Journal of Geographical Sciences ›› 2016, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (1): 3-14.doi: 10.1007/s11442-016-1250-y
• Orginal Article • Next Articles
Zhengguo LI1(), Jieyang TAN1,2, Pengqin TANG1, Hao CHEN1, Li ZHANG1, Han LIU2, Wenbin WU1, Huajun TANG1, Peng *YANG1(
), Zhenhuan *LIU3(
)
Received:
2015-05-20
Accepted:
2015-07-28
Online:
2016-01-25
Published:
2016-01-25
About author:
Author: Li Zhengguo, PhD and Associate Professor, specialized in remote sensing, climate change and food security. E-mail:
*Corresponding author: Liu Zhenhuan, PhD, E-mail:
Supported by:
Zhengguo LI, Jieyang TAN, Pengqin TANG, Hao CHEN, Li ZHANG, Han LIU, Wenbin WU, Huajun TANG, Peng *YANG, Zhenhuan *LIU. Spatial distribution of maize in response to climate change in northeast China during 1980-2010[J].Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2016, 26(1): 3-14.
Add to citation manager EndNote|Reference Manager|ProCite|BibTeX|RefWorks
Table 1
Maturity types of maize based on annual accumulated temperatures (AAT)"
Maturity type | AAT (°C·d) |
---|---|
Extremely early maturing (EEM) | 2100-2200 |
Early maturing (EM) | 2200-2400 |
Early-mid maturing (EMM) | 2400-2550 |
Mid-maturing (MM) | 2550-2700 |
Mid-late maturing (MLM) | 2700-2800 |
Late maturing (LM) | 2800-3100 |
Figure 2
Spatial zoning of maize maturity types during 1980- 2010. Note: Stable climatic zones (shaded part) suited to varieties of maize classified by the temperature taken to reach maturity: (a) early maturing (EM), (b) mid-maturing (MM), (c) mid-late maturing (MLM), and (d) late maturing (LM). Transitional climatic zones (colored part) suited to varieties of maize classified by the temperature taken to reach maturity: (e) unsuitable for cultivation of maize to extremely early maturing (UST→EEM), (f) extremely early maturing to early maturing (EEM→EM), (g) early to mid-maturing (EM→MM), (h) mid- to mid-late maturing (MM→MLM), and (i) mid-late to late maturing (MLM→LM)."
1 |
Anderson W, You L, Wood Set al., 2015. An analysis of methodological and spatial differences in global cropping systems models and maps.Global Ecology and Biogeography, 24: 180-191.
doi: 10.1111/geb.12243 |
2 | Carter T, Saarikko R, Niemi K, 1996. Assessing the risks and uncertainties of regional crop potential under a changing climate in Finland.Agricultural and Food Science 3: 329-349. |
3 |
Chen C, Lei C, Deng Aet al., 2011. Will higher minimum temperatures increase corn production in Northeast China? An analysis of historical data over 1965-2008.Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 151: 1580-1588.
doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2011.06.013 |
4 |
Chen C, Qian C, Deng Aet al., 2012. Progressive and active adaptations of cropping system to climate change in Northeast China. European Journal of Agronomy, 38: 94-103.
doi: 10.1016/j.eja.2011.07.003 |
5 | CMA Archives, . |
6 | De Jong R, Li K, Bootsma Aet al., 2001. Crop yield variability under climate change and adaptive crop management scenarios, Final Report For Climate Change Action Fund Project A080, Eastern Cereal and Oilseed Research Centre (ECORC), Agric and Agri-Food Canada. |
7 |
Dixon R, Smith J, Guill S, 2003. Life on the edge: Vulnerability and adaptation of african ecosystems to global climate change.Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 8: 93-113.
doi: 10.1023/A:1026001626076 |
8 |
Dong J, Liu J, Tao Fet al., 2009. Spatio-temporal changes in annual accumulated temperature in China and the effects on cropping systems, 1980s to 2000.climate research, 40: 37-48.
doi: 10.3354/cr00823 |
9 |
Gao J, Liu Y, 2011. Climate warming and land use change in Heilongjiang Province, Northeast China.Applied Geography, 31: 476-482.
