0.481 | 0.865 | 0.504 | 0.847 | 0459 | 0.813 | 0.481 |
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