Journal of Geographical Sciences ›› 2021, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (12): 1737-1756.doi: 10.1007/s11442-021-1920-2
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HUANG Daquan1(), HE Han1, LIU Tao2,3,*(
)
Received:
2020-12-23
Accepted:
2021-08-10
Online:
2021-12-25
Published:
2022-02-25
Contact:
LIU Tao
E-mail:huangdaquan@bnu.edu.cn;liutao@pku.edu.cn
About author:
Huang Daquan (1971-), Associate Professor, specialized in spatial planning and urban development. E-mail: huangdaquan@bnu.edu.cn
Supported by:
HUANG Daquan, HE Han, LIU Tao. City size and employment dynamics in China: Evidence from recruitment website data[J].Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2021, 31(12): 1737-1756.
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Table 1
Variable definition and data sources
Variable | Definition | Data source |
---|---|---|
Employment demand | New job positions | www.51job.com |
City size | City population | China Urban Construction Statistical Yearbook |
Second-tertiary ratio | Ratio of the secondary to the tertiary industry | China City Statistical Yearbook |
Industrial diversity | Herfindahl-Hirschman index | China City Statistical Yearbook |
Provincial capital | Provincial level cities and provincial capitals=1, others=0 | China City Statistical Yearbook |
Development zone | Area of development zone | Ministry of Natural Resources |
Investment | Fixed asset investment | China City Statistical Yearbook |
Location | Distance to central city | China Urban Construction Statistical Yearbook |
Table 2
Descriptive statistics of variables
Variable | N | Min | Max | Mean | SD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Employment demand | 278 | 39 | 342,76 | 9,195.05 | 35,196.70 |
City size | 278 | 74.54 | 2,479.00 | 204.02 | 259.10 |
Second-tertiary ratio | 278 | 0.001 | 4.58 | 1.01 | 0.67 |
Industrial diversity | 278 | 0.030 | 0.850 | 0.172 | 0.091 |
Provincial capital | 278 | 0 | 1 | 0.31 | 0.05 |
Development zone | 278 | 0 | 30,763 | 1,411.23 | 2,830.90 |
Investment | 278 | 25.78 | 1,473.3 | 1,055.17 | 1,620.38 |
Location | 278 | 12.00 | 1,936 | 227.54 | 192.10 |
Table 3
The regression results of factors affecting urban employment vitality
Model 1 Nationwide | Model 1a Eastern region | Model 1b Central region | Model 1c Western region | |
---|---|---|---|---|
City size | 1.538***(0.365) | 1.841**(0.657) | 0.915**(0.307) | 0.571**(0.208) |
Second-tertiary ratio | ‒0.007***(0.002) | 0.364**(0.169) | 0.054**(0.123) | 0.125**(0.041) |
Industrial diversity | 0.169**(0.026) | 0.195**(0.067) | 0.721**(0.232) | 0.031*(0.017) |
Provincial capital | 0.107*(0.059) | ‒0.387*(0.211) | ‒0.093*(0.051) | 0.709(1.86) |
Development zone | 0.03*(0.016) | ‒0.075*(0.044) | 0.029*(0.018) | ‒0.001(0.057) |
Investment | 0.382*(0.198) | 0.131*(0.051) | 0.024*(0.013) | ‒0.67**(0.231) |
Location | ‒0.079***(0.015) | ‒0.543***(0.115) | ‒0.428**(0.141) | ‒0.153**(0.054) |
N | 278 | 97 | 83 | 75 |
F | 127.394*** | 31.95*** | 27.25*** | 9.929*** |
Adjustment R2 | 0.757 | 0.693 | 0.703 | 0.455 |
Table 4
The regression results of the moderating effect
Model 1 | Model 2 | |
---|---|---|
City size | 1.538***(0.365) | 1.529***(0.316) |
Second-tertiary ratio | ‒0.007***(0.002) | ‒0.009**(0.063) |
Industrial diversity | 0.169**(0.026) | 0.101**(0.945) |
Provincial capital | 0.107*(0.059) | 0.124*(0.082) |
Development zone | 0.03*(0.016) | 0.025*(0.013) |
Investment | 0.382*(0.198) | 0.215**(0.819) |
Location | ‒0.079***(0.015) | ‒0.152**(0.054) |
Second-tertiary ratio*City size | 0.021(0.015) | |
Industrial diversity*City size | 0.075**(0.026) | |
Provincial capitals*City size | ‒0.727(0.514) | |
Development zone*City size | 0.335**(0.129) | |
Investment*City size | 0.112**(0.042) | |
Location *City size | 0.181*(0.127) | |
N | 278 | 278 |
F | 127.394*** | 39.328*** |
Adjustment R2 | 0.694 | 0.771 |
Table 5
The regression results of the mediation effect
Model 3 Employment | Model 4 City size | Model 1 Employment | Mediating effect | Proportion | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
City size | 1.538***(0.365) | ||||
Second-tertiary ratio | ‒0.013**(0.005) | ‒0.004*(0.002) | ‒0.007***(0.002) | 0.006 | 46% |
Industrial diversity | 0.511**(0.182) | 0.223**(0.089) | 0.169**(0.026) | 0.342 | 66% |
Provincial capital | 0.285(0.209) | 0.116***(0.023) | 0.107*(0.059) | ||
Development zone | 0.049*(0.031) | 0.013(0.011) | 0.03*(0.016) | ||
Investment | 0.788**(0.301) | 0.264(0.211) | 0.382*(0.198) | ||
Location | ‒0.115***(0.025) | ‒0.024**(0.009) | ‒0.079***(0.015) | ‒0.039 | 23% |
N | 278 | 278 | 278 | ||
F | 78.312*** | 47.738** | 127.394*** | ||
Adjustment R2 | 0.641 | 0.442 | 0.757 |
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