doi: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2010.11.005 |
10 | IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), 2007. Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation And Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. |
11 | IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), 2013. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. |
12 | Jia J, Guo J, 2010. Effects of climate changes on maize yield in Northeast China.Agricultural Science and Technology, 11: 169-174. |
13 | Jin Z, Ge D, Zheng Xet al., 1996. Assessing the potential impacts of global climate change on maize production in China.Acta Agronomica Sinica, 22: 513-524. |
14 |
Jin Z, Zhu D, 2008. Impacts of changes in climate and its variability on food production in Northeast China.Acta Agronomica Sinica, 34: 1588-1597.
doi: 10.3724/SP.J.1006.2008.01588 |
15 |
Kenny G J, Harrison P A, Olesen J Eet al., 1993. The effects of climate change on land suitability of grain maize, winter wheat and cauliflower in Europe.European Journal of Agronomy, 2: 325-338.
doi: 10.1016/S1161-0301(14)80180-9 |
16 |
Li Z, Liu Z, Anderson Wet al., 2015. Chinese rice production area adaptations to climate changes, 1949-2010.Environmental Science & Technology, 49: 2032-2037.
doi: 10.1021/es505624x pmid: 25625767 |
17 |
Li Z, Tang H, Yang P et al., 2012. Spatio-temporal responses of cropland phenophases to climate change in Northeast China.Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2012, 22(1): 29-45.
doi: 10.1007/s11442-012-0909-2 |
18 |
Li Z, Yang P, Tang Het al., 2014. Response of maize phenology to climate warming in Northeast China between 1990 and 2012.Regional Environment Change, 14: 39-48.
doi: 10.1007/s10113-013-0503-x |
19 | Liu B, Xu M, Henderson Met al., 2004. Taking China’s temperature: Daily range, warming trends, and regional variations, 1955-2000. Journal of Climate, 17: 4453-4462. |
20 |
Liu J, Liu M, Deng Xet al., 2002. The land use and land cover change database and its relative studies in China.Journal of Geographical Sciences, 12(2): 275-282.
doi: 10.1007/BF02837545 |
21 | Liu Z, Yang X, Wang Wet al., 2009. Characteristics of agricultural climate resources in three provinces of Northeast China under global climate change.Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 20(9): 2199-2206. (in Chinese) |
22 |
Liu Z H, Li Z, Tang P et al., 2013. Changes analysis of rice area and production in China during the past three decades. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2013, 23(6): 1005-1018.
doi: 10.1007/s11442-013-1059-x |
23 |
Liu Z J, Yang X, Chen Fet al., 2013. The effects of past climate change on the northern limits of maize planting in Northeast China.Climatic Change, 117: 891-902.
doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0594-2 |
24 | Lobell D B, Burke M B, Tebaldi Cet al., 2008. Prioritizing climate change adaptation needs for food security in 2030.Science, 319: 607-610. |
25 |
Lobell D B, Schlenker W, Costa-Roberts J, 2011. Climate trends and global crop production since 1980.Science, 333: 616-620.
doi: 10.1126/science.1204531 pmid: 21551030 |
26 | Monfreda C, Ramankutty N, Foley J A, 2008. Farming the planet: 2. Geographic distribution of crop areas, yields, physiological types, and net primary production in the year 2000.Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 22: B1022. |
27 | NBSC (National Bureau of Statistics of China), 2010. Statistical Yearbook of China 2010. Beijing: China Statistics Press. (in Chinese) |
28 |
Nicholls N, 1997. Increased Australian wheat yield due to recent climate trends.Nature, 387: 484-485.
doi: 10.1038/387484a0 |
29 |
Ogden A E, Innes J L, 2008. Climate change adaptation and regional forest planning in southern Yukon, Canada.Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 13: 833-861.
doi: 10.1007/s11027-008-9144-7 |
30 |
Olesen J E, Bindi M, 2002. Consequences of climate change for European agricultural productivity, land use and policy.European Journal of Agronomy, 16: 239-262.
