Journal of Geographical Sciences ›› 2015, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (4): 387-398.doi: 10.1007/s11442-015-1175-x
• Orginal Article • Next Articles
Xindong DU(), Xiaobin JIN1,2,*(
), Xilian YANG3, Xuhong YANG1, Xiaomin XIANG1, Yinkang ZHOU1,2
Received:
2014-05-18
Accepted:
2014-11-20
Online:
2015-04-15
Published:
2015-04-15
Contact:
Xiaobin JIN
E-mail:dxd1008@163.com;jinxb@nju.edu.cn
About author:
Author: Du Xindong (1981-), PhD Candidate, specialized in land use/cover change, land consolidation, space simulation and optimization. E-mail:
Supported by:
Xindong DU, Xiaobin JIN, Xilian YANG, Xuhong YANG, Xiaomin XIANG, Yinkang ZHOU. Spatial-temporal pattern changes of main agriculture natural disasters in China during 1990-2011[J].Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2015, 25(4): 387-398.
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Table 2
Moran's I change from 1990 to 2011"
Year | Total | Drought | Flood | Hail | Frost | Typhoon | Year | Total | Drought | Flood | Hail | Frost | Typhoon |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1990 | 0.06 | 0.27* | 0.06 | -0.07 | 0.13* | - | 2001 | -0.01 | -0.85 | 0.21* | 0.21* | 0.03 | 0.13* |
1991 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 0.12* | -0.13 | -0.10 | - | 2002 | -0.10 | 0.15* | 0.27* | -0.07 | -0.03 | 0.14* |
1992 | -0.06 | 0.13* | 0.24* | -0.10 | 0.09 | - | 2003 | -0.04 | -0.07 | 0.12 | -0.17* | 0.05 | 0.12* |
1993 | -0.10 | 0.13* | 0.02 | -0.14 | 0.03 | - | 2004 | -0.00 | -0.19* | 0.12* | -0.06 | 0.05 | 0.07 |
1994 | -0.05 | 0.07 | 0.09 | -0.02 | 0.10 | 0.11* | 2005 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.23* | 0.27* |
1995 | -0.02 | -0.03 | 0.11 | -0.09 | 0.07 | 0.18* | 2006 | -0.09 | 0.01 | 0.07 | -0.12 | -0.04 | 0.28* |
1996 | -0.06 | 0.14* | 0.06 | -0.03 | 0.25* | 0.23* | 2007 | 0.02 | -0.13 | 0.12 | -0.06 | 0.18 | 0.16* |
1997 | -0.30* | 0.02 | 0.19* | -0.06 | -0.01 | 0.09 | 2008 | 0.14* | -0.08 | 0.20* | -0.10 | 0.26* | 0.15* |
1998 | 0.11 | 0.13* | 0.11 | -0.2* | 0.16* | 0.12* | 2009 | 0.00 | -0.06 | -0.02 | -0.10 | -0.08 | 0.14* |
1999 | -0.07 | 0.13* | 0.30* | -0.11 | 0.03 | 0.10* | 2010 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.16* | -0.08 | -0.01 | 0.15* |
2000 | 0.02 | -0.05 | 0.07 | -0.03 | 0.28* | 0.06 | 2011 | 0.07 | 0.12* | 0.05 | -0.01 | 0.29* | 0.15* |
Table 3
Summary of linear regression analysis of disasters’ effects on per unit area grain yield"
Area | β | Adjusted R2 | P | Area | β | Adjusted R2 | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
China | -0.756 | 0.551 | 0.000 | Henan | -0.654 | 0.399 | 0.001 |
Beijing | -0.071 | 0.000 | 0.847 | Hubei | -0.560 | 0.279 | 0.007 |
Tianjin | -0.741 | 0.526 | 0.000 | Hunan | -0.213 | 0.000 | 0.342 |
Hebe | -0.700 | 0.464 | 0.000 | Guangdong | -0.474 | 0.185 | 0.026 |
Shanxi | -0.820 | 0.656 | 0.000 | Guangxi | -0.350 | 0.079 | 0.110 |
Inner Mongolia | -0.027 | 0.000 | 0.903 | Hainan | -0.168 | 0.000 | 0.454 |
Liaoning | -0.779 | 0.598 | 0.000 | Sichuan | -0.698 | 0.461 | 0.000 |
Jilin | -0.770 | 0.573 | 0.000 | Guizhou | -0.672 | 0.424 | 0.001 |
Heilongjiang | -0.521 | 0.235 | 0.013 | Yunnan | -0.362 | 0.088 | 0.098 |
Shanghai | -0.217 | 0.000 | 0.332 | Tibet | -0.255 | 0.018 | 0.252 |
Jiangsu | -0.770 | 0.572 | 0.000 | Shaanxi | -0.857 | 0.720 | 0.000 |
Zhejiang | -0.655 | 0.400 | 0.001 | Gansu | -0.451 | 0.164 | 0.035 |
Anhui | -0.719 | 0.479 | 0.000 | Qinghai | -0.673 | 0.425 | 0.001 |
Fujian | -0.601 | 0.329 | 0.003 | Ningxia | -0.071 | 0.000 | 0.754 |
Jiangxi | -0.253 | 0.017 | 0.256 | Xinjiang | -0.386 | 0.107 | 0.076 |
Shandong | -0.833 | 0.679 | 0.000 |
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