Journal of Geographical Sciences ›› 2020, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (12): 1963-1984.doi: 10.1007/s11442-020-1822-8
• Research Articles • Previous Articles Next Articles
FENG Zhiming1,2(), XIAO Chiwei1,2,*(
), LI Peng1,2, YOU Zhen1,2, YIN Xu1,2, ZHENG Fangyu1,2
Received:
2020-09-10
Accepted:
2020-10-13
Online:
2020-12-25
Published:
2021-01-05
Contact:
XIAO Chiwei
E-mail:fengzm@igsnrr.ac.cn;xiaocw@igsnrr.ac.cn
About author:
Feng Zhiming (1963‒), PhD and Professor, specialized in geography of natural resources and sustainable utilization of land resources. E-mail: Supported by:
FENG Zhiming, XIAO Chiwei, LI Peng, YOU Zhen, YIN Xu, ZHENG Fangyu. Comparison of spatio-temporal transmission characteristics of COVID-19 and its mitigation strategies in China and the US[J].Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(12): 1963-1984.
Add to citation manager EndNote|Reference Manager|ProCite|BibTeX|RefWorks
Table 1
Dynamics of the COVID-19 CCC at critical time points in China and the US"
China | the US | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timeline | Interval days | CCC | Timeline | Interval days | CCC | ||
1 | 2019/12/8 | - | 1 | 1 | 2020/1/22 | - | 1 |
10 | 2020/1/1 | 25 | 27 | 10 | 2020/2/3 | 13 | 11 |
100 | 2020/1/18 | 17 | 121 | 100 | 2020/3/3 | 29 | 18 |
1000 | 2020/1/25 | 7 | 1409 | 1000 | 2020/3/11 | 8 | 1285 |
10,000 | 2020/2/1 | 7 | 11,901 | 10,000 | 2020/3/19 | 8 | 13,748 |
20,000 | 2020/2/4 | 4 | 23,718 | 100,000 | 2020/3/27 | 8 | 101,962 |
40,000 | 2020/2/10 | 6 | 42,372 | 500,000 | 2020/4/11 | 15 | 526,776 |
60,000 | 2020/2/14 | 4 | 66,376 | 1,000,000 | 2020/4/28 | 17 | 1,012,582 |
80,000 | 2020/3/2 | 17 | 80,177 | 2,000,000 | 2020/6/10 | 43 | 2,000,464 |
Active cases | 2020/6/20 | - | 403 | Active cases | 2020/6/20 | - | 1,235,657 |
[1] | Alastair B, Richard H, 2020. A planetary health perspective on COVID-19: A call for papers. The Lancet, 395(10230):1099. |
[2] |
Andersen K G, Rambaut A, Lipkin W I et al., 2020. The proximal origin of SARS-CoV-2. Nature Medicine, 26:450-452.
doi: 10.1038/s41591-020-0820-9 pmid: 32284615 |
[3] |
Brooks C P, Antonovics J, Keitt T H, 2008. Spatial and temporal heterogeneity explain disease dynamics in a spatially explicit network mode. The American Naturalist, 172(2):149-159.
doi: 10.1086/589451 pmid: 18662121 |
[4] | Chen N S, Zhou M, Dong X et al., 2020a. Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of 99 cases of 2019 novel coronavirus pneumonia in Wuhan, China: A descriptive study. The Lancet, 395(10223):507-513. |
[5] | Chen S M, Yang J T, Yang W Z et al., 2020b. COVID-19 control in China during mass population movements at New Year. The Lancet, 395(10226):764-766. |
[6] |
Chen T M, Rui J, Wang Q P et al., 2020c. A mathematical model for simulating the phase-based transmissibility of a novel coronavirus. Infectious Diseases of Poverty, 9(1):24.
doi: 10.1186/s40249-020-00640-3 pmid: 32111262 |
[7] |
de Wit E, Feldmann F, Cronin J et al., 2020. Prophylactic and therapeutic remdesivir (GS-5734) treatment in the rhesus macaque model of MERS-CoV infection. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 117(12):6771-6776.
pmid: 32054787 |
[8] | Ding L, Cai W, Ding J Q et al. 2020b. An interim review of lessons from the Novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) outbreak in China. Scientia Sinica Vitae, 50(3):247-257. (in Chinese) |
[9] | Ding Y, Luo S H, Zheng X Y et al., 2020a. Association between population migration and epidemic control of coronavirus disease 2019. Science China Life Sciences, 63(9):936-939. |
[10] |
Dong E S, Du H R, Gardner L, 2020. An interactive web-based dashboard to track Covid-19 in real time. The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 20(5):533-534.
pmid: 32087114 |
[11] |
Forster P, Forster L, Renfrew C et al., 2020. Phylogenetic network analysis of SARS-CoV-2 genomes. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 117(17):9241-9243.
