Journal of Geographical Sciences ›› 2016, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (5): 515-530.doi: 10.1007/s11442-016-1283-2
• Orginal Article • Next Articles
Yongqiang LIU1(), Hualou *LONG2(
)
Received:
2016-01-08
Accepted:
2016-02-15
Online:
2016-05-25
Published:
2016-05-25
About author:
Author: Liu Yongqiang (1982-), PhD and Lecturer, specialized in land use transition and environmental effects. E-mail:
*Corresponding author: Long Hualou (1971-), PhD and Professor, specialized in rural restructuring, urban-rural development and land use transition. E-mail:
Supported by:
Yongqiang LIU, Hualou *LONG. Land use transitions and their dynamic mechanism: The case of the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain[J].Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2016, 26(5): 515-530.
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Figure 2
Quantitative spatial distribution of the driving factors of land use transition in the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain Note: *: Significance at 10%; **: significance at 5%; ***: significance at 1%. Dis2Province: distance to province-level administrative center; Dis2City: distance to city-level administrative center; Dis2County: distance to county-level administrative center; Dis2W: distance to main railway; Dis2R: distance to main road; Dis2River: distance to main river."
Table 1
Change matrix of each compared land use type in 2000 and 2010 in the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain (ha)"
LULC type in 2000 | LULC type in 2010 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Farmland | Forested land | Grassland | Water body | Construction land | Unused land | Total | |
Farmland | 25235074 | 320182 | 155761 | 502219 | 2806220 | 46919 | 29066375 |
Forested land | 222594 | 1542866 | 99994 | 18297 | 68499 | 6538 | 1958788 |
Grassland | 193778 | 147565 | 1358491 | 33527 | 76311 | 57686 | 1867359 |
Water body | 200816 | 20237 | 25600 | 800867 | 68214 | 30148 | 1145882 |
Construction land | 927849 | 36499 | 31946 | 77544 | 3341342 | 8487 | 4423668 |
Unused land | 169250 | 6592 | 15783 | 23804 | 69856 | 63729 | 349013 |
Total | 26949362 | 2073941 | 1687575 | 1456258 | 6430442 | 213506 | 38811084 |
Table 2
Internal conversions between land use types from 2000 to 2010 and the percentages taken by corresponding types in such loss or gain conversions"
LULC type | Loss or gain in 2010 (%) | Type (1) | Percent (%) | Type (2) | Percent (%) | Type (3) | Percent (%) | Type (4) | Percent (%) | Type (5) | Percent (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL | -7.28 | CL | 73.24 | WB | 13.11 | FL | 8.36 | GL | 4.07 | UL | 1.22 |
FR | 5.88 | FL | 60.29 | GL | 27.79 | CL | 6.87 | WB | 3.81 | UL | 1.24 |
GL | -9.63 | FL | 38.08 | FR | 29.00 | CL | 15.00 | UL | 11.34 | WB | 6.59 |
WB | 27.09 | FL | 76.63 | CL | 11.83 | GR | 5.12 | UL | 3.63 | FL | 2.79 |
CL | 45.36 | FL | 90.84 | GL | 2.47 | UL | 2.26 | FL | 2.22 | WB | 2.21 |
UL | -38.83 | FL | 59.33 | CL | 24.49 | WB | 8.34 | GL | 5.53 | FL | 2.31 |
Table 3
Results of spatial dependence test of land use transitions in the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain"
Spatial dependence test | FL to CL | FL to FR | FL to WB | GL to FL | UL to FL |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lagrange Multiplier (lag) | 8.0688*** | 5.1099** | 24.4261*** | 16.5650*** | 2.9741* |
Robust LM (lag) | 9.4343*** | 3.2083* | 3.9966** | 25.0583*** | 15.7590*** |
Lagrange Multiplier (error) | 2.4292 | 2.8466* | 20.8213*** | 4.0138** | 0.4368 |
Robust LM (error) | 3.7947* | 0.9451 | 0.3918 | 12.5071*** | 13.2217*** |
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