Journal of Geographical Sciences ›› 2018, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (11): 1641-1658.doi: 10.1007/s11442-018-1534-5

• Special Issue: Land system dynamics: Pattern and process • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Modeling the effects of land-use optimization on the soil organic carbon sequestration potential

Jingtao YAO1,2(), Xiangbin KONG1,2,*()   

  1. 1. Key Laboratory of Agricultural Remote Sensing, Ministry of Agriculture/Institute of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100081, China
    2. Key Laboratory for Agricultural Land Quality, Monitoring and Control, The Ministry of Land and Resources, Beijing 100193, China
  • Received:2017-05-09 Accepted:2017-09-15 Online:2018-11-20 Published:2018-12-21
  • Contact: Xiangbin KONG;
  • About author:

    Author: Yao Jingtao (1990-), PhD, specialized in the modeling and optimization of land-use changes and GIS. E-mail:

  • Supported by:
    Key Research Program of Beijing Natural Science Foundation, No.8151001


Increasing soil organic carbon (SOC) sequestration is not only an efficient method to address climate change problems but also a useful way to improve land productivity. It has been reported by many studies that land-use changes can significantly influence the sequestration of SOC. However, the SOC sequestration potential (SOCP, the difference between the saturation and the existing content of SOC) caused by land-use change, and the effects of land-use optimization on the SOCP are still not well understood. In this research, we modeled the effects of land-use optimization on SOCP in Beijing. We simulated three land-use optimization scenarios (uncontrolled scenario, scale control scenario, and spatial restriction scenario) and assessed their effects on SOCP. The total SOCP (0-20 cm) in Beijing in 2010 was estimated as 23.82 Tg C or 18.27 t C/ha. In the uncontrolled scenario, the built-up land area of Beijing would increase by 951 km2 from 2010 to 2030, and the SOCP would decrease by 1.73 Tg C. In the scale control scenario, the built-up land area would decrease by 25 km2 and the SOCP would increase by 0.07 Tg C from 2010 to 2030. Compared to the uncontrolled scenario, the SOCP in 2030 of Beijing would increase by 0.77 Tg C or 0.64 t C/ha in the spatial restriction scenario. This research provides evidence to guide planning authorities in conducting land-use optimization strategies and estimating their effects on the carbon sequestration function of land-use systems.

Key words: soil organic carbon saturation, carbon sequestration potential, land-use change, modeling, Beijing