Journal of Geographical Sciences ›› 2007, Vol. 17 ›› Issue (1): 33-42.doi: 10.1007/s11442-007-0033-x

• Climate and Environmental Change • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Changing features of extreme precipitation in the Yangtze River basin during 1961-2002

ZHANG Zengxin1,2,3, ZHANG Qiang2,3, JIANG Tong2,3   

  1. 1. Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Forestry Ecological Engineering, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037, China|
    2. Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, CAS, Nanjing 210008, China
    3. Laboratory for Climate Studies, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China
  • Received:2006-09-25 Revised:2006-10-20 Online:2007-03-25 Published:2007-03-25
  • Supported by:

    Funded by the Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, CAS, No.S260018; The Chinese Meteoro-logical Administration, No.ccsf2006-31

Abstract:

The total precipitation of the highest 1 day, 3 day, 5 day and 7 day precipitation amount (R1D, R3D, R5D and R7D) in the Yangtze River basin was analyzed with the help of linear trend analysis and continuous wavelet transform method. The research results indi-cated that: 1) Spatial distribution of R1D is similar in comparison with that of R3D, R5D and R7D. The Jialingjiang and Hanjiang river basins are dominated by decreasing trend, which is significant at >95% confidence level in Jialingjiang River basin and insignificant at >95% con-fidence level in Hanjiang River basin. The southern part of the Yangtze River basin and the western part of the upper Yangtze River basin are dominated by significant increasing trend of R1D extreme precipitation at >95% confidence level. 2) As for the R3D, R5D and R7D, the western part of the upper Yangtze River basin is dominated by significant increasing trend at >95% confidence level. The eastern part of the upper Yangtze River basin is dominated by decreasing trend, but is insignificant at >95% confidence level. The middle and lower Yangtze River basin is dominated by increasing trend, but insignificant at >95% confidence level. 3) The frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation events are intensified over time. Pre-cipitation anomalies indicated that the southeastern part, southern part and southwestern part of the Yangtze River basin are dominated by positive extreme precipitation anomalies be-tween 1993–2002 and 1961–1992. The research results of this text indicate that the occurrence probability of flash flood is higher in the western part of the upper Yangtze River basin and the middle and lower Yangtze River

Key words: extreme precipitation event, linear trend, continuous wavelet transform, Yangtze River basin