doi: 10.1016/S1161-0301(02)00004-7 |
31 |
Piao S, Ciais P, Huang Yet al., 2010. The impacts of climate change on water resources and agriculture in China.Nature, 467: 43-51.
doi: 10.1038/nature09364 pmid: 20811450 |
32 | PINC Archives, . |
33 | Portmann F T, Siebert S, Döll P, 2010. MIRCA2000: Global monthly irrigated and rainfed crop areas around the year 2000: A new high-resolution data set for agricultural and hydrological modeling.Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 24: B1011. |
34 |
Ramankutty N, Evan A T, Monfreda Cet al., 2008. Farming the planet: 1. Geographic distribution of global agricultural lands in the year 2000. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 22: B1003.
doi: 10.1029/2007GB002952 |
35 | Sun W, Huang Y, 2011. Global warming over the period 1961-2008 did not increase high-temperature stress but did reduce low-temperature stress in irrigated rice across China.Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 151: 1193-1201. |
36 |
Tan J, Yang P, Liu Zet al., 2014a. Spatio-temporal dynamics of maize cropping system in Northeast China between 1980 and 2010 by using spatial production allocation model.Journal of Geographical Sciences, 24(3): 397-410.
doi: 10.1007/s11442-014-1096-0 |
37 | Tan J, Li Z, Yang Pet al., 2014b. Spatial evaluation of crop maps by the spatial production allocation model in China.Journal of Applied Remote Sensing, 8: 85197. |
38 |
Tao F, Hayashi Y, Zhang Zet al., 2008a. Global warming, rice production, and water use in China: Developing a probabilistic assessment.Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 148: 94-110.
doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2007.09.012 |
39 |
Tao F, Yokozawa M, Liu Jet al., 2008b. Climate-crop yield relationships at provincial scales in China and the impacts of recent climate trends.Climate Research, 38: 83-94.
doi: 10.3354/cr00771 |
40 |
Tao F, Yokozawa M, Xu Yet al., 2006. Climate changes and trends in phenology and yields of field crops in China, 1981-2000.Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 138: 82-92.
doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2006.03.014 |
41 | Tao F, Zhang S, Zhang Zet al., 2014. Maize growing duration was prolonged across China in the past three decades under the combined effects of temperature, agronomic management, and cultivar shift.Global Change Biology, 20: 3686-3699. |
42 |
Tao F, Zhang Z, 2010. Adaptation of maize production to climate change in North China Plain: Quantify the relative contributions of adaptation options.European Journal of Agronomy, 33: 103-116.
doi: 10.1016/j.eja.2010.04.002 |
43 |
Tao F, Zhang Z, 2011. Impacts of climate change as a function of global mean temperature: Maize productivity and water use in China.Climatic Change, 105: 409-432.
doi: 10.1007/s10584-010-9883-9 |
44 |
Xiao X, Boles S, Liu Jet al., 2005. Mapping paddy rice agriculture in southern China using multi-temporal MODIS images.Remote Sensing of Environment, 95: 480-492.
doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2004.12.009 |
45 |
Yang X, Chen F, Lin Xet al., 2015. Potential benefits of climate change for crop productivity in China. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 208: 76-84.
doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2015.04.024 |
46 |
Yang X, Lin E, Ma Set al., 2007. Adaptation of agriculture to warming in Northeast China.Climatic Change, 84: 45-58.
doi: 10.1007/s10584-007-9265-0 |
47 |
You L, Wood S, 2006. An entropy approach to spatial disaggregation of agricultural production.Agricultural Systems, 90: 329-347.
doi: 10.1016/j.agsy.2006.01.008 |
48 |
You L, Rosegrant M W, Wood Set al., 2009a. Impact of growing season temperature on wheat productivity in China.Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 149: 1009-1014.
doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2008.12.004 |
49 | You L, Wood S, Wood-Sichra U, 2009b. Generating plausible crop distribution maps for Sub-Saharan Africa using a spatially disaggregated data fusion and optimization approach.Agricultural Systems, 99: 126-140. |
50 |
You L, Wood S, Wood-Sichra Uet al., 2014. Generating global crop distribution maps: From census to grid.Agricultural Systems, 127: 53-60.
doi: 10.1016/j.agsy.2014.01.002 |
51 |
Zhang Q, Sun P, Singh V Pet al., 2012. Spatial-temporal precipitation changes (1956-2000) and their implications for agriculture in China.Global and Planetary Change, 82/83: 86-95.
doi: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.12.001 |
52 | Zhang Z, Wang X, Zhao Xet al., 2014. A 2010 update of National Land Use/Cover Database of China at 1:100000 scale using medium spatial resolution satellite images.Remote Sensing of Environment, 149: 142-154. |
[1] | QI Wei, YI Jiawei. Spatial pattern and driving factors of migrants on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau: Insights from short-distance and long-distance population migrants [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2021, 31(2): 215-230. |
[2] | MOU Naixia, WANG Chunying, CHEN Jinhai, YANG Tengfei, ZHANG Lingxian, LIAO Mengdi. Spatial pattern of location advantages of ports along the Maritime Silk Road [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2021, 31(1): 149-176. |
[3] | WEI Wei, GUO Zecheng, SHI Peiji, ZHOU Liang, WANG Xufeng, LI Zhenya, PANG Sufei, XIE Binbin. Spatiotemporal changes of land desertification sensitivity in northwest China from 2000 to 2017 [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2021, 31(1): 46-68. |
[4] | MA Bin, ZHANG Bo, JIA Lige. Spatio-temporal variation in China’s climatic seasons from 1951 to 2017 [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(9): 1387-1400. |
[5] | LIU Xiaojing, LIU Dianfeng, ZHAO Hongzhuo, HE Jianhua, LIU Yaolin. Exploring the spatio-temporal impacts of farmland reforestation on ecological connectivity using circuit theory: A case study in the agro-pastoral ecotone of North China [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(9): 1419-1435. |
[6] | WU Li, SUN Xiaoling, SUN Wei, ZHU Cheng, ZHU Tongxin, LU Shuguang, ZHOU Hui, GUO Qingchun, GUAN Houchun, XIE Wei, KE Rui, LIN Guiping. Evolution of Neolithic site distribution (9.0-4.0 ka BP) in Anhui, East China [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(9): 1451-1466. |
[7] | YE Chao, LI Simeng, ZHANG Zhao, ZHU Xiaodan. A comparison and case analysis between domestic and overseas industrial parks of China since the Belt and Road Initiative [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(8): 1266-1282. |
[8] | WANG Xueqin, LIU Shenghe, QI Wei. Mega-towns in China: Their spatial distribution features and growth mechanisms [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(7): 1060-1082. |
[9] | YANG Fan, HE Fanneng, LI Meijiao, LI Shicheng. Evaluating the reliability of global historical land use scenarios for forest data in China [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(7): 1083-1094. |
[10] | LIU Ruiqing, XU Hao, LI Jialin, PU Ruiliang, SUN Chao, CAO Luodan, JIANG Yimei, TIAN Peng, WANG Lijia, GONG Hongbo. Ecosystem service valuation of bays in East China Sea and its response to sea reclamation activities [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(7): 1095-1116. |
[11] | FANG Chuanglin, WANG Zhenbo, LIU Haimeng. Beautiful China Initiative: Human-nature harmony theory, evaluation index system and application [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(5): 691-704. |
[12] | CHEN Mingxing, LIANG Longwu, WANG Zhenbo, ZHANG Wenzhong, YU Jianhui, LIANG Yi. Geographical thoughts on the relationship between ‘Beautiful China’ and land spatial planning [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(5): 705-723. |
[13] | TANG Zhipeng, MEI Ziao, LIU Weidong, XIA Yan. Identification of the key factors affecting Chinese carbon intensity and their historical trends using random forest algorithm [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(5): 743-756. |
[14] | WANG Shaojian, GAO Shuang, HUANG Yongyuan, SHI Chenyi. Spatiotemporal evolution of urban carbon emission performance in China and prediction of future trends [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(5): 757-774. |
[15] | SONG Zhouying, ZHU Qiaoling. Spatio-temporal pattern and driving forces of urbanization in China’s border areas [J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2020, 30(5): 775-793. |
|