Journal of Geographical Sciences ›› 2015, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (2): 236-256.doi: 10.1007/s11442-015-1165-z
• Orginal Article • Previous Articles
Tao LIU1(), Yuanjing QI2, Guangzhong CAO3, Hui LIU4,*(
)
Received:
2014-06-05
Accepted:
2014-07-10
Online:
2015-02-15
Published:
2015-02-15
Contact:
Hui LIU
E-mail:liutaopku@gmail.com;pkuliuh@gmail.com
About author:
Author: Liu Tao (1987-), PhD Candidate, specialized in urbanization, population migration, and urban land use in China. E-mail:
Supported by:
Tao LIU, Yuanjing QI, Guangzhong CAO, Hui LIU. Spatial patterns, driving forces, and urbanization effects of China’s internal migration: County-level analysis based on the 2000 and 2010 censuses[J].Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2015, 25(2): 236-256.
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Table 1
Concentration of China’s floating population (million person, %)"
Floating population | % | Hukou population | Floating/hukou ratio | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2000 | Top 10 | 27.0 | 34.1 | 50.1 | 53.8 |
Top 23 (1%) | 35.9 | 45.5 | 93.9 | 38.3 | |
Top 100 | 53.5 | 67.7 | 204.5 | 26.1 | |
Nation | 79.0 | 100.0 | 1234.3 | 6.4 | |
2010 | Top 10 | 54.9 | 32.2 | 77.4 | 70.9 |
Top 23 (1%) | 77.9 | 45.6 | 118.4 | 65.7 | |
Top 100 | 120.3 | 70.6 | 235.6 | 51.1 | |
Nation | 170.6 | 100.0 | 1345.5 | 12.7 |
Table 2
Floating population by region in China"
Eastern | Central | Western | Nation | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Floating population (million) | 2000 | 51.10 | 12.38 | 15.53 | 79.01 |
2010 | 109.87 | 26.62 | 34.07 | 170.56 | |
Growth rate (%) | 115.0 | 115.1 | 119.4 | 115.9 | |
Share in the national total (%) | 2000 | 64.7 | 15.7 | 19.7 | 100.0 |
2010 | 64.4 | 15.6 | 20.0 | 100.0 | |
Change (%) | -0.3 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | |
Floating/hukou ratio (%) | 2000 | 11.1 | 3.0 | 4.4 | 6.4 |
2010 | 22.1 | 5.8 | 8.8 | 12.7 | |
Change (%) | 11.0 | 2.8 | 4.4 | 6.3 |
Table 3
Evolving spatial model of China’s floating population, 2000-2010 (million persons, %)"
Intra-county | Inter-county/ Intra-provincial | Interprovincial | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2000 | Floating population | 65.6 | 36.4 | 42.6 | 144.6 |
% | 45.4 | 25.2 | 29.5 | 100.0 | |
2010 | Floating population | 90.9 | 84.7 | 85.8 | 261.5 |
% | 34.8 | 32.4 | 32.8 | 100.0 | |
2000-2010 | Growth | 25.3 | 48.3 | 43.2 | 116.9 |
Growth rate | 38.6 | 132.8 | 101.4 | 80.8 | |
% change | -10.6 | 7.2 | 3.4 | 0.0 |
Table 5
Definitions and key information of variables"
Variable | Definition | No. | Mean | Std. Dev. | Min | Max |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
lnfltpop | Floating population (logarithm) | 2211 | 9.46 | 1.47 | 5.14 | 16.20 |
lnwage | Urban average wage (logarithm) | 2211 | 10.23 | 0.24 | 8.98 | 11.18 |
lnempna | Nonagricultural employment (logarithm) | 2211 | 11.21 | 1.14 | 7.50 | 16.29 |
FAI | Fixed assets investment (per capita) | 2211 | 1.83 | 1.66 | 0.04 | 21.20 |
lnpcfinex | Per capita fiscal expenditure (logarithm) | 2211 | 8.23 | 0.53 | 5.35 | 10.56 |
capital | Province-level city or provincial capital (dummy) | 2211 | 0.01 | 0.12 | 0 | 1 |
prefecture | Prefecture-level cities (dummy) | 2211 | 0.12 | 0.32 | 0 | 1 |
city | County-level cities (dummy) | 2211 | 0.16 | 0.37 | 0 | 1 |
Table 6
Regression results of econometric models"
Full sample | By region | By level | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Market | State | Full | Eastern | Central | Western | Prefecture^ | County∆ | |||
lnwage | 1.784*** | 1.152*** | 0.564*** | 1.179*** | 0.492*** | 0.687*** | 1.152*** | |||
(20.14) | (13.25) | (3.27) | (8.77) | (3.38) | (5.10) | (12.03) | ||||
lnempna | 0.884*** | 0.766*** | 0.970*** | 0.570*** | 0.710*** | 1.031*** | 0.769*** | |||
(53.15) | (32.48) | (22.91) | (8.43) | (18.50) | (26.96) | (28.07) | ||||
FAI | 0.133*** | 0.038*** | -0.038 | 0.064** | 0.095*** | 0.041** | 0.036*** | |||
(9.65) | (3.36) | (-1.54) | (2.15) | (5.63) | (2.18) | (2.86) | ||||
lnpcfinex | 0.146*** | 0.491*** | 0.890*** | 0.516*** | 0.131** | 0.111 | 0.553*** | |||
(3.19) | (9.94) | (10.34) | (3.73) | (2.02) | (1.31) | (10.10) | ||||
capital | 5.280*** | 1.768*** | 0.932*** | 2.421*** | 2.171*** | 0.440*** | ||||
(38.61) | (15.35) | (4.33) | (7.91) | (13.08) | (4.81) | |||||
prefecture | 2.717*** | 1.042*** | 0.617*** | 1.365*** | 1.023*** | |||||
(38.08) | (16.60) | (5.53) | (8.64) | (11.62) | ||||||
city | 1.249*** | 0.421*** | 0.391*** | 0.312*** | 0.739*** | 0.421*** | ||||
(19.37) | (8.41) | (4.99) | (4.03) | (7.54) | (8.20) | |||||
_cons | -18.952*** | 7.667*** | -15.237*** | -14.567*** | -13.762*** | -4.815*** | -9.490*** | -15.779*** | ||
(-20.79) | (20.55) | (-17.93) | (-10.81) | (-7.26) | (-2.86) | (-7.59) | (-16.08) | |||
N | 2211 | 2211 | 2211 | 628 | 703 | 880 | 286 | 1925 | ||
adj. R2 | 0.688 | 0.539 | 0.760 | 0.842 | 0.729 | 0.715 | 0.865 | 0.550 | ||
F | 1514.00 | 769.66 | 1729.06 | 700.72 | 430.93 | 946.36 | 592.47 | 414.67 |
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