pmid: 32269081 |
[12] | Franch-Pardo I, Napoletano B M, Rosete-Verges F et al., 2020. Spatial analysis and GIS in the study of COVID-19: A review. Science of the Total Environment, 739:140033. |
[13] | Ghinai I, McPherson T D, Hunter J C et al., 2020. First known person-to-person transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in the USA. The Lancet, 395(10230):1137-1144. |
[14] |
Gu C L, Zhu J, Sun Y F et al., 2020. The inflection point about COVID-19 may have passed. Science Bulletin, 65(11):865-867.
pmid: 32292631 |
[15] | He J Y, Chen G W, Jiang Y T et al., 2020. Comparative infection modeling and control of COVID-19 transmission patterns in China, South Korea, Italy and Iran. Science of the Total Environment, 747:141447. |
[16] | Huang C L, Wang Y M, Li X W et al., 2020a. Clinical features of patients infected with 2019 novel coronavirus in Wuhan, China. The Lancet, 395(10223):497-506. |
[17] | Huang E N, Qiao F L, 2020b. A data driven time-dependent transmission rate for tracking an epidemic: A case study of 2019-nCov. Science Bulletin, 65(5):425-427. |
[18] |
Ippolito G, Hui D S, Ntoumi F et al., 2020. Toning down the 2019-nCoV media hype and restoring hope. The Lancet Respiratory Medicine, 8(3):230-231.
pmid: 32146924 |
[19] |
Ji Y P, Ma Z R, Peppelenbosch M P et al., 2020. Potential association between COVID19 mortality and health-care resource availability. The Lancet Global Health, 8(4):e480.
pmid: 32109372 |
[20] |
Kupferschmidt K, Cohen J, 2020. Can China’s COVID-19 strategy work elsewhere? Science, 367(6482):1061-1062.
doi: 10.1126/science.367.6482.1061 pmid: 32139521 |
[21] |
Lai S J, Ruktanonchai N W, Zhou L C et al., 2020. Effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions to contain COVID-19 in China. Nature, 585: 410-413.
doi: 10.1038/s41586-020-2293-x pmid: 32365354 |
[22] |
Li Q, Guan, X H, Wu P et al., 2020a. Early transmission dynamics in Wuhan, China, of novel coronavirus-infected pneumonia. The New England Journal of Medicine, 382:1199-1207.
doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa2001316 pmid: 31995857 |
[23] | Li R Y, Chen B, Zhang T et al., 2020c. Global COVID-19 pandemic demands joint interventions for the suppression of future waves. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 117(42):26151-26157. |
[24] | Li Z, 2018. Some enlightenment of the American medical insurance system to the current health system reform. China Health Insurance, (5):68-71. (in Chinese) |
[25] |
Li Z J, Chen Q L, Feng L Z et al., 2020b. Active case finding with case management: The key to tackling the COVID-19 pandemic. The Lancet, 396(10243):63-70.
doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)31278-2 |
[26] | Liu Z, Qian J L, Du Y Y et al., 2020. Multi-level spatial distribution estimation model of the inter-regional migrant population using multi-source spatio-temporal big data: A case study of migrants from Wuhan during the spread of COVID-19. Journal of Geo-information Science, 22(2):147-160. |
[27] | National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China (NHCPRC), 2020. COVID-19 epidemic situation up to 24:00 on March 8th http://www.nhc.gov.cn/xcs/yqtb/202003/f2c83db9f73d4be5be0dc96af731813c.shtml/. |
[28] | Shi P, Dong Y Q, Yan H C et al., 2020. Impact of temperature on the dynamics of the COVID-19 outbreak in China. Science of The Total Environment, 728:138890. |
[29] | Sun Z B, Zhang, H, Yang, Y F et al., 2020. Impacts of geographic factors and population density on the COVID-19 spreading under the lockdown policies of China. Science of The Total Environment, 746:141347. |
[30] |
Tian H Y, Liu, Y H, Li, Y G et al., 2020. An investigation of transmission control measures during the first 50 days of the COVID-19 epidemic in China. Science, 368(6491):638-642.
pmid: 32234804 |
[31] | United Nations, 2016. Sustainable Development Goals: 17 Goals to Sustain Our World. New York: United Nations. http://www.un.org/sustainabledevelopment/sustainable-development-goals/. |
[32] | Wang G, Huang E, Qiao F L, 2020. Quantitative evaluation on control measures for an epidemic: A case study of COVID-19. Chinese Science Bulletin, 65(11):1009-1015. (in Chinese) |
[33] |
Wigginton K R, Boehm A B, 2020. Environmental engineers and scientists have important roles to play in stemming outbreaks and pandemics caused by enveloped viruses. Environmental Science and Technology, 54(7):3736-3739.
doi: 10.1021/acs.est.0c01476 pmid: 32207922 |
[34] | World Health Organization (WHO), 2020. Coronavirus Disease (COVID-2019) Situation Reports. https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/situation-reports/. |
[35] |
Wrapp D, Wang N S, Corbett K S, 2020. Cryo-EM structure of the 2019-nCoV spike in the prefusion conformation. Science, 367(6483):1260-1263.
doi: 10.1126/science.abb2507 pmid: 32075877 |
[36] | Xinhua News Agency (XNA), 2020. COVID-19 is urged by the UN Secretary General to do everything possible to contain the outbreak. http://www.xinhuanet.com/2020-02/29/c_1125642849.htm/. |
[37] |
Yang Z F, Zeng Z Q, Wang K, 2020. Modified SEIR and AI prediction of the epidemics trend of COVID-19 in China under public health interventions. Journal of Thoracic Disease, 12(3):165-174.
doi: 10.21037/jtd.2020.02.64 pmid: 32274081 |
[38] |
Zhou C H, Su F Z, Pei T et al., 2020. COVID-19: Challenges to GIS with big data. Geography and Sustainability, 1(1):77-87.
doi: 10.1016/j.geosus.2020.03.005 |
[39] |
Zhu N, Zhang D Y, Wang W L et al., 2020. A novel coronavirus from patients with pneumonia in China, 2019. The New England Journal of Medicine, 382:727-733.
doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa2001017 pmid: 31978945 |
[1] | MA Bin, ZHANG Bo, JIA Lige. Spatio-temporal variation in China’s climatic seasons from 1951 to 2017 [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(9): 1387-1400. |
[2] | LIU Xiaojing, LIU Dianfeng, ZHAO Hongzhuo, HE Jianhua, LIU Yaolin. Exploring the spatio-temporal impacts of farmland reforestation on ecological connectivity using circuit theory: A case study in the agro-pastoral ecotone of North China [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(9): 1419-1435. |
[3] | WU Li, SUN Xiaoling, SUN Wei, ZHU Cheng, ZHU Tongxin, LU Shuguang, ZHOU Hui, GUO Qingchun, GUAN Houchun, XIE Wei, KE Rui, LIN Guiping. Evolution of Neolithic site distribution (9.0-4.0 ka BP) in Anhui, East China [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(9): 1451-1466. |
[4] | YE Chao, LI Simeng, ZHANG Zhao, ZHU Xiaodan. A comparison and case analysis between domestic and overseas industrial parks of China since the Belt and Road Initiative [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(8): 1266-1282. |
[5] | WANG Xueqin, LIU Shenghe, QI Wei. Mega-towns in China: Their spatial distribution features and growth mechanisms [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(7): 1060-1082. |
[6] | YANG Fan, HE Fanneng, LI Meijiao, LI Shicheng. Evaluating the reliability of global historical land use scenarios for forest data in China [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(7): 1083-1094. |
[7] | LIU Ruiqing, XU Hao, LI Jialin, PU Ruiliang, SUN Chao, CAO Luodan, JIANG Yimei, TIAN Peng, WANG Lijia, GONG Hongbo. Ecosystem service valuation of bays in East China Sea and its response to sea reclamation activities [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(7): 1095-1116. |
[8] | FANG Chuanglin, WANG Zhenbo, LIU Haimeng. Beautiful China Initiative: Human-nature harmony theory, evaluation index system and application [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(5): 691-704. |
[9] | CHEN Mingxing, LIANG Longwu, WANG Zhenbo, ZHANG Wenzhong, YU Jianhui, LIANG Yi. Geographical thoughts on the relationship between ‘Beautiful China’ and land spatial planning [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(5): 705-723. |
[10] | TANG Zhipeng, MEI Ziao, LIU Weidong, XIA Yan. Identification of the key factors affecting Chinese carbon intensity and their historical trends using random forest algorithm [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(5): 743-756. |
[11] | WANG Shaojian, GAO Shuang, HUANG Yongyuan, SHI Chenyi. Spatiotemporal evolution of urban carbon emission performance in China and prediction of future trends [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(5): 757-774. |
[12] | SONG Zhouying, ZHU Qiaoling. Spatio-temporal pattern and driving forces of urbanization in China’s border areas [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(5): 775-793. |
[13] | ZHAO Ting, BAI Hongying, YUAN Yuan, DENG Chenhui, QI Guizeng, ZHAI Danping. Spatio-temporal differentiation of climate warming (1959-2016) in the middle Qinling Mountains of China [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(4): 657-668. |
[14] | WANG Jiayue, XIN Liangjie, WANG Yahui. How farmers’ non-agricultural employment affects rural land circulation in China? [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(3): 378-400. |
[15] | ZHANG Chengming, WENG Shixiu, BAO Jigang. The changes in the geographical patterns of China’s tourism in 1978-2018: Characteristics and underlying factors [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(3): 487-507. |
|