Journal of Geographical Sciences ›› 2019, Vol. 29 ›› Issue (4): 483-495.doi: 10.1007/s11442-019-1611-4
• Research Articles • Next Articles
Shaohong WU1,2,3(), Lulu LIU1,2,3, Yanhua LIU1,2,3,*(
), Jiangbo GAO1,2, Erfu DAI1,2,3, Aiqing FENG4, Wentao WANG5
Received:
2018-08-12
Accepted:
2018-11-22
Online:
2019-04-25
Published:
2019-04-12
Contact:
Yanhua LIU
E-mail:wush@igsnrr.ac.cn;liuyh@most.gov.cn
About author:
Author: Wu Shaohong, Professor, specialized in physical geography. E-mail:
Supported by:
Shaohong WU, Lulu LIU, Yanhua LIU, Jiangbo GAO, Erfu DAI, Aiqing FENG, Wentao WANG. The Belt and Road: Geographical pattern and regional risks[J].Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2019, 29(4): 483-495.
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Table 1
The data sources for terrestrial areas of the Belt and Road"
Index | Data source | Duration | Spatial resolution |
---|---|---|---|
Terrain | National Centers for Environmental Information | 2009 | 1 km |
Soil | Harmonized World Soil Database | 2012 | 1 km |
Land-cover | Centre for Earth System Science, Tsinghua University | 2014 | 250 m |
Protected areas | World Database on natural reserves | 2017 | Reserve area |
Temperature | Met Office Hadley Centre | 1950-2050 | 0.5° * 0.5° |
Precipitation | Met Office Hadley Centre | 1950-2050 | 0.5° * 0.5° |
SPEI | Spanish National Research Council | 1950-2004 | 0.5° * 0.5° |
Runoff depth | Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research | 1971-2050 | 0.5° * 0.5° |
NPP | Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research | 1971-2050 | 0.5° * 0.5° |
Grain yield* | Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison | 1951-2050 | 0.5° * 0.5° |
GDP | World Bank | 1960-2016 | Countries |
Table 4
The projected trends of different factors during 2021-2050"
Temperature (℃/10a) | Precipitation (mm/10a) | Runoff depth coefficient (10-3/10a) | NPP (gC·m-2/10a) | Grain yield (t·ha-1/10a) | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RCP4.5 | RCP8.5 | RCP4.5 | RCP8.5 | RCP4.5 | RCP8.5 | RCP4.5 | RCP8.5 | RCP4.5 | RCP8.5 | |
CEE | 0.405* | 0.305 | -0.132 | -7.83 | -1.22 | 0.14 | 17.3 | 10.0* | -0.0573 | -0.308* |
MR | 0.725* | 0.682* | 16.1* | 8.80 | 2.82 | -0.65 | 18.9* | 24.9* | 0.122* | 0.175* |
SEA | 0.275* | 0.422* | 16.0 | 49.9 | 3.24 | 3.26 | 15.1 | 33.8* | -0.0606 | -0.249* |
CWA | 0.495* | 0.605* | 5.24 | -13.2* | 3.50 | 0.78 | 4.87 | -0.283* | 0.0082 | -0.200* |
PAK | 0.476* | 0.530* | -6.00 | -17.4 | -1.22 | 5.28 | -1.20 | 4.14* | -0.321 | -0.304 |
BIM | 0.424* | 0.582* | -5.38 | -44.8 | -0.35 | -4.71 | 5.11 | 19.7* | -0.358 | -0.424* |
CNE | 0.352* | 0.587* | 5.49 | 18.1 | -6.12 | -2.54 | 10.5 | 28.3* | -0.0271 | 0.203 |
CNW | 0.310* | 0.646* | 0.275 | 0.823 | -0.097 | -2.72 | 1.75 | 2.75* | -0.0146 | 0.040 |
TIB | 0.544* | 0.585* | 0.335 | 4.18 | -0.71 | -1.18 | -0.220* | 32.0* | 0.0856* | 0.151* |
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