Journal of Geographical Sciences ›› 2018, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (11): 1641-1658.doi: 10.1007/s11442-018-1534-5
• Special Issue: Land system dynamics: Pattern and process • Previous Articles Next Articles
Jingtao YAO1,2(), Xiangbin KONG1,2,*(
)
Received:
2017-05-09
Accepted:
2017-09-15
Online:
2018-11-20
Published:
2018-12-21
Contact:
Xiangbin KONG
E-mail:jingtao_yao@cau.edu.cn;kxb@cau.edu.cn
About author:
Author: Yao Jingtao (1990-), PhD, specialized in the modeling and optimization of land-use changes and GIS. E-mail:
Supported by:
Jingtao YAO, Xiangbin KONG. Modeling the effects of land-use optimization on the soil organic carbon sequestration potential[J].Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2018, 28(11): 1641-1658.
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Table 1
Quantity validation of land-use structure simulated in 2010"
Land-use type | Observed area (ha) | Uncontrolled scenario | Scale control scenario | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Predicted area (ha) | Error (%) | Predicted area (ha) | Error (%) | ||
Built-up land | 278464 | 283675 | 1.87 | 278464 | - |
Agricultural land | 444089 | 420205 | -5.38 | 424308 | -4.45 |
Ecological land | 918253 | 934608 | 1.78 | 935716 | 1.90 |
NRMSE | 0.0278 | 0.0249 |
Table 2
Transition probabilities of land-use types in the uncontrolled scenario (UCS), 2010-2030"
Land-use type 2030 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Built-up land | Agricultural land | Ecological land | ||
Land-use type 2010 | Built-up land | 0.9979 | 0.0008 | 0.0013 |
Agricultural land | 0.1822 | 0.8106 | 0.0072 | |
Ecological land | 0.0163 | 0.0019 | 0.9818 |
Table 3
Transition probabilities of land-use types in the scale control scenario (SCS), 2010-2030"
Land-use type 2030 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Built-up land | Agricultural land | Ecological land | ||
Land-use type 2010 | Built-up land | 0.8712 | 0.0487 | 0.0801 |
Agricultural land | 0.0680 | 0.9238 | 0.0082 | |
Ecological land | 0.0035 | 0.0019 | 0.9946 